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OPEC Threatens to 'Flood Market'
The Moscow Times ^ | 11/28/01 | Valeria Korchagina

Posted on 11/27/2001 5:32:36 PM PST by marshmallow

OPEC threatened a full-blown price war Tuesday, warning of a "catastrophe" in the oil market and vowing to "flood the market" with crude if Russia didn't agree to further export cuts.

OPEC president Chakib Khelil warned in Algeria that if meaningful production cuts are not in place by January, "prices will collapse quickly," Reuters reported. "We can add production as well to exert additional pressure," Khelil was quoted as saying.

Oil prices have fallen by a third since Sept. 11, and OPEC plans to cut production by 1.5 million barrels per day in January -- but only if major non-cartel producers Russia, Norway, Mexico and Oman cut a combined 500,000 bpd.

While Norway, Mexico and Oman have indicated a willingness to cut a combined 300,000 to 325,000 bpd, Russia, the world's No. 2 producer after cartel proxy Saudi Arabia, has refused, offering only a symbolic cut of 50,000 bpd, or just 1.5 percent of its exports.

"It is critical to cut production by 2 million barrels per day, and 1.5 million will not be sufficient to stop the price decline," Khelil was quoted as saying. "It is neither in the interest of Russia or other countries in OPEC and non-OPEC that prices collapse."

Deputy Prime Minister Viktor Khristenko reiterated Tuesday that Russia will consider bigger cuts at a meeting with oil majors Dec. 10. Oil prices were boosted by Khristenko's statement and news that Norway wanted talks with Russia to urge it to take more steps to support prices.

Russian benchmark Urals traded up 4 cents to $17.77, while global benchmark Brent futures for January delivery climbed 74 cents, or 4 percent, to $19.10 per barrel by late afternoon in London. U.S. oil gained 99 cents to $19.68.

Analysts said that OPEC's threat was an expected escalation of an already-bitter dispute and a way for the cartel to exert pressure ahead of the Dec. 10 meeting that will clarify Russia's position.

"It's a continuation of the war of nerves," said Leonid Mirzoyan, oil analyst with Deutsche Bank. "It is possible that OPEC could indeed increase output, but I doubt that would be for any considerable length of time," he said, adding that he expected "such 'preparatory bombardment' to continue in the coming days."

Mirzoyan said Russia has demonstrated its readiness to find a compromise between producers and consumers, but "ultimatum-like demands from other producers do not help much."

A special government commission on the issue headed by Khristenko began working Tuesday. So far, the commission has looked at the compliance of oil producers to the 50,000 bpd export cut, Interfax reported. Another possibility, put forward by the Tax Ministry, is to limit export quotas for some 25 oil companies that owe back taxes.


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To: zlala
Anyone know the storage capacity of our strategic reserve and wht % of capacity we are currently at?
41 posted on 11/27/2001 6:35:31 PM PST by breakem
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To: marshmallow
SUPPLY and DEMAND

I love it.

42 posted on 11/27/2001 6:40:00 PM PST by Delta 21
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To: LoanPalm
$0.85 gas, --, let's get it down to $0.50 per gallon and listen to the liberals scream that tax revenues are down. Meanwhile the economy takes off and Bush gets the credit.

Excuse my ignorance, but this brings to mind a question. Are the taxes which are imbedded in the price of gasoline on a price percentage basis or are they based on just the unit (gallon) of gasoline? I remember seeing a sign on a local Texaco gas pump that announced the tax amount "per gallon" the customer was paying.

43 posted on 11/27/2001 6:42:44 PM PST by Tuscaloosa Goldfinch
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To: marshmallow
I hope they call the bluff of the OPEC gangsters

Me, too. The raghead gangsters, in a true clash of civilizations, are dead set on taking on BOTH the USA and Russia.

Russia has been our ally in the past, and now that they've thrown off the oppressive mantle of communism, it's easier for them to be our ally than at any time since WW2. The Russians have the same basic civilization we have. The Arabs and other assorted ragheads do not have the same basic civilization we have.

It's in Russia's best interest, too, to disregard the OPEC demand that production be cut. Kind of ironic, isn't it, that Russia's NOT GOING ALONG with OPEC is rather characteristic of a free market; the independent merchant who doesn't go along with the monopolistic cartel, but who undercuts the cartel, and has the strength to defy it.

44 posted on 11/27/2001 6:43:14 PM PST by Jay W
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To: ElkGroveDan
Full size SUVs - not those CRV wannabes!
45 posted on 11/27/2001 6:45:26 PM PST by ScottinSacto
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To: monkeyshine
RE: Saudi Arabia

Maybe the royal family could close a few of their palaces and gamble a little less in Monte Carlo. I feel for them!

46 posted on 11/27/2001 6:47:15 PM PST by Magician
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To: GuillermoX
$.769 is the cheapest in the country, from what a friend told me after he saw a news report. This is the Quik Trip on Abbots Bridge Road and Peachtree Industrial. Average in the Atlanta suburbs is somewhere around $.849.

I love it. The BP had $.849 per gallon today. These are late-70's prices returning!

Dare we hope for early-70's prices? How about 1960's prices?

Anyone for gas at $.389 a gallon? Put five bucks worth in and fill the tank?

47 posted on 11/27/2001 6:50:43 PM PST by Jay W
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To: marshmallow
On the same day Daschle buried ANWR. What's Daschle doing in charge of the Senate, anyhow? Is everyone else in the Senate ignoring the fact that we're at war? Why don't they take these anti-Americans out to the woodshed?
Daschle Stalls ANWR and Energy Bill, dead for the year.
48 posted on 11/27/2001 6:54:42 PM PST by Ragtime Cowgirl
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To: Jay W
In 1970 my father had a Cadillac Sedan DeVille. I slurped gas and got about 9 mpg. We used to stop in the Pathmark gas station in East Brunswick, NJ. Premium was .229. Regular was .189. And they gave you a crappy glass each time that immediately broke in the dishwasher, first time guaranteed. My dad was driving 50k plus miles per year and we a collection of glasses. He was getting them faster than mother could break them. And best of all, they cleaned your windshield too. They did a lousy job but they did clean it.
49 posted on 11/27/2001 6:56:13 PM PST by appeal2
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To: Dog Gone
FYI..... What is the economical/breakeven price of keeping the stripper wells flowing today? $12/14 bbl.
50 posted on 11/27/2001 6:57:43 PM PST by deport
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To: RogueIsland
...Does this mean we'll see a return of the Chevy LS6 and Olsmobile 455 Rocket?

Probably not. BUT, get ready for the refitting which will allow the Viper V-10 engine as an option on the 2002 Neon.

51 posted on 11/27/2001 6:59:50 PM PST by Sgt_Schultze
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To: Jay W
If the price drops to around $10.00 a barrel all US oil CO's will cease exploration and forever seal/cap many stripper wells. Essentially reducing our capacity to produce. (from someone in the know)
52 posted on 11/27/2001 7:00:01 PM PST by jbstrick
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To: mlocher
He is REALLY beginning to get on my nerves!
53 posted on 11/27/2001 7:02:03 PM PST by Howlin
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To: RogueIsland
"...Does this mean we'll see a return of the Chevy LS6 and Olsmobile 455 Rocket?..."

GEARHEAD!! OH HOW I LUST FOR SUNOCO-280!!!

Yes, I have a car that won't digest 93-Octane shit!

Someday soon, I hope. Stay well and vigilant, pal...FRegards

54 posted on 11/27/2001 7:05:11 PM PST by gonzo
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To: zlala
Take out the taxes and compare the prices!

It ain't the oil companies!!

55 posted on 11/27/2001 7:18:02 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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To: zlala
.769!!! I paid 1.399 last night up here in Washinton state. But we all know that the gas companies would never gouge us, right?

Just a question. How much drilling does Washington state allow?

Or does it all have to be shipped in?

56 posted on 11/27/2001 7:19:59 PM PST by chaosagent
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To: marshmallow
Sounds like a Buyer's Market. Maybe we should go around making purchasing agreements and circumvent the supply-side economics.
57 posted on 11/27/2001 8:12:19 PM PST by Justa
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To: breakem
If I am not mistaken, the Strategic Petroleum Reserve has a capacity of 800 million barrels. It is now at 100% capacity because W topped it off recently to replace clintoon's "emergency" 30 million bbl fiasco last year.
58 posted on 11/27/2001 8:23:23 PM PST by lafroste
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To: marshmallow
Typical. The Muslims who dominate OPEC are threatening oil martyrdom, a petrojihad. They think they can achieve absolute control and economic ascendancy by destroying the market. Typical totalitarian methods; like Osama, the Taliban and the rest, they too shall fail.
59 posted on 11/27/2001 8:34:04 PM PST by witnesstothefall
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To: lafroste
I'm installing a hundred million barrel tank in the back yard, just to help out a bit.
60 posted on 11/27/2001 9:08:38 PM PST by breakem
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