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What if ... We Never Went to War With Iraq?

Posted on 08/21/2002 4:16:24 PM PDT by ml/nj

Let me state up front: I wasn't in favor of the "Gulf War" then, and while many are talking about invading Iraq now I'm not in favor of that either. I could discuss that if anyone wants to.

But my question tonight is: What if we never went to war with Iraq? What if we just let Hussein take over Kuwait, and maybe move on to Saudi Arabia?

Would 9/11 have happened? If it would have happened anyway, would our position be stronger than it is now?

My guesses are No and Yes.

I guess No, there wouldn't have been a 9/11 attack upon the United States by Islamic Fundamentalists. Hussein strikes me as many things, but he doesn't strike me as more than conveniently Muslim. He was at war with Fundamentalist Iran, and if he moved on the Saudis, he would have been at war with Fundamentalist Saudi Arabia. Would these guys have had the luxury of turning their ire toward us? I doubt it.

But if they did, I think we would have been in a much stronger position. Either Hussein would be on our side helping to root these people out or he wouldn't. (I think he would have been.) If he would have been on our side, his people would have provided beaucoup informers and maybe even military support, but if not it would have been much easier politically to move against him now. And he would have largely been in control of Persian Gulf oil. We could have taken those oil fields from him alone with fewer naysayers in the Muslim world than we have now.

I haven't heard anyone else ask my what if question. I'd be interested to hear the opinions of others.

ML/NJ


TOPICS: Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 01nukem; 02tilltheyglow; 03andthen; 04shootem; 05inthedark
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To: rdb3
Well! Let me be the first to thank you for not having my back when I was over there in '91.

That was very thoughtful of you.

You know, that's a particularly $#!+y reply. That fact that I didn't want you to go "over there in '91," doesn't at all mean that I was rooting for us to lose once you got there. There's a very big difference between myself and Hanoi Jane.

ML/NJ

81 posted on 08/21/2002 6:20:22 PM PDT by ml/nj
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To: ml/nj
What if ... We Never Went to War With Iraq?

Saladin would have dropped to second place and the rest you really don't want to know about.

82 posted on 08/21/2002 6:21:10 PM PDT by jwalsh07
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To: ml/nj
I didn't say that you were hoping we'd lose, did I?
83 posted on 08/21/2002 6:21:34 PM PDT by rdb3
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To: DentsRun
Actually, Hitler is a common cultural reference for one. We are all well-versed in the history of the Third Reich and World War II. Stalin is actually a better model for Hussein (Saddam views Stalin as a hero of sorts), but there was no military action against him. Which, I guess, makes the same point.
84 posted on 08/21/2002 6:21:59 PM PDT by AmishDude
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To: jwalsh07
See #26. Let it be noted that I made the first Saladin reference. I will come by later to accept my Dennis Miller award.
85 posted on 08/21/2002 6:23:47 PM PDT by AmishDude
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To: ml/nj
Thanks for the really intelligent reply.

What the heck did you expect? What-if scenarios are not even debatable. You didn't pose a "what-if" anyway. You clumsily attempted to couch a personal opinion as a "what-if". History is rife with former allies ending up as foes. We welcomed the Soviets in ww2 and we even helped arm them. We destroyed both Japan and Germany and then re-built them. We have fought 2 wars against Great Britain and many more as their ally. There is no such thing as "friendship" between nations. There is only a convergance of national interests from time to time. 911 was only the canary in the coal mine. It was the first tangible warning that the poison we have been trying to contain with sanctions and diplomacy is no longer containable without force.

86 posted on 08/21/2002 6:24:04 PM PDT by Texasforever
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To: AmishDude
Hey, why waste time with those who had SAT scores lower than 1400?

I mean, if they really want to go there.

87 posted on 08/21/2002 6:25:35 PM PDT by rdb3
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To: AmishDude
See #26. Let it be noted that I made the first Saladin reference. I will come by later to accept my Dennis Miller award

Sorry Dude, just call me Joe Biden.

88 posted on 08/21/2002 6:27:17 PM PDT by jwalsh07
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To: rdb3
Hey, why waste time with those who had SAT scores lower than 1400?

I do remember my SAT scores (yes, I make your threshold), but that was a long time ago. My GREs (ironically, I only remember 3 of the 4 scores) are much more relevant. :)

89 posted on 08/21/2002 6:28:39 PM PDT by AmishDude
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To: jwalsh07
Sorry Dude, just call me Joe Biden.

"Just consider it water under the bridge." -- Ted Kennedy

90 posted on 08/21/2002 6:29:24 PM PDT by AmishDude
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To: AmishDude
OK, let's assume this widely-dispersed lie is, in fact, true. (It's not, but hey, why argue with DU and their team of crack-addled researchers?)

Who is the United States to determine whether or not one country can invade another? What, we're just like the FCC and hand out sovereignty licenses.

I can just imagine how the conversation went: "Sure Saddam, in fact, we wish you would take over Kuwait. I mean, with their hoity-toity attitude, they've just been pissing us off lately. You go show 'em what for."

There's a lot of ignorance here for such a short reply. Consider:

GLASPIE: I think I understand this. I have lived here for years. I admire your extraordinary efforts to rebuild your country. I know you need funds. We understand that and our opinion is that you should have the opportunity to rebuild your country. But we have no opinion on the Arab-Arab conflicts, like your border disagreement with Kuwait.

Source: http://www.chss.montclair.edu/english/furr/glaspie.html

We did say we were going to decide who could invade another and who could not. What, exactly, do you think the Gulf War was about?

ML/NJ

91 posted on 08/21/2002 6:29:28 PM PDT by ml/nj
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To: Billthedrill
Despite the realpolitik behind the oil factor in the liberation of Kuwait there was another issue derided as idealistic but quite as much realpolitik as the oil factor, and that is that it is extremely bad policy to allow an armed aggressor to take whatever he likes when he is also actively pursuing weapons of mass destruction. It isn't good policy at any time but it is particularly bad policy in regard to the likes of Saddam.

Kudos for that reply. You hit the nail on the head with a freaking suitcase nuke. While playing fantasies and what ifs may be fun sometimes, one musn't forget to occassionaly come back down from the clouds and inject a little reality into the equation. Not only has this mustachioed obscenity shown a desire for big toys, he's shown a tendency to use them. Let's also not lose sight of the fact that were it not for the constraints of our coalition and the U.N. directive, Highway 6 would have only been the beginning, not the end. Instead of this lukewarm conflict that has been going on ad nauseum, we could have been 10 years along in the restructuring of Iraqi society.

Vacillation now spells doom later. Instead of worrying about what was, worry about what awaits.(That's not directed at you Bill, that's for the other goofballs that wanna think too much.)

92 posted on 08/21/2002 6:35:50 PM PDT by Kush
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To: ml/nj
GLASPIE: I think I understand this. I have lived here for years. I admire your extraordinary efforts to rebuild your country. I know you need funds. We understand that and our opinion is that you should have the opportunity to rebuild your country. But we have no opinion on the Arab-Arab conflicts, like your border disagreement with Kuwait.

Is this the statement which is supposed to confer our permission to invade Kuwait?

93 posted on 08/21/2002 6:36:14 PM PDT by CharacterCounts
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To: AmishDude
"Well, this has deteriorated....."

It was destined to from the beginning - like the old Colesium scorboard use to read every Saturday -

"Lions 42 - Christians 0"

You were easy.
94 posted on 08/21/2002 6:42:13 PM PDT by SEGUET
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To: ml/nj
Don't you have some research to do?

But we have no opinion on the Arab-Arab conflicts, like your border disagreement with Kuwait.

Gee, I'm sorry the diplomat didn't spell out that they think that taking over another country is off the table.

This is "Iraq asking" and the "US saying it's OK" to invade? Right.

95 posted on 08/21/2002 6:42:25 PM PDT by AmishDude
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To: decimon
"But I'll bet they weren't "Fat Congas."


Congas are drums - fat drums - and yes they were
96 posted on 08/21/2002 6:44:13 PM PDT by SEGUET
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To: SEGUET
You were easy.

Must ... refrain ... from ... making ... reference ... to ... SEGUET's ... mother. Joke ... too ... obvious.

97 posted on 08/21/2002 6:45:12 PM PDT by AmishDude
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To: AmishDude
The folks who take that view don't understand the rules of diplomacy.

The most vigorous thing April Glaspie COULD have said is that the United States would regard invading Kuwait as an "unfriendly act."

If that phrase had been trotted out, though, it would have been saying "Do this, and you will be at war with the USA." You do not throw that phrase around lightly.

98 posted on 08/21/2002 6:46:28 PM PDT by Poohbah
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To: DentsRun
If people insist on reasoning by analogy couldn't they add a few more names to the pitching rotation like Atilla the Hun? Blue Duck? Vlad the Impaler?

You forgot one.... Clinton the Defiler, and his lovely wife, Hilldebeast of Phat-Leggs.(make that two... public school math, what can I say?)

99 posted on 08/21/2002 6:47:10 PM PDT by Kush
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To: Poohbah
You've got it.

Just to put this in the simplest terms, it's like telling your brother-in-law that you're not going to get involved in his marriage. Then he claims that that was telling him that he has your permission to beat your sister.

Some behavior is off limits, no matter what.

100 posted on 08/21/2002 6:49:50 PM PDT by AmishDude
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