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Well, it finally happened: McBride leads 49-45%
RealClearPolitics.com ^ | 10/23/02

Posted on 10/23/2002 6:05:18 AM PDT by winin2000

My heart sank when I saw this one, but one word of caution: my guess is this poll is an outlier because 1) I've never heard of this polling unit, and 2)it has a very high margin of error at 6%.

Maybe I'm engaging in wishful thinking but I just don't see any fundamental weakness on Jeb's part, only ultra high intensity among partisan Democrats. If this race is won, it will be on turnout, not anti-Bush sentiment.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bush; governorship; mcbride
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To: winin2000
In the liberal media when you see a poll that puts the rat on top, it means they use the margin of error to advantage. In this poll, the numbers were probably 55% to 45% for the rat. adjust the 6% margin of error and Jeb now trails 49 to 51%. Not to worry. If the dim dems think they will win anyway, they will stay home. If the Republicans think they are behind they will get out and vote. But in Florida, you have to worry about the mental institutions and dementia wards and the cemetary's that vote for the democRats.
41 posted on 10/23/2002 10:15:18 AM PDT by Big Mack
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To: McGruff
JEEZ! Thanks for posting that chart! I wasn't able to breathe till I saw it.
42 posted on 10/23/2002 10:24:13 AM PDT by Sungirl
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To: winin2000
Shoot the messenger. These guys are good pollsters, look at what they called in GA primaries if you doubt it. Looks bad news for Bush.
43 posted on 10/23/2002 10:28:11 PM PDT by Vis Numar
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To: winin2000
Well, it finally happened: McBride leads 49-45%

The polls at you link show McBride ahead in 1 of 7 polls and Bush ahead in 6 of 7 polls. Why would you post the worst of seven polls as a title?

44 posted on 10/23/2002 10:37:04 PM PDT by Jean S
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