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Possible cause of AA flight 587 crash...a new thought
Vanity | 11/15/01 | Agent Smith

Posted on 11/16/2001 1:16:03 PM PST by Agent Smith

Up until now, my best guess as to the cause of the 587 crash was defective/substandard bolts used in attaching the vertical stabilizer to the tail and a failure to detect the problem through inspections.

However, I heard on the news last night that the vertical stabilizer was not fabricated from aluminium, but from a carbon fiber composite. This material is very strong and light but can fail catastrophically if a stress fracture/crack develops. Based on the photos of the recovered stabilizer showing that it was cleanly severed from the tail, I now believe that this is the most likely cause of the accident.

The turbulence from the JAL 747 was the straw that broke the camel's back.


TOPICS: Announcements; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: aaflight587; flight587
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To: Agent Smith
I believe it was just this tail number, not all A300s though. (I sit at my keyboard ready to be corrected...)
101 posted on 11/16/2001 1:17:57 PM PST by Blueflag
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To: Agent Smith
In that case, I think that you are going to have to check out the make, model number, and date of manufacture before you get on board any modern airplane.

I can start with the A300 Airbuses, if that tail section was in fact using graphite at a critical stress area. -Tom

102 posted on 11/16/2001 1:17:57 PM PST by Capt. Tom
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To: discostu
Thanks, I was just scanning it...BTW..in today's NY Daily News....and I guess it's online..big article and diagram about how the tail assembly is attached to the plane....bolts and a flange.......the bolts are OK..but the flange held......it looks like erector set constructyion to me......regards...
103 posted on 11/16/2001 1:17:59 PM PST by ken5050
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To: ken5050
Couldn't find that, but I did find this ...

Connectors Eyed Other experts said the tail fin on Flight 587 wouldn't have broken free unless something was wrong with the materials that attached it to the fuselage. The flanges between the tail fin and the fuselage broke off. Such flanges are made of a composite graphite material that NTSB investigators are closely examining. Hansman said the composite materials endure fatigue better than metals, but they are more easily damaged by impact. "And they can have internal damage that can't be seen," Hansman said. Even so, the plane was designed so that one or more flanges could crack and the tail would remain intact. "You'd be talking about a series of undetected cracks or failures," Darcy said.

source in NYDailynews.com

104 posted on 11/16/2001 1:18:00 PM PST by Blueflag
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To: Blueflag
"Also, the bolts were STILL IN the attachment points in the empenage, leaving one to infer that the VS indeed did fail above the empennage."

Please elaborate on that statement a little more for us non-engineers. Are you saying that the bolts were still in the vertical stabilizer or in the body of the plane to which the vert. stab. attached? Were the bolts still attached to the nuts (I assume that these bolts were secured by some type of nut). What's an empennage and why is that important?

Thank you in advance for your response.
105 posted on 11/16/2001 1:18:00 PM PST by Iwo Jima
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To: Blueflag
The graphic isn't on the website, but it's in the paper...shows the tail assembly, at the base it flares into a flange, which fits over the fuselage spar, then there are bolts on either side that go through the flange into the spar...seems the bolts are intact, but the flange itself sheared off....
106 posted on 11/16/2001 1:18:02 PM PST by ken5050
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To: Iwo Jima
see my #106....visualize the tail as flaring at the bottom..fits over the airframe spar..the bolts go in sideways on each side.....they are all intact....it seems to be a failure of the composition material that makes up the tail assembly...
107 posted on 11/16/2001 1:18:02 PM PST by ken5050
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To: Iwo Jima
OK, I'll give it a whirl.

First of all, the empennage is the rear of the airplane -- the tail assembly of an aircraft, including the horizontal and vertical stabilizers, elevators, and rudder. Now for this discussion, since the vertical stabilizer (the tail) detached from the airframe, the empennage is as above, but without the tail. The empennage was found on the ground at the crash site. What I have read tell me that the mounting flanges and bolts and nuts are all still in the empennage, nice and snug, thus the vertical stbilizer 'tore' off above its mounts. FReeper Zordas has info stating the the mounting flanges, nuts, bolts are inside the vertical stabilizer, still attached and snug, and thus the tail tore off inside the empennage. Either way, NO ONE is stating the nuts/bolts/flanges are the problem.

Now, folks are stating that composite materials are at issues, because that is the apparent failure point -- in fact a report from the crach site described the composite material in the empennage as looking like pieces of wheat straw (like the end of a broom) consistent with destructive failure of the material. That report is not (yet) in dispute.

So, what this establishes, so far, is that the vertical stabilizer appears to have separated from the airframe due to a strutural failure, not loose or faulty bolts.

NO RELIABLE source can state what caused the failure. We have enjoyed postulating on this thread. My own personal opinion is that the materials were close to fialure when the plane took off, and the airframe encountered fores that sheared off the tail, cleanly. It could have been wake turbulence. Maybe just the stress of flying was too much.

Once the aircraft lost the stabiliser, the tail, it departed controlled flight and crashed.

Now that you now what the empennage is, I think you can readily infer why it is important. A tall and big tail is important on swept wing jets to counter the effects of differential thrust (engines not pushing equally) and the resulting yaw, and because yaw (nose moving left or right relative to direction of flight) causes one wing to develop more lift than the other, and roll the airplane. The rudder 'straightens' the plane and evens out the roll. The tail is also just like the rudder on a boat. You can sterr an airplane with just the rudder, but that is called "un-coordinated" and can put the aircraft into what is called a skid (just like a car on ice).

Pardon the typos I 'm in a rush. Hope this helps.

108 posted on 11/16/2001 1:18:13 PM PST by Blueflag
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To: Iwo Jima
Also, check out Ken50_50s posts just above this.
109 posted on 11/16/2001 1:18:13 PM PST by Blueflag
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To: Zordas
Note these A300-600 ADs from CASA (Civil Aviation Safety Authority Australia):

Rudder Debonding

Rudder Servo Control Desynchronisation

Rudder Trim Runaway

I doubt any of these is actually a player in this incident, but it is interesting info I haven't seen posted.

110 posted on 11/16/2001 1:18:15 PM PST by MassLengthTime
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To: Blueflag
What I am concerned about the 'flawed composite material theory', is why didn't the material rip up wards, or with the wind flow, along the line of failure. While forces bending the tail are significant, the wind stream is also, and material would have been torn away, like a sheet.

If it was a force/bending action that cause failure of the material, there would have to be a bend line created to cause material failure, and that would have most likely occured at the bonding junction/edge of the doubler and the original material. When putting on the doubler, they would have had to sand a clean surface, possible fill the void with resin, apply resin to the original surface, apply the patch material, coat it again with resin, and possible form under vaccuum, (sealed bag in the immediate area) to prevent contamination, and use heat lamps to accelerate the curing cycle.

Of all the blades I personally tested, I never saw a doubler rip that I remember. I have seen skins rip, and quite quickly, too, but once bonded, all further rips or failures happened outside of the repair.

If this material tear is in the middle of the doubler section, then I would start talking about a bomb. Chances are, the doubler material is a different batch, maybe even a different manufacturer. At Kaman, we made the engine cowling for the CF-6 for GE, ailerons, flaps, stuff for the A-6, the original Osprey (AC #1), and blade skins for Sikorsky, too. I've seen lots of stuff go out the door that has held up quite well, and seen many repairs to blades and cowlings, too. To think that BOTH original material and doubler sections added for repairs failed at the same time, we are either talking about another COMET type design flaw or a bomb, or a stunt Airbuss A300!

111 posted on 11/16/2001 1:18:22 PM PST by RaceBannon
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To: RaceBannon
Race--

First of all, thanks for all your hard and visible work pursuing the truth in there in Mass. Keep up the good work.

Now, for this thread...

I do not believe anyone is saying the doublers failed. I do not know the name for the structural members that failed, but think of them as a 'spar', just vertical. As I understand it, the doubler, flange, nuts and bolts are all just fine. The composite structure 'beyond' that is what seem to have failed.

I thought from what I had read that the failed structure was up inside the VS, just above the flange. Vordas (fellow FReeper) says the failed part(s) is in the empennage/fuselage. No matter. It appears one or more vertical 'beams' failed and left the broom-straw evidence of failed composite.

I yield to your superior, experience-based knowledge of composites.

FReegards.

112 posted on 11/16/2001 1:18:24 PM PST by Blueflag
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To: Iwo Jima


Investigators look at the destroyed tail fin mounts of American Airlines flight 587 after the tail
section of the plane was loaded aboard a flatbed truck to be taken from the scene of the
airliner's crash in Queens, New York, November 15, 2001. NTSB investigators are examining
the possibility that the tail fin of the plane may have been the first part of the jet to break off in
flight before the crash. REUTERS/Jim Bourg






113 posted on 11/16/2001 1:18:26 PM PST by michigander
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To: Blueflag
From what I'm reading I'm being left with the impression (nobody is saying it outright, it's just how these things are coming together in my brain) that possibly the doubling and extra rivets created additional preasure in the area near this repair (not the repaired area itself). Like I said, nothing that anybody has said outright, just the feeling I'm getting that this repair cause a shift in how stressing forces were absorbed by the tail that weakened areas other than the actual repair.
114 posted on 11/16/2001 1:18:26 PM PST by discostu
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To: michigander
Interesting pictures. You wouldn't happen to have a shot of the tail being removed from the water and that stock shot of the plane? One thing I noticed when looking at those side by side is that there is a significant portion of the bottom of the tail that was not on the part removed from the bay (you could tell by the positioning of the blue A in the logo). Now looking at these picks it looks like pretty much the whole tail is no longer attached to the fuselage (expect the parts right around the bolts). So this bring up the question of where the rest of the tail is. Could be that the whole joining area (between the logo and fuselage) disintigrated, when composites give they don't mess around.
115 posted on 11/16/2001 1:18:40 PM PST by discostu
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To: discostu
I think the missing part is the rudder. It was located and recovered. Nothing sinister there. Th photos are revealing. I wish I knew enough to know what they show! Sure are clean breaks...
116 posted on 11/16/2001 1:18:41 PM PST by Blueflag
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To: discostu









117 posted on 11/16/2001 1:18:47 PM PST by michigander
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To: Blueflag
Crap, the pic got removed by the moderator (I really hate that, people shouldn't be so twitchy with the abuse button, or JR should change how a person gets pulled, I've lost some real useful stuff because of other things the person did), but on one of Tuesday's threads there was a great side by side of the tail getting pulled from the plane and a file photo of the plane working. You could really see that the part coming from the bay was the upper-forward third of the tail. Obviously the upper-rearward would be the rudder. But you could clearly see in the file photo that the lower A was a few feet above the fuselage, but only a few inches from the bottom of the recovered section. This actually gels well with the picks here since you can clearly see in the fuselage photos that it was not a clean break from the fuselage, but the bay piece looks like it came off clean.

I think what we've got is that the middle area (part between the A and fuselage) "disintigrated" (for lack of a better word). This would seem to reinforce the NTSB's current position that something caused the joining area to weaken, then when it hit WT the assembly couldn't take it any more, fell apart leaving the main tail intact but no longer part of the plane. It also really weakens the bomb/ sabatoge theory. That's a very long but short area to blow up, very difficult to do without damaging the rest of the tail, and there's no reason to put that much effort into a terrorist attack; and the pattern of failure is inconsistent with most plausible methods of sabatoge, which would focus on the bolts which are clearly still quite firmly in place.

118 posted on 11/16/2001 1:18:49 PM PST by discostu
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To: michigander
Interesting, different pics from different angle, shows thing a little differently. Now it doesn't look so much like the break was below the logo, but you can see gap zones that look like they'd puzzle piece together with the fuselage pretty nicely.

Shows how difficult this is to do from a far. Thanks, flight path charts look pretty informative too.

119 posted on 11/16/2001 1:18:52 PM PST by discostu
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To: Agent Smith
I think it was the turbulance cause by Hillary! on her broom racing to rundown another cop.
120 posted on 11/16/2001 1:18:53 PM PST by OrioleFan
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