[McGruff]

Don't be such a pessimist.

Florida                                                                     Toss Up
Poll	Date	Bush (R)	McBride (D)	Spread
Insider Advantage	10/14/10-19	45%	49%	Dem +4
Mason-Dixon	10/17/10-20	49%	44%	GOP +5
McLaughlin (R)	10/16-10/17	49%	41%	GOP +8
Garin Hart Yang (D)	10/13-10/14	47%	47%	TIE
Zogby	10/9-10/11	48%	45%	GOP +3
SurveyUSA	10/8-10/10	50%	47%	GOP +3
Insider Advantage	10/2-10/5	47%	42%	GOP +5
	Average	47.9%	45.0%	GOP +2.9

After the last couple of polls seemed to indicate McBride might have peaked, a new IA poll has him out in front for the first time. However, by most accounts Bush won the debate last night which should translate to at least a slight bump in support. Either way, this one is going to be a squeaker.

[Guillermo]

Very close.

GOP'ers are going to have to get out and vote.

Act like you're 10 points down.

[Dems_R_Losers]

Thanks for posting that. Anyone who understands polling knows that polls taken over the weekend skew toward the Democrat. That's why I put more stock in the McLaughlin poll, which was taken during the week and therefore more likely to have polled an actual representtaive population. Even the Mason-Dixon poll included some weekend days and therefore will skew slightly toward McBride.

I am still concerned that Jeb is not polling over 50%. This is not good for an incumbent, especially one running against a complete unknown. I hope the GOP has its absentee ballot and GOTV operation running the way it did in 2000.

[Sungirl]

JEEZ! Thanks for posting that chart! I wasn't able to breathe till I saw it.