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Democrat Kathy Hochul’s Chances of Losing to GOP in New York—New Poll
Newsweek ^ | Mar 31, 2026 at 01:08 PM EDT | Jesus Mesa, Politics Reporter

Posted on 03/31/2026 5:09:03 PM PDT by Olog-hai

Governor Kathy Hochul’s once-commanding lead over Republican Bruce Blakeman has eroded by half in three months, collapsing from 26 points in January to just 13 points, according to the latest Siena Research Institute poll.

The result marked a 7-point tightening from February, as independents shifted toward Blakeman even as Hochul’s favorability and job approval ratings held steady. […]

The state has not elected a Republican governor since 2002, but the Siena poll showed movement toward Blakeman for the second consecutive month, signaling potential vulnerability for Hochul if the trend persists into the budget season and broader campaign. …

(Excerpt) Read more at newsweek.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Government; Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: blakeman; hochul; lockdowntyrant; newsweak; scamdemic; shamdemic; sienapoll

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Unable to cheat as easily as last time?
1 posted on 03/31/2026 5:09:03 PM PDT by Olog-hai
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To: Olog-hai

Just..... 13 points.

If these trends continue... aaay! [/Disco Stu]

If Blakeman loses by only as much as Zeldin did, which he won’t, he’ll have done fantastic.


2 posted on 03/31/2026 5:16:42 PM PDT by PermaRag (Facts, context, and more facts)
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To: Olog-hai

Kathy told all the rich people to move to Florida. They did. Now she wants to delay the global warming scam out further in the future. And the commie RATS won’t talk to her about a budget. Quite the pickle


3 posted on 03/31/2026 5:22:28 PM PDT by Libloather (Why do climate change hoax deniers live in mansions on the beach?)
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To: Olog-hai

So we all gather together to fight for the rino opponent-worth it?


4 posted on 03/31/2026 5:26:04 PM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: Olog-hai
Can't tell you how much I loathe her. The idea that she can mandate all electric houses is an absurdity. I'm livid.

I go to the laundromat and use the nice old machines which actually clean my clothes...unlike the HE machines in my apartment complex.

5 posted on 03/31/2026 5:31:43 PM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: Olog-hai

This is EXACTLY what communist AWFL Kathy and the NY communists want...
NY is about to collapse from their green energy fiasco, and there’s nothing they can really do about it. THey want to ensure a Republican’t gets to enherit their messy chaos that’s about to place in order to blame the new person.
GOP should just back out and let em own it.


6 posted on 03/31/2026 5:39:10 PM PDT by lgjhn23 ("On the 8th day, Satan created the progressive liberal to destroy all the good that God created...")
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To: Olog-hai

New York is a top-heavy uniparty state. Its politics are run by woke NY City.

NY’s budget relies on Wall Street taxes and Fed.gov transfers. The top 1% of earners pay 45% of income taxes.

Meanwhile the rest of the state is turning into a cross between Appalachia and East Germany.


7 posted on 03/31/2026 6:01:59 PM PDT by PGR88
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To: lgjhn23

Don’t worry, there’s absolutely no chance of the Republican getting elected Governor of NY.


8 posted on 03/31/2026 6:13:03 PM PDT by Orosius
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To: Olog-hai

Don’t hold your breath.


9 posted on 03/31/2026 6:27:54 PM PDT by Ge0ffrey
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To: Libloather

She was so vicious, triumphant and contemptuous when she told them to leave.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kw8QQPvlkYM

Screw her and her jacked up face.


10 posted on 03/31/2026 6:32:29 PM PDT by Cowgirl of Justice
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To: Olog-hai

What she and her communist democrat ilk did to electricity rates in the state has not gone unnoticed by those that have to try and pay the bills.


11 posted on 03/31/2026 7:00:11 PM PDT by Revel
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To: Olog-hai

NYS Election Commission by a 4-3 vote yesterday denied Blakeman matching funds because of an error when submitting request. Hochul has 20 mill. Blakeman has 1.6 mill. Blakeman’s fat ego got the best of him after his reelection. When he announced Stefanik did not want to get in a primary contest so she withdrew. Blakeman is 71 and well past his best.Hochul wins by 13 and takes 3 or 4 GOP seats with her. The 11 seats GOP won in ‘22 and the 9 they defended gave the GOP the House. Buh Bye


12 posted on 03/31/2026 7:33:11 PM PDT by xkaydet65
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To: xkaydet65

“Hochul wins .... and takes 3 or 4 GOP seats with her. “

GOP minus-1 IN NY? Yes. Minus-2 or more, not so certain.

They already gave back in 2024 much of what they captured, by fluke, in 2022: CD-3 (Santos), CD-4 (D’Esposito), CD-19 (Molinaro), CD-22 (Williams). That last one was gerrymandered away to some extent, but would likely have been lost anyway.

For 2026 Lawler (R) is as good as gone in CD-17 and he knows it, but IMO no other GOP seats are in serious danger as things stand now.

Malliotakis (R) in CD-11 dodged a bullet when a court stopped the attempted Democrat gerrymander which specifically targeted her. That doesn’t means she’s 100% safe because she’s not, but she should be somewhat favored.

The only other possible flips from R to D in NY are CD-1 and CD-2. They are perhaps even less safe than CD-11 but still should be held by Republicans absent some “blue wave”.

There will be one of those, but the question is how big? Big enough to dislodge the two Republicans out towards the end of Long Island? For now I’d say ‘no’, though it may be close and will certainly be closer than usual.


13 posted on 03/31/2026 8:05:47 PM PDT by PermaRag (Facts, context, and more facts)
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To: PermaRag

The ICE appearances have not been greeted warmly out East, especially on the North Fork. It’s possible it costs the GOP Dist 1. The wineries bring a lot of people out east and they have lunch or dinner, venture into Greenport and pick up a book at Burtons, a knick knack Lydia’s. Hurt the wineries and every business out there gets hurt and other than the tasting staffs, the actual wine makers, the office guys and the bosses not a single American works the field in any of the wineries. Take a handful away the wineries cut back production. That happens and people lose money. Who gets the blame?


14 posted on 03/31/2026 8:41:13 PM PDT by xkaydet65
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