Posted on 10/31/2024 12:52:28 PM PDT by libstripper
An election forecaster who previously predicted a landslide victory for Vice President Kamala Harris has switched his prediction to former President Donald Trump.
Thomas Miller, a data scientist who accurately predicted the 2020 presidential election result, previously backed Harris to win in 2024, telling Newsweek in September that the Democrat was on track to win more than 400 votes in the Electoral College, according to his model.
The model, which relies on betting odds as opposed to polling data aggregates, is now saying that Trump is the favorite, with its most recent prediction estimating the Republican could win 345 votes in the Electoral College.
(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...
I don’t care if it’s the fourth quarter and we’re leading by 4 touchdowns, keep throwing the ball down the field!
I like that, but I can’t move off of being just a pessimist.
The good thing about being a pessimist, is you’re never disappointed.
It’s like Frank Zappa said, “Don’t expect friends, don’t expect fun, don’t expect a good life, don’t expect anything.....and if you do get something, it’s a bonus!”
Lost all credibility there.
Imagine you are the governor of PA or MI.
You want to be President of the US.
Your party overlooked you when they were picking the nominee for President and then for VP.
If your party wins the election your likelihood of ever getting to the WH is close to zero.
Are you going to help them win—or quietly sabotage them.
Think about it.
That should improve your mood.
:-)
After the election there’s going to alot of stars finally admitting they supported Trump. Unless they are on Diddy and Epsteins list, then it’s suicide watch time.
>> Don’t the bettors based their bet on the polls number too?
No doubt some do!
Others on their gut feel.
Still others on tarot cards, the phase of the moon, a tip from their barber, examining the entrails of a freshly killed skunk, ...
Re-read article. I see now he thought Harris was going to win with 400+ EVs back in September.
The race is too close to call.
Every vote counts.
VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE
RFK Jr’s endorsement was the turning point.
Maybe Seger would let him use “Against The Wind.”
He’s a lefty too.
..not to mention trying to kill him…
To quote an obscure English pop singer, “Let it be!”
Don’t really see how he would get to 345. Even if he wins NH and VA he’d have to also take one of either NJ or NY. Not happening. How good can this guys model be?
Trump doesn't ask permission to use any artists' songs. He pays the licensing fees and uses it, whether they cry about it or not (and pretty much every artist who Trump has used has cried about it).
He doesn't care.
“RFK Jr’s endorsement was the turning point.”
Could be. That was huge when he made that announcement.
I’ve been expecting Trump to equal or beat Reagan’s 1984 states won for a while. Reagan would be thrilled if Trump wins 50 states.
Yes, they are and good on them.
But Dems are a criminal organization. They do not like to lose. They are cheating at this moment....
Like DJ Lagway....:-)
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