Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Tehran is losing its grip on Hormuz, and with it all its leverage
NY Post ^ | 8 13 | Mark Dubowitz, Richard Goldberg

Posted on 08/15/2026 6:28:57 AM PDT by dennisw

According to US Energy Secretary Chris Wright, an average of 9 million barrels of oil are passing through Hormuz daily, while between 5 million to 7 million barrels are reaching consumers through “newly upgraded pipelines and export facilities.”

Many ships moving covertly through Hormuz with US Navy assistance, going uncounted by analysts who rely solely on open-source data.

It also ignores the spectacular transformation of the oil export route that’s currently underway.

The United Arab Emirates is fast-tracking a new west-east pipeline to Fujairah, which will allow exports to bypass Hormuz at minimal cost lies outside the strait.

The Abu Dhabi National Oil Company announced in May that construction was about 50% complete, with operations expected to launch next year.

This means that the UAE can soon bypass Hormuz at minimal cost.

The Saudis are moving in a similar direction, seeking to add 1 million to 2 million barrels per day of capacity to their east-west network running to the Red Sea.

The United States should now actively work with its Gulf allies to eclipse Iran even further.

The US Development Finance Corporation, which possesses $205 billion in investment capacity, is uniquely capable of facilitating export routes that avoid Hormuz.

It can also demand a significant share of the equity in this burgeoning consortium, with the benefits passed on to American US taxpayers.

Stay the course

The situation further afield works to America’s favor too, as well with the United States continues to set records for oil and gas production and exports.

Venezuela’s oil exports reached approximately some 1.16 million barrels per day in July, with roughly 786,000 of those heading to the US — the highest US-bound volume in seven years.

(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Crime/Corruption; Foreign Affairs
KEYWORDS: dubowitz; goldberg

Click here: to donate by Credit Card

Or here: to donate by PayPal

Or by mail to: Free Republic, LLC - PO Box 9771 - Fresno, CA 93794

Thank you very much and God bless you.


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-28 next last
TL;DR -- 15 million barrels daily of Middle East oil are getting out on tankers to the buyers. This is why world crude is stable at ~80 dollars. The pre-war number was 20 million barrels daily.

KHARG ISLAND -- ZERO oil has been loaded onto tankers since July 31st. The IRGC chumps are defunded and seething.

1 posted on 08/15/2026 6:28:57 AM PDT by dennisw
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: dennisw
Headline correction:

Tehran is losing its grip on the Territory of Hormuz...

2 posted on 08/15/2026 6:32:27 AM PDT by C210N
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dennisw

“Venezuela’s oil exports reached approximately some 1.16 million barrels per day in July, with roughly 786,000 of those heading to the US — the highest US-bound volume in seven years.”

We have the specialized refineries in Texas and Louisiana that deal very well with thick, tar-like Venezuelan crude. Win-Win by President Trump when he got rid of stupid commie Maduro. Ally of China and Russia.


3 posted on 08/15/2026 6:32:36 AM PDT by dennisw ("If they make something really good, they will inevitably stop making it." - Robert Quine)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: C210N

“Tehran is losing its grip on the Territory of Hormuz...”

The IRGC calls the shots in Iran. My bet is that the Hormuz region IRGC calls the shots within the IRGC. That they also defy and act independently of IRGC central command in Teheran. They get pissed off at Trump, so want to hit an oil tanker with drones and missiles, they just do it.


4 posted on 08/15/2026 6:37:22 AM PDT by dennisw ("If they make something really good, they will inevitably stop making it." - Robert Quine)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: dennisw

Iran can go terrorize themselves in 12 mos, their oil will be not needed.


5 posted on 08/15/2026 6:44:19 AM PDT by bray (Thank God for Israel)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bray

This came from the Trump haters at the Post? All we hear is what a mess it is. That is by design of course because nothing is more important than giving the rats control of Congress to the MSM.


6 posted on 08/15/2026 6:48:54 AM PDT by gibsonguy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: dennisw
Had the regime in Tehran followed late Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s plan ... then its blockade of Hormuz would likely be permanent.

This is also my theory I have expressed: it was always part of Iran's plan to close the strait at some point. Trump preempted their long-term strategy, causing them to act prematurely.
7 posted on 08/15/2026 6:50:22 AM PDT by Chad_the_Impaler
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dennisw

Once the strategic chokepoint at Hormuz is nullified, by diversion to other means and route of transport by oil pipelines overland to ports on the Indian Ocean and the Red Sea, even to the Mediterranean, Iran shall be reduced to zero effect on the movement of oil in world commerce. And they still may not be able to load out their own oil from Kharg Island.

How badly does the IRGC have to be bleeding resources until they see the futility of their “brave” resistance to what they consider to be the oppression of the US and Israel?


8 posted on 08/15/2026 6:51:54 AM PDT by alloysteel (In life, you sell only your time, and you buy only your satisfaction. No other transactions apply.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: gibsonguy

They don’t even realize the incredible good news that report has. Oil transport is only down 25% of 20% of total oil production. Gas prices should beging lowering again and nothing Iran can do about it.

Trump was brilliant with this.


9 posted on 08/15/2026 6:52:23 AM PDT by bray (Thank God for Israel)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: alloysteel

They’re fanatics, it won’t stop till every one of them is dead


10 posted on 08/15/2026 6:58:21 AM PDT by Jeff Vader
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: dennisw

I like the sound of this.


11 posted on 08/15/2026 6:58:54 AM PDT by Yardstick
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dennisw

Bypassing Hormuz is long overdue and should have been done in the 1980s. The 2000s at the latest, as there were multiple viable bypass options presented at the time.


12 posted on 08/15/2026 7:03:55 AM PDT by Spktyr (Overwhelmingly superior firepower and the willingness to use it is the only proven peace solution.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dennisw

The NY Times said Iran is winning the war. To me, they are just a few months from irrelevancy. No oil, no money, can’t pay terrorists. When you can’t pay for your terrorists, they will go to the highest bidders, even if it means terrorizing Iran.

Those that doubted Trump are just months away from yet another humiliation, if the NYT is wrong and the Post is right.


13 posted on 08/15/2026 7:10:10 AM PDT by Pete Dovgan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dennisw

Bkmk


14 posted on 08/15/2026 7:11:56 AM PDT by sauropod (Make sure Satan has to climb over a lot of Scripture to get to you. John MacArthur Ne supra crepidam)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: C210N

U.S. Territory- Hormuz.
.
Trump announced Today.
.
The Art of the Deal.


15 posted on 08/15/2026 7:16:55 AM PDT by Big Red Badger (Good SCIENCE is Not Faith BUT Curiosity. )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: C210N

Not to mention the black mailer Lloyd’s of London. This tickles me more than anything else.


16 posted on 08/15/2026 7:17:58 AM PDT by nikos1121
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Big Red Badger

And the media will chomp on this bone...lol


17 posted on 08/15/2026 7:26:20 AM PDT by Sacajaweau
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: Spktyr

“Bypassing Hormuz is long overdue and should have been done in the 1980s. The 2000s at the latest, as there were multiple viable bypass options presented at the time.”

Saudis are the leaders here. Their pipeline to the Red Sea can send 4-5 million barrels daily to their port of Yanbu . And this pipeline + Yanbu oil loading are being upgraded. Houthis are a menace at Bab Al Mandeb straits. But oil tankers also can head north through the Suez canal.

Saudi also has a 2x million barrels per day pipeline to Egypt >>>> Oil exports from Egypt’s Mediterranean port of Sidi Kerir have more than doubled to about 2.3 million barrels per day in August


18 posted on 08/15/2026 7:32:04 AM PDT by dennisw ("If they make something really good, they will inevitably stop making it." - Robert Quine)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: Pete Dovgan
if the NYT is wrong and the Post is right.

Rule of thumb, The New York Times doesn't report what is happening, it reports what it wishes was happening.

19 posted on 08/15/2026 7:33:55 AM PDT by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60s, you weren't really there)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: dennisw

If you think Chris Wright is telling the truth.


20 posted on 08/15/2026 7:43:17 AM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-28 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson