Posted on 01/13/2025 1:34:22 PM PST by yesthatjallen
In a long and wistful blog post titled ‘Reflections’ Sam Altman, the mercurial CEO of ChatGPT creators OpenAI, has said that he believes we will achieve AGI (artificial general intelligence, also known as superintelligence) "as we have traditionally understood it" in 2025 with the release of the first AI agents joining the workforce. He says:
“We are now confident we know how to build AGI as we have traditionally understood it. We believe that, in 2025, we may see the first AI agents “join the workforce” and materially change the output of companies. We continue to believe that iteratively putting great tools in the hands of people leads to great, broadly-distributed outcomes."
While that may sound like bad news for people whose jobs it replaces, it would be a big jump forward for the AGI timeline. I previously interviewed Dr Ben Goertzel, who predicted that humanity would develop AGI by 2029.
Alan Thompson, an expert in artificial intelligence and former chairman of Mensa International, runs the Conservative Countdown to AGI web page, and has increased the countdown to achieving AGI as 88% complete in light of Altman’s latest comments, along with the release of Nvidia Cosmos for training humanoid robots.
SNIP
(Excerpt) Read more at techradar.com ...
Early life?
They just need that one line code that is currently missing that will case AI to constantly improve. Once they have that, it will leap a 1000-fold in 20 years and probably surpass us in its capability.
I don’t view this as a good thing, even if the powers at be do think it’s a good thing.
Still unanswered is what will the working force do with all of these suddenly ‘unessential’ but still quite able people?
Where will all that energy and focus go to?
Most people in the western culture need a strong sense of purpose in order to be fulfilled. They need proof that their efforts matter.
Participation trophies will quickly be seen as such, and not matter in the same way as a job would do.
Snake Oil salesman, like Jensen Huang. Generative AI is far from AGI.
Can it replace the Super Stupid “Intelligence” (SSI) in California and Los Angeles?
The same might be said for many other professions. People who use it will replace those who don't.
It will probably be “intelligent-like.”
Things like the Turing test will be hopelessly outdated in determining if something is intelligent.
This will break down into determining if an intelligence has a “soul.”
Computational ability is not mental ability.
Whatever value judgement the computer is able to command, it is only because someone programmed it in, say, Bill Gates.
He’s just hoping it’ll be smart enough to figure a way out of his sexual abuse case.
And the year after that will be the super AI mega monster attack!
And just as the enviro psychos torpedo all efforts to save the planet, techno psychos will backdoor programs to torpedo humanity.
I for Incest
Isn’t AI mostly legalized plagiarism?
and in 5 years a superAI run manufacturing plant. and in 10 more years...SKYNET.
THAT was my first thought.
Yes.
It is mad libs based on millions of rows.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.