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Isaias breaks 121-year record as the Atlantic's latest first hurricane
AccuWeather ^ | October 8, 2026 | Emilee Speck, AccuWeather staff writer & Brian Lada, AccuWeather meteorologist

Posted on 10/08/2026 10:33:27 AM PDT by lasereye

The Atlantic's hurricane drought is over, and it is now the longest on record. Isaias reached hurricane strength over the Gulf Wednesday night, according to the National Hurricane Center. That is later than the first hurricane of any season on record, surpassing the 7 p.m. Oct. 7 mark set in 1905.

Isaias is the ninth named storm of 2026. The first eight were all tropical storms, three of them hit the Gulf Coast, and none reached hurricane strength. In mid-September, Tropical Storm Fay came closest to hurricane status, peaking at 70 mph, 4 mph short of the Category 1 threshold.

What's next for the Gulf Coast

AccuWeather forecasts Isaias to peak as a Category 2 hurricane over the central Gulf. Landfall is expected late Friday night or early Saturday, most likely between southeastern Louisiana and the western Florida Panhandle.

Why it took so long to get a hurricane this season

A strengthening El Niño, possibly a record-strong one, has driven up wind shear across the Atlantic and kept storms from organizing. Gulf water temperatures in the 80s were the fuel Isaias needed.

AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva said Isaias was able to find a pocket of lower wind shear to develop and intensify.

"While El Niño does produce more frequent periods of wind shear across the Atlantic, it doesn't mean that wind shear will always be present across the entire basin throughout the season," DaSilva said. "There will be breaks in the shear and Isaiais was able to find one of the breaks in the shear. A break in the shear, combined with very warm water and a moist environment allowed this storm to form."

During Atlantic hurricane seasons when El Niño conditions are present, there are typically five hurricanes, fewer than when El Niño is not present. The busiest Atlantic hurricane seasons usually happen during La Niña, the counterpart to El Niño.

How close it came to no hurricanes at all

Only two seasons in the record, 1907 and 1914, had no known hurricane. Had Isaias fallen short, 2026 would have joined them as the first hurricane-free season in more than a century. Both of those seasons predate weather satellites, so hurricanes that stayed away from ships and land may have gone unrecorded.

AccuWeather experts are forecasting up to two hurricanes before the Atlantic hurricane season ends on Nov. 30.


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; US: Florida; US: Louisiana
KEYWORDS: 1907; 1914; elnino; hurricanes; isaias; noaa

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Hurricane drought??

Only two seasons in the record, 1907 and 1914, had no known hurricane. Had Isaias fallen short, 2026 would have joined them as the first hurricane-free season in more than a century. Both of those seasons predate weather satellites, so hurricanes that stayed away from ships and land may have gone unrecorded.

In other words, the Atlantic may have had hurricanes in those years. The NOAA hurricane database goes back to 1851. If 1907 and 1914 and each had exactly one hurricane, 2026 will be tied for the fewest hurricanes in 176 years (if there are no more hurricanes in 2026).

1 posted on 10/08/2026 10:33:27 AM PDT by lasereye
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To: lasereye

I wonder what Al Gore (a.k.a. Man-Bear-Pig) has to say.


2 posted on 10/08/2026 10:37:35 AM PDT by Sicon ("All animals are equal, but some animals are more equal than others." - G. Orwell)
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To: lasereye

Climate change! Somebody do SOMETHING!!


3 posted on 10/08/2026 10:38:53 AM PDT by Ken H (FReeper #240 - Dec 05, 1997)
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To: Ken H

So they had climate change 121 years ago? Back before they had SUVs?


4 posted on 10/08/2026 10:39:58 AM PDT by dfwgator ("I am Charlie Kirk!")
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To: lasereye

The Hurricane originated in the Gulf of America, not in the Atlantic.


5 posted on 10/08/2026 10:41:00 AM PDT by Deaf Smith (When a Texan takes his chances, chances will be taken that's for sure.)
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To: lasereye

I have previously posted that I cannot pronounce that name. I call it Hurricane ISIS. And I hope there is no terror and destruction from it.


6 posted on 10/08/2026 10:42:50 AM PDT by MtnClimber (For photos of scenery, wildlife and climbing, click on my screen name for my FR home page.)
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To: dfwgator

The headline is pure propaganda. At a glance it looks a record-breaking hurricane when the record is the amount of time between Hurricanes. If anything, it debunks the stupid climate BS.


7 posted on 10/08/2026 10:47:52 AM PDT by gibsonguy
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To: MtnClimber

I am sticking with “Isaiah’s” hurricane. I can not understand what they are saying on the radio with all their fake accents. (Because we are not allowed to say Isaias with a regular American accent I guess.)


8 posted on 10/08/2026 10:54:23 AM PDT by not in the club
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To: MtnClimber
I have previously posted that I cannot pronounce that name.

Maybe ask this fella:


9 posted on 10/08/2026 10:55:38 AM PDT by Ezekiel (🆘️ "Come fly with US". 🔴 Ingenuity -- because the Son of David begins with MARS ♂️, aka every man)
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To: gibsonguy

Agree...Just like after Katrina....They predicted Cat 5s as the new norm...and the next year was a Hurricane dud.


10 posted on 10/08/2026 10:56:29 AM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: dfwgator
They had locomotives...............
11 posted on 10/08/2026 10:59:00 AM PDT by Red Badger (Iryna Zarutska, May 22, 2002 Kyiv, Ukraine – August 22, 2025 Charlotte, North Carolina Say her name)
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To: Sacajaweau

“A fake fortuneteller can be tolerated. But an authentic soothsayer should be shot on sight. Cassandra did not get half the kicking around she deserved.” — Robert A. Heinlein, Time Enough for Love (1973


12 posted on 10/08/2026 11:00:57 AM PDT by PeterPrinciple ((Thinking Caps are no longer being issued, but there must be a warehouse full of them somewhere))
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To: Ken H

Experts are busy at work looking for the cow whose fart caused Isaias.


13 posted on 10/08/2026 11:02:11 AM PDT by DPMD (u)
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To: gibsonguy

The headline is accurate.


14 posted on 10/08/2026 11:02:33 AM PDT by lasereye
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To: Deaf Smith

So it’s the first hurricane to ever originate from the Gulf of America... Another one for the record books.


15 posted on 10/08/2026 11:08:42 AM PDT by jerod (Nazis were essentially Socialist in Hugo Boss uniforms... Get over it!)
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To: Sicon
I wonder what Al Gore (a.k.a. Man-Bear-Pig) has to say.

Al’s shacked up in his ocean front property counting the money he’s made from his global warming scam.

16 posted on 10/08/2026 11:20:25 AM PDT by Ditto
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To: MtnClimber

ee-SIGH-ass or ee-sa-ee-ass? Really! There are plenty of other “I” names in English, let alone around the world.

I like Ichiro, for one of the greatest hitters and baserunners in history.


17 posted on 10/08/2026 11:26:31 AM PDT by VanShuyten ("...that all the donkeys were dead. I know nothing as to the fate of the less valuable animals. )
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To: VanShuyten

T think it should be i-see-a-ASS.


18 posted on 10/08/2026 11:29:20 AM PDT by MtnClimber (For photos of scenery, wildlife and climbing, click on my screen name for my FR home page.)
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To: dfwgator

Shhh 🤫
Quit with the logic… lefties are already in mourning and you just wanna rub salt into the wound…


19 posted on 10/08/2026 12:06:45 PM PDT by Maskot (Put every dem/lib in prison........like yesterday!!! )
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To: lasereye

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/


20 posted on 10/08/2026 12:15:40 PM PDT by yefragetuwrabrumuy ("We come in peace. Don't look too carefully at our menus.")
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