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Ukraine War Enters 'A New Phase'
PJ Media ^ | 05/27/2026 | Stephen Green

Posted on 05/27/2026 9:17:16 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

"Russia is considering limiting exports of diesel and jet fuel," Bloomberg and other sources reported Tuesday, "as refinery run rates fall to multi-year lows amid Ukraine’s escalating attacks." An Interfax source claimed that the decision to ban exports is at "an advanced stage," but no date has been set.

If it comes to pass, that would be bad for diesel prices and inflation right here at home, but worse for Moscow's finances. Just the fact that the Kremlin is considering an export ban is more evidence that Kyiv's drone campaign is increasingly effective — against Russia's energy production at home, and closer to the frontlines in Ukraine.

The brutal math is that most months this year, Ukraine managed to kill or wound more Russian soldiers than Moscow was able to recruit. After nearly four-and-a-half years of remorseless attritional warfare, that's not a good place to be. And it wasn't supposed to happen this way.

ISW's George Barros said on Monday, "The war in Ukraine has entered a new phase."

Well, maybe take a statement like that one with several grains of salt. While ISW's reporting is rock solid — everything they post in their daily Russo-Ukraine War updates is open-source and verifiable — the organization's analysis can be somewhat (ahem) less reliable.

Estimates vary, but ISW believes that Russian forces suffered a net loss of territory in April, while others claim it happened in April and in February. There are still a few days of fighting to go in May, but Russia is believed to maybe have lost a little ground again this month.

Through the end of April, Russian advances in 2026 average about 2.9 km² per day, down sharply from 9.76 km² per day in early 2025. Russian casualties are much higher, too.

(Excerpt) Read more at pjmedia.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Russia; Ukraine
KEYWORDS: absurdzeeping; bloomberg; drones; proxywar; putinthewarpig; russia; russiankeywordtroll; russiansuicide; thebozo; ukraine; vladtheimploder; welfarewar; zeepgasms

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1 posted on 05/27/2026 9:17:16 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Regardless if you hate Zelensky or Putin or Ukraine or Russia:

For a nuclear “superpower” like Russia to get bogged down in a war with Ukraine for over 4 years;
And to allow Ukraine to launch attacks deep into Russia,
Is a pathetic performance by Putin.

The only sensible approach was to win quickly and to knock out the smaller country’s retaliatory capability.

Compare this to what we did in Iran. Putin never should have gotten himself into such a ridiculous situation.

This is like us attacking Cuba and letting Cuba send drones into NYC for 4 years.


2 posted on 05/27/2026 9:29:21 PM PDT by Williams (Thank God for the election of President Trump!)
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To: Williams

Aye.

Let us put an end...


3 posted on 05/27/2026 9:30:39 PM PDT by lightman (Beat the Philly fraud machine the Amish did onest, ja? Nein, zweimal they did already!)
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To: Williams

[Regardless if you hate Zelensky or Putin or Ukraine or Russia:

For a nuclear “superpower” like Russia to get bogged down in a war with Ukraine for over 4 years;
And to allow Ukraine to launch attacks deep into Russia,
Is a pathetic performance by Putin.

The only sensible approach was to win quickly and to knock out the smaller country’s retaliatory capability.

Compare this to what we did in Iran. Putin never should have gotten himself into such a ridiculous situation.

This is like us attacking Cuba and letting Cuba send drones into NYC for 4 years.]


Nothing ridiculous about this. It was never about Ukrainians being unable to fight. A quarter of Ukraine (Polish territory before WW2) fought for a decade after WW2 with captured Soviet and German war surplus, lost 200K dead, on a population base of 8m. And Ukraine overall lost 6m dead in WW2. No one thought Ukrainians couldn’t fight. Putin bet they wouldn’t. He was wrong.


4 posted on 05/27/2026 10:04:36 PM PDT by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room)
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To: Williams
Ukraine's greatest challenge is a lack of funds and their main ally is no longer enthusiastic about supporting their war effort.

So they're trying to get the Europeans to contribute more but there's a limit to that.

This war can go on for another ten years and in this particular scenario, Russia is going to win because this is a war of attrition.

5 posted on 05/27/2026 10:19:25 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: lightman

...and remember that “a minor incursion” would never have happened if the Demoncrats hadn’t cheated...!


6 posted on 05/27/2026 11:23:39 PM PDT by Does so (Book:"The Party of Death"...Dem☭¢rats ™ ® © ≣ ½⅓⅔¼¾ ⅛⅜⅝⅞ ⅓ ⅕ ⅖ ⅗ ⅘ ⅙ ⅚)
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To: SeekAndFind
Anyone else notice how quiet the Putin-supporters here at Free Republic have gotten lately?

Seems like their enthusiasm for Putin's invasion and all the concomitant moral posturing about "denazification" was, after all, based largely upon their desire to be "on the winning side."

Regards,

7 posted on 05/28/2026 1:52:53 AM PDT by alexander_busek (Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.)
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To: Williams

The only sensible approach was to win quickly and to knock out the smaller country’s retaliatory capability.

_____________________

That was the original plan.
Russia main target in the beginning of the war was Kiev.
They wanted to install friendly government there and declare victory.
They even had parade uniforms ready for the Kiev victory parade, which never happened.
After the initial defeat, Russia changed strategy, pulled out of North Ukraine and began the war of attrition in Southeast, which is still continuing to this day.


8 posted on 05/28/2026 3:07:46 AM PDT by AZJeep (sane )
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To: SeekAndFind

How much refined products have they been exporting lately, as I understand India and China want crude. They have their own refineries


9 posted on 05/28/2026 3:19:21 AM PDT by blitz128
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To: Zhang Fei

Where and how did they lose these 200k after ww2?


10 posted on 05/28/2026 3:21:26 AM PDT by blitz128
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To: SeekAndFind

They enter a new phase every day...


11 posted on 05/28/2026 3:46:00 AM PDT by maddog55 (The only thing systemic in America is the left's hatred of it! I want lower taxes.)
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To: SeekAndFind

We’ve seen this movie before.
Russia backs up.
Attacker moves forward.
Russia takes advantage of the attacker who pushed forward too far


12 posted on 05/28/2026 4:41:48 AM PDT by Steven Tyler
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To: Zhang Fei

who were they fighting after WW eleven?


13 posted on 05/28/2026 4:43:23 AM PDT by Steven Tyler
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To: blitz128; marcusmaximus; Paul R.; Bruce Campbells Chin; PIF; familyop; MercyFlush; tet68; BeauBo; ..

Ukraine ping

[Where and how did they lose these 200k after ww2?]


Postwar fighting Russia. They were part of Poland, didn’t want to be part of Russia. Really ugly war on both sides. Crimea in 1954 was a salve, came at the end of the decade-long war after the war, crumbs offered as a kind of unspoken apology, part of why Ukraine feels it’s indivisible.

200K dead might be low, given the Russian imprecision with numbers that make them look bad (i.e. large scale atrocity). Can’t tell if 2m dead is likely, but several times 200K dead is highly plausible. Combatant dead was estimated at 180K.

For perspective, in the Battle of Manila, which lasted 4 weeks, 100K civilians died, 1K GIs, 16K Japanese. So 1m dead total is not unthinkable for the Ukrainian insurgency, which lasted a decade. In the 3 year Korean War, 3m civilians died.


14 posted on 05/28/2026 4:48:47 AM PDT by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room)
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To: Steven Tyler

[who were they fighting after WW eleven?]


Postwar fighting Russia. They were part of Poland, didn’t want to be part of Russia. Really ugly war on both sides. Crimea in 1954 was a salve, came at the end of the decade-long war after the war, crumbs offered as a kind of unspoken apology, part of why Ukraine feels it’s indivisible.

200K dead might be low, given the Russian imprecision with numbers that make them look bad (i.e. large scale atrocity). Can’t tell if 2m dead is likely, but several times 200K dead is highly plausible. Combatant dead was estimated at 180K.

For perspective, in the Battle of Manila, which lasted 4 weeks, 100K civilians died, 1K GIs, 16K Japanese. So 1m dead total is not unthinkable for the Ukrainian insurgency, which lasted a decade. In the 3 year Korean War, 3m civilians died.


15 posted on 05/28/2026 4:51:42 AM PDT by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room)
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To: Zhang Fei

Was unaware of this and will dig into it.

More examples of Stalin/russian contempt for “their” people


16 posted on 05/28/2026 5:05:41 AM PDT by blitz128
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To: SeekAndFind

There are so few Rah Rah Ukraine War articles by Zeepers now.

Did the propaganda corruption money run out? No more Brandon bucks?

Ukraine is the most corrupt country I ever encountered and I worked in 40+.


17 posted on 05/28/2026 5:19:24 AM PDT by FlyingEagle
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To: FlyingEagle

There are not now and never were any Zeepers. The word is coined by ignorant Freepers who lack the intellect to understand what is happening.

The Ukraine led by President Zelensky is systematically,day by day, destroying the Russian capability to have an oil industry. The same procedures that are largely un defended against are also destroying all sorts of military manufacturing capabilities.

Russia is in an economic depression from which it may take 50 years to recover from.


18 posted on 05/28/2026 5:24:27 AM PDT by bert ( (KE. NP. +12) Quid Quid Nominatur Fabricatur)
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To: Williams

I wonder if Russia has had to start cannibalizing it’s strategic forces (ICBMs and SLBMS, ETC)to sustain non-nuclear missile production for use in Ukraine?


19 posted on 05/28/2026 5:30:22 AM PDT by desertsolitaire (o)
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To: Zhang Fei
Postwar fighting Russia. They were part of Poland, didn’t want to be part of Russia. Really ugly war on both sides. Crimea in 1954 was a salve, came at the end of the decade-long war after the war, crumbs offered as a kind of unspoken apology, part of why Ukraine feels it’s indivisible.

In Western Ukraine after WWII there were many Greek Catholics who were distinct from the greater Orthodox population. Many of them wanted an independent Ukraine, but there were also the Carpo-Rusyns who didn't want to be forced into the Soviet Ukrainian ethnicity or language, and had preferred to be part of Poland, e.g., the Lemkos.
20 posted on 05/28/2026 5:41:21 AM PDT by Dr. Franklin ("A republic, if you can keep it." )
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