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Trump administration underestimated Iran war’s impact on Strait of Hormuz
CNN ^ | March 12, 2026 | Zachary Cohen

Posted on 03/12/2026 11:05:45 PM PDT by Trump20162020

The Pentagon and National Security Council significantly underestimated Iran’s willingness to close the Strait of Hormuz in response to US military strikes while planning the ongoing operation, according to multiple sources familiar with the matter.

President Donald Trump’s national security team failed to fully account for the potential consequences of what some officials have described as a worst-case scenario now facing the administration, the sources said.

And now it may be weeks before the administration’s efforts to alleviate the intensifying economic fallout take hold, officials said Thursday, including high-risk naval escorts of oil tankers through the strait that the Pentagon believes are currently too dangerous to conduct. The president, meanwhile, has continued to downplay the tumult in energy markets.

The reality in the strait has left diplomatic counterparts, former US economic and energy officials and industry executives who spoke with CNN in a state of confusion and disbelief.

“Planning around preventing this exact scenario — impossible as it has long seemed — has been a bedrock principle of US national security policy for decades,” a former US official who served in Republican and Democratic administrations said. “I’m dumbfounded.”

Top Trump officials acknowledged to lawmakers during recent classified briefings that they did not plan for the possibility of Iran closing the strait in response to strikes, according to three sources familiar with the closed-door session.

(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Foreign Affairs; Iran
KEYWORDS: 100percent; 100percentfake; anonymousbs; anonymoussources; certainlynotnews; clintonnonnews; cnn; cnnfakenooz; completebaloney; energy; fakenews; gaslighting; gasoline; iran; iranwar; notawar; ofcourse; oil; pagingthefafocrowd; petroleum; specialmilitaryop; straitofhormuz; tankers; tds; trump; yep; zacharycohen
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1 posted on 03/12/2026 11:05:45 PM PDT by Trump20162020
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To: Trump20162020
...officials acknowledged to lawmakers during recent classified briefings that they did not plan for the possibility of Iran closing the strait in response to strikes ...

That seems impossible. Even teenagers on Instagram knew that a war would close the Straits of Hormouz.

2 posted on 03/12/2026 11:25:14 PM PDT by BlackVeil ('The past is never dead. It's not even past.' William Faulkner)
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To: Trump20162020

“ according to multiple sources familiar with the matter.”

Like who?

Hard pass, CNN.


3 posted on 03/12/2026 11:26:01 PM PDT by stanne
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To: Trump20162020

Or maybe they didnt, but had to push through with the risks of war with Iran.


4 posted on 03/12/2026 11:51:15 PM PDT by Jonty30 (I would have been an awesome merchant marine. I can sell convenient store items very well.)
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To: Trump20162020

What are we gaining from this war?


5 posted on 03/12/2026 11:57:01 PM PDT by ArcadeQuarters (You can't remove RINOs by voting for them!)
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To: ArcadeQuarters
What are we gaining from this war?

Some American women learning what their life will be like should the Muslims take over the USA.

This by the large number of Persian women who are refugees in western nations speaking out and demonstrating against our clueless leftist rioters.

This may change the way some western women vote and behave in the future.

6 posted on 03/13/2026 12:04:29 AM PDT by Mogger ( 7th generation Vermonter, refugee in New Hampshire hoping NH remains sane.)
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To: ArcadeQuarters

Dead terrorists.


7 posted on 03/13/2026 12:07:07 AM PDT by toddausauras (47 47 47 )
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To: Trump20162020
Image
8 posted on 03/13/2026 12:14:47 AM PDT by CFW
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To: ArcadeQuarters

“What are we gaining from this war?”

More debt and more enemies.


9 posted on 03/13/2026 12:17:51 AM PDT by rottweiller_inc (Lupus urbem intravit. Fulminis ictu vultures super turrem exanimat.)
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To: BlackVeil

“{...officials acknowledged to lawmakers during recent classified briefings that they did not plan for the possibility of Iran closing the strait in response to strikes ...

That seems impossible. Even teenagers on Instagram knew that a war would close the Straits of Hormouz.”
____________________________________________________________

There has been nothing to suggest our attack on Iran was a well planned operation after the “shock and awe” part was over. The only way to force an opponent to see things our way is boots on the ground, occupation, and a military governor for as long as it takes.


10 posted on 03/13/2026 12:21:42 AM PDT by Bob Wills is still the king
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To: rottweiller_inc

““What are we gaining from this war?”

More debt and more enemies.”
____________________________________________________________

$2 billion a day and rising. When oil reaches $200 a barrel, our economy will tank just like the rest of the world.


11 posted on 03/13/2026 12:23:18 AM PDT by Bob Wills is still the king
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To: toddausauras

Good enough, right there.

The rest is extra benefits.


12 posted on 03/13/2026 12:25:43 AM PDT by Salamander ( Please visit my profile page to help me go home again. https://www.givesendgo.com/GCRRDa)
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To: Bob Wills is still the king

If you want to see what the rest of the world thinks :)..

Check out the comments

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-15641415/US-refuelling-plane-Iraq-collision-Putin-drone-British.html


13 posted on 03/13/2026 12:40:01 AM PDT by rottweiller_inc (Lupus urbem intravit. Fulminis ictu vultures super turrem exanimat.)
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To: Bob Wills is still the king

Watch and learn !


14 posted on 03/13/2026 12:56:16 AM PDT by Pikachu_Dad
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To: Trump20162020

I’d like to think that the US Navy could go in and escort oil freighters safely through the straits, but they won’t. Too dangerous.


15 posted on 03/13/2026 12:58:55 AM PDT by Responsibility2nd (Import the third world. Become the second world.)
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To: Bob Wills is still the king

The effort has been gobstoppingly amazing !

Losses have been minimal.

Civilian losses minimized.

And now precise attacks on the road block troops.


16 posted on 03/13/2026 12:59:04 AM PDT by Pikachu_Dad
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bflr


17 posted on 03/13/2026 1:02:35 AM PDT by Ken H (Freeper #240 - Dec 05, 1997)
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To: Responsibility2nd; All

What can US Navy escorts do other than be targets themselves ?


18 posted on 03/13/2026 1:12:57 AM PDT by A strike (fAirstrip One. & No more Dots)
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To: Trump20162020

The countries affected by the closure are the Arab seller and China, India, S Korea, Japan buyers.

NOT OUR PROBLEM.


19 posted on 03/13/2026 1:26:07 AM PDT by TheThirdRuffian (Orange is the new brown)
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To: ArcadeQuarters

You, an enemy of the USA get nothing.

We get a massive state sponsor of terror with nukes knocked off the chessboard.


20 posted on 03/13/2026 1:27:46 AM PDT by TheThirdRuffian (Orange is the new brown)
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