Posted on 10/21/2024 12:09:47 PM PDT by libh8er
Donald Trump has surged ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in the latest update of The Economist's election forecast, marking the first time in two months that the former president has led the presidential race.
The Monday update gives Trump a 54 percent chance of winning, an improvement from just a week ago when his chances were at 48 percent. The model forecasts a tight race, but Trump's momentum appears to be growing.
Trump's rise comes at the expense of Harris, whose chances have fallen to 45 percent, down from 51 percent just a week prior.
The simulated elections in the model show a range of possible outcomes, with Trump projected to win between 179 and 341 Electoral College votes, while Harris could secure between 197 and 359. The median projection for Trump is 276 electoral votes to Harris' 262.
This shift represents a significant swing from earlier in the campaign, when Harris appeared to be gaining ground as undecided voters leaned her way.
Now, the tide seems to be turning in Trump's favor as some of those same voters, whom The Economist suggest may have been "Republican leaners all along," are aligning behind him.
(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...
Early voting is going on spot everywhere now. So this sediment is being reflected in the actual vote.
* sentiment
I remember the 2022 Red Wave. I ain’t holding my breath
They will spend the next two weeks prepping those with Trump Derangement Syndrome for the inevitable... God knows what this segment of society will do once they’ve figure out that Trump will be overlording over them for the next 4 years.
Murder, suicide, mayhem and other batsh*t crazy stuff for sure.
https://winniethepooh.disney.com/eeyore
Could be worse, I’m not sure how, but could be
Why do you repeat what the media wants you to think?
The Economist, is by far one of the furthest left leaning publications out there, if their predictor is putting Trump in the lead, even a little bit, he’s got to be comfortably winning.
“sediment” works too. 🤣
I remember the 2022 Red Wave. I ain’t holding my breath
Same here. Though I see some big differences between this election and the last election which benefit Trump.
but I’m still going to wait until I hear the lady start to sing
We all remember the Red Wave, and 2020. This feels a lot different. It’s not scientific, I know, but there’s something to it.
Sediment works just fine.
Dang, beat me to it.
Lizzo?
The presence of Mr Cheat in the race will give us suspense into January. What fun.
Don’t take that mark on your forehead.
Lizzo?
As in Cheney? Let’s hope it’s not her we hear singing.
How any woman can support Kamala Harris is beyond me.
The best part of all this will be watching the lefties lose their minds. Seeing the look on pelosi’s face will be priceless.
Are you suggesting that early votes have been counted and are reflected in this projection?
I hope the treasonous, America-hating RINOs get the message and get their asses down to the the HooDoo’s HQ and register as DemonRATS and don’t forget to bring a bucket of chicken for JOBU.
Confirmation bias.
Do these idiots even know that their Jamaican/Injun/Canadian Goddess was bangin’ the Mayor of San Francisco while the mayor’s wife stayed at home alone?
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