Posted on 10/12/2024 5:22:20 PM PDT by lasereye
Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic nominee, is pulling ahead in Pennsylvania, a pivotal battleground state, according to a recent poll from The New York Times/Siena College, which is ranked by FiveThirtyEight as the most reliable pollster in the United States.
The winner of Pennsylvania and its 19 Electoral votes—more than any other swing state—could determine the outcome of the 2024 election.
A New York Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena College poll of 857 likely voters in the Keystone State found Harris leading former President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee, by 3 percentage points.
The poll, conducted between October 7 and 10 and published on Saturday, shows Harris with 50 percent of the vote, compared to Trump's 47 percent. However, Harris' lead is within the margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points. In addition, the poll reported that 3 percent of respondents didn't know who they supported or refused to answer.
Harris leads among women, with 58 percent backing her compared to 40 percent for Trump. She holds an overwhelming lead among Black voters, 81 percent to Trump's 16 percent, according to the poll.
FiveThirtyEight evaluates pollsters based on their historical accuracy and methodological transparency, awarding the Times/Siena College 3 out of 3 stars.
Newsweek has reached out to Harris' and Trump's campaign for comment via email on Saturday.
Recent polls in the battleground state show a near deadlock between Harris and Trump, with any lead falling within the margin of error.
An Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of 1,000 likely Pennsylvania voters found Trump leading Harris by 1 percentage point, with 49 percent of respondents backing Trump and 48 percent supporting Harris. The poll, conducted between October 5 and 8, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...
I expect the polls to be more accurate this time compared to 2020. I base that on the fact that they are all showing fairly similar numbers.
how expertly newsweek packages so much propaganda into a single headline.
Asking my wife to hide the knives in the house now ...
In that same poll Trump pretty much putting Arizona out of reach. And I order to get the desired 3 point lead for Kamala they had a Biden +8 2020 sample. So consider the source.
Sure.
Trump +6 in Az make sure you report the good news as well as the bad
they did vote for Fetterman.......or so we are told
She’s not winning PA by 3 points. Biden eeked out a 1.17% win, with no third party activity of consequence in 2020… special kind of stupid to believe Harris is going to win PA by 3.
They aren’t going for the emptyheaded whore.
Right. They even used the same satirical headlines I made up last month with “Harris Support Surging In New Poll” and others.
The NYSlimes is all out to destroy President Trump. I took a look at the page on Fascist Book- every other story is anti-Trump. Look a the picture they manufactured of JD Vance to promo their interview with him. Even on a bad day I don’t think Vance could look like that.
My point- the Slimes would for sure skew a poll at this point with the hopes of influencing the election.
Fetterman won handily because despite the lies that idiots like Hannity and The RNC talking points told you, he’s was a solid candidate who fit well with the electorate, compared to a carpet bagging fraud and POS named Oz.
So tired of Fetterman won by fraud bs.. OZ was the worst candidate I have ever seen run for statewide in PA as a Republican and he lose because he was a straight up POS , lying carpet bagging fraud.. period.
Newsweek is trying hard to get the lying, cackling Marxist elected, but it won’t work. It’s too obvious that Newsweek is a lying rag with no value.
Pennsylvania Ping!
Please ping me with articles of interest.
FReepmail me to be added to the list.
From the other day, the WSJ has Trump up by six in Nevada and by one in PA, tied in NC and WI, and behind only by two in AZ and MI.
The DSW will not win. No way…
That's not good. Obama got 95%.
So Trump is tripling his support from Black voters.
857 likely voters...A suburban high school basketball court holds more than that. There is no way to take into account the “replacement” of voters who have died versus those who are new to the voter rolls. I fear that any traditional polling may be an archaic activity versus demographic and technological change from any four-year period to another.
Manipulated. Yet it may be accurate because they have to account for the fraud.
Fortunately, Trump can win without PA.
Yeah, whatever.
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