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Donald Trump's Chances Soar in Top Election Forecast
Newsweek via MSN ^ | 10.21.2024 | Flynn Nichols

Posted on 10/21/2024 12:09:47 PM PDT by libh8er

Donald Trump has surged ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in the latest update of The Economist's election forecast, marking the first time in two months that the former president has led the presidential race.

The Monday update gives Trump a 54 percent chance of winning, an improvement from just a week ago when his chances were at 48 percent. The model forecasts a tight race, but Trump's momentum appears to be growing.

Trump's rise comes at the expense of Harris, whose chances have fallen to 45 percent, down from 51 percent just a week prior.

The simulated elections in the model show a range of possible outcomes, with Trump projected to win between 179 and 341 Electoral College votes, while Harris could secure between 197 and 359. The median projection for Trump is 276 electoral votes to Harris' 262.

This shift represents a significant swing from earlier in the campaign, when Harris appeared to be gaining ground as undecided voters leaned her way.

Now, the tide seems to be turning in Trump's favor as some of those same voters, whom The Economist suggest may have been "Republican leaners all along," are aligning behind him.

(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: economist; poll; trump; trump2024; trumplandslide
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1 posted on 10/21/2024 12:09:47 PM PDT by libh8er
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To: libh8er

Early voting is going on spot everywhere now. So this sediment is being reflected in the actual vote.


2 posted on 10/21/2024 12:12:16 PM PDT by suasponte137
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To: suasponte137

* sentiment


3 posted on 10/21/2024 12:13:13 PM PDT by suasponte137
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To: libh8er

I remember the 2022 Red Wave. I ain’t holding my breath


4 posted on 10/21/2024 12:17:03 PM PDT by griswold3 ( Robespierre and Pol Pot were “unburdened by what has been” Harris the "Year Zero" candidate)
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To: libh8er

They will spend the next two weeks prepping those with Trump Derangement Syndrome for the inevitable... God knows what this segment of society will do once they’ve figure out that Trump will be overlording over them for the next 4 years.

Murder, suicide, mayhem and other batsh*t crazy stuff for sure.


5 posted on 10/21/2024 12:20:00 PM PDT by jerod (Nazis were essentially Socialist in Hugo Boss uniforms... Get over it!)
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To: griswold3

https://winniethepooh.disney.com/eeyore

Could be worse, I’m not sure how, but could be

Why do you repeat what the media wants you to think?


6 posted on 10/21/2024 12:21:11 PM PDT by PeterPrinciple (Thinking Caps are no longer being issued but there must be a warehouse full of them somewhere.)
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To: libh8er

The Economist, is by far one of the furthest left leaning publications out there, if their predictor is putting Trump in the lead, even a little bit, he’s got to be comfortably winning.


7 posted on 10/21/2024 12:24:30 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: suasponte137

“sediment” works too. 🤣


8 posted on 10/21/2024 12:26:15 PM PDT by Nervous Tick ("First the Saturday people, then the Sunday people...": ISLAM is the problem!)
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To: griswold3

I remember the 2022 Red Wave. I ain’t holding my breath

Same here. Though I see some big differences between this election and the last election which benefit Trump.

but I’m still going to wait until I hear the lady start to sing


9 posted on 10/21/2024 12:26:28 PM PDT by tsowellfan
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To: griswold3

We all remember the Red Wave, and 2020. This feels a lot different. It’s not scientific, I know, but there’s something to it.


10 posted on 10/21/2024 12:26:43 PM PDT by philippa
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To: suasponte137

Sediment works just fine.


11 posted on 10/21/2024 12:27:00 PM PDT by Jeff Chandler (THE ISSUE IS NEVER THE ISSUE. THE REVOLUTION IS THE ISSUE.)
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To: Nervous Tick

Dang, beat me to it.


12 posted on 10/21/2024 12:27:19 PM PDT by Jeff Chandler (THE ISSUE IS NEVER THE ISSUE. THE REVOLUTION IS THE ISSUE.)
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To: tsowellfan

Lizzo?


13 posted on 10/21/2024 12:28:32 PM PDT by Jeff Chandler (THE ISSUE IS NEVER THE ISSUE. THE REVOLUTION IS THE ISSUE.)
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To: libh8er

The presence of Mr Cheat in the race will give us suspense into January. What fun.

Don’t take that mark on your forehead.


14 posted on 10/21/2024 12:29:22 PM PDT by lurk (u)
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To: Jeff Chandler

Lizzo?

As in Cheney? Let’s hope it’s not her we hear singing.

How any woman can support Kamala Harris is beyond me.


15 posted on 10/21/2024 12:31:48 PM PDT by tsowellfan
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To: libh8er

The best part of all this will be watching the lefties lose their minds. Seeing the look on pelosi’s face will be priceless.


16 posted on 10/21/2024 12:34:15 PM PDT by I want the USA back (Voltaire: To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize.)
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To: suasponte137
Early voting is going on spot everywhere now. So this sediment is being reflected in the actual vote.

Are you suggesting that early votes have been counted and are reflected in this projection?

17 posted on 10/21/2024 12:34:23 PM PDT by KevinB (Word for the day: "kakistocracy" - a society governed by its least suitable or competent citizens)
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To: libh8er

I hope the treasonous, America-hating RINOs get the message and get their asses down to the the HooDoo’s HQ and register as DemonRATS and don’t forget to bring a bucket of chicken for JOBU.


18 posted on 10/21/2024 12:37:15 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (I've come to the conclusion that the world is made up of millions of Three Stooges comedians.)
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To: philippa

Confirmation bias.


19 posted on 10/21/2024 12:39:05 PM PDT by nwrep
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To: libh8er

Do these idiots even know that their Jamaican/Injun/Canadian Goddess was bangin’ the Mayor of San Francisco while the mayor’s wife stayed at home alone?


20 posted on 10/21/2024 12:44:10 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (I've come to the conclusion that the world is made up of millions of Three Stooges comedians.)
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