Posted on 11/19/2001 10:07:24 AM PST by Aurelius
Fields are refilling because they were produced too quickly, therefore outlying struture didn't have time to drain into area they were producing. It happens all the time. It doesn't support this theory.
Renewable may be however on a geologic or worse cosmic timetable.
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You can put all the truly major discoveries of oil by size on a time bar graph, starting with the giant East Texas Field in 1912 and including the Middle East, Russia, and anyplace else. Despite our ability to go deeper and explore in more inhospitable conditions, the discovery fields continue to get smaller and smaller in size.
The inescapable conclusion is that we've already discovered the "easy" oil that's out there. Could the reserves underlying Antarctica be equivalent to what we've already discovered elsewhere? Conceivably, but we may never know. The politics and economics won't allow it.
Will we discover another "East Texas Field" in the Lower 48? Not a chance.
By the way, the East Texas Field has been mostly plugged now. It's done.
Yes. Except, I have to wonder how large the lake that would contain all the available oil in the world would be.
In a way FR could be thought of as a think-tank. Ideas are often thrown onto the table, sometimes outrageous ideas. It should be noted that a percentage of asteroids and meteors are what they call carbonaceous chondrites:- frozen, mucky, carbon-rich bodies. One might assume that earth itself is made from the same stuff with the exact proportions controlled by its solar environment. Simply burning carbon fuels doesn't remove carbon from the earth, it goes back eventually into the sea and is subducted under the continents, there to be cycled through once more. In the long run, totally renewable. Maybe we can consume the hydrocarbons faster than they are produced, but that is a self-limiting process. When we run low, we will slow down; it's automatic, not a source of concern.
Wall Street Journal article:Odd Reservoir Off Louisiana Prods Oil Experts to Seek a Deeper Meaning
regards
But keep in mind that this is a very few instances out of literally hundreds of thousands of fields. If this were happening frequently, it would be a different matter.
The conventional wisdom is that the hydrocarbons we are finding and recovering didn't originate in that particular rock layer. Instead, we believe it originated from a source rock (usually a shale) and migrated upward until it hits a layer which it can't penetrate. We look for those seals, and hope to find hydrocarbons trapped underneath.
A lot of things can cause oil to migrate even today. A minor earthquake is a shift of those rocks and it is those new faults that provide a crack for upward migration.
There are any number of such explanations which could account for an old field recharging with new oil from below. In fact, under conventional thinking, it would be surprising if this DIDN'T occur once in awhile.
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