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James Talarico’s Chances of Beating Ken Paxton in Texas Get Boost—Poll
Newsweek ^ | Jun 09, 2026 | Andrew Stanton

Posted on 06/09/2026 1:39:06 PM PDT by nickcarraway

Democratic state Representative James Talarico holds a 3‑point lead over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the latest poll of Texas's U.S. Senate race released Tuesday.

Despite Texas’s reputation as a reliably Republican state, Democrats are hopeful about their chances of flipping the seat in November due to a favorable national environment fueled by President Donald Trump’s negative approval rating, political baggage carried by Paxton and reversion among Hispanic voters who trended toward the GOP in 2024.

Even as polls show a potentially competitive race, Texas is viewed as an uphill challenge for Democrats, but the new poll released Tuesday by Reconnaissance Market Research and the Siena Research Institute is welcome news for Talarico about his current standing against Paxton.

Newsweek reached out to the Talarico and Paxton campaigns via email for comment.

(Excerpt) Read more at newsweek.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: fakenews; fakepolls; newsweak; talafreako

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1 posted on 06/09/2026 1:39:06 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: nickcarraway

I remember Ted Cruz supposedly being down 3 points in the polls and he won by 12, not even close


2 posted on 06/09/2026 1:40:08 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: nickcarraway

We’ll see on Election Day.


3 posted on 06/09/2026 1:40:29 PM PDT by al_c (Democrats: Party over Common Sense)
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To: nickcarraway

Yeah.....not buying it.

At all.


4 posted on 06/09/2026 1:40:47 PM PDT by FLT-bird
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To: All

Ken will win by 10 points.


5 posted on 06/09/2026 1:42:03 PM PDT by escapefromboston (Peace, commerce and honest friendship with all nations, entangling alliances with none.)
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To: Sarah Barracuda

Didn’t he beat O’Rourke by less than 1%?


6 posted on 06/09/2026 1:42:06 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: FLT-bird

Newsweak. What can you expect?


7 posted on 06/09/2026 1:42:08 PM PDT by fwdude (Why is there a "far/radical right," but damned if they'll admit that there is a far/radical left)
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To: nickcarraway

Got to set the stage.


8 posted on 06/09/2026 1:42:16 PM PDT by FreeperCell
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To: nickcarraway
MSM: Harris has the lead in Iowa, 47-44% (Nov 2, 2024).

Reality: Harris loses Iowa 55.7-42.5% to Trump on Election Day 2024.

9 posted on 06/09/2026 1:42:37 PM PDT by CatOwner (Don't expect anyone, even conservatives, to have your back when the SHTF in 2021 and beyond.)
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To: nickcarraway

Newsweek needs to travel into the future, and them come back and report on the September/October polls.

Newsweek is trying to make things happen for democrats, but democrats have a way of leading the biased polls way before the polls actually count.


10 posted on 06/09/2026 1:43:11 PM PDT by adorno ( )
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To: nickcarraway

🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
Delusional


11 posted on 06/09/2026 1:43:18 PM PDT by Skwor
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To: nickcarraway
Well President Trump isn't helping with his shilly-shally handling of Iran. Trump's a contractor—sub out Iran to Bibi. He knows what to do.

12 posted on 06/09/2026 1:43:36 PM PDT by Governor Dinwiddie ( O give thanks unto the Lord, for He is gracious, and his mercy endures forever. — Psalm 106)
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To: nickcarraway
Didn’t he beat O’Rourke by less than 1%?

3%. The DEMs put nearly every dollar they could into that race, and native Texans almost gave the election to Beto.

13 posted on 06/09/2026 1:43:36 PM PDT by CatOwner (Don't expect anyone, even conservatives, to have your back when the SHTF in 2021 and beyond.)
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To: nickcarraway

Newsweak...


14 posted on 06/09/2026 1:44:26 PM PDT by aquila48 (Do not let them make you "care" ! Guilting you is how they control you. )
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To: nickcarraway

2.6%


15 posted on 06/09/2026 1:45:11 PM PDT by Fledermaus ("It turns out all we really needed was a new President!")
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To: nickcarraway

~2.5 points


16 posted on 06/09/2026 1:46:15 PM PDT by Texas_Jarhead
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To: nickcarraway

Sienna Polling is the NYT’s near-captive polling organization. It is always left biased.


17 posted on 06/09/2026 1:47:42 PM PDT by MeanWestTexan (Sometimes There Is No Lesser Of Two Evils)
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To: nickcarraway

poll is garbage - too many women, too many college graduates

https://reconmr.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/TXPLV-Crosstabs-1.pdf


18 posted on 06/09/2026 1:47:44 PM PDT by Baladas
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To: nickcarraway

The cheaters are emboldened by the fiasco in California. That’s why the polls always skew democrat. Because they account for the cheat.


19 posted on 06/09/2026 1:49:06 PM PDT by youngidiot (Race is irrelevant to everyone except the racists )
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To: nickcarraway

Push poll. These people are running on hopium, a most delightful form of high optimism based on living entirely within an echo chamber environment. Of course, there is the big letdown on the other side of the contest, as the hopium disappears in the twilight.


20 posted on 06/09/2026 1:50:26 PM PDT by alloysteel (The body may betray or fail. The spirit shall endure and prevail. Courage, courage.)
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