Posted on 10/10/2024 9:47:55 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
Control of the Senate appears likely to flip from the Democratic Party to the Republican Party this fall, as one of the nation’s most endangered Democrats, Senator Jon Tester of Montana, trails his Republican challenger in his bid for re-election, according to a new poll from The New York Times and Siena College.
Mr. Tester, who first won election to the Senate in 2006, is winning over moderate and independent voters and running far ahead of the Democrat at the top of the ticket, Vice President Kamala Harris. But as of now, that does not appear to be enough to survive in Montana, a conservative state where former President Donald J. Trump is ahead by 17 percentage points and where control of the Senate hangs in the balance.
Tim Sheehy, a wealthy Republican businessman and a former Navy SEAL who has never held public office, leads Mr. Tester 52 percent to 44 percent, the poll shows. Mr. Sheehy’s lead is a seven-point advantage without rounding.
Democrats currently hold a 51-seat Senate majority. But with Republicans already set to pick up a seat after the retirement of Senator Joe Manchin III, an independent from West Virginia who caucuses with Democrats, the party cannot afford to lose additional seats.
In fact, the party’s only hope is to secure a 50-50 split and to have Ms. Harris win the White House, allowing her running mate, Tim Walz, to provide the crucial tiebreaking vote as vice president.
At least seven other Democratic-held Senate seats are competitive this fall, including in the presidential battlegrounds of Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada and Wisconsin. In late September, a series of Times/Siena surveys in four of those races, as well as in Ohio, found Democrats ahead, though narrowly in some cases.
(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...
What’s the NYTs angle?.........the left ALWAYS has an ulterior motive.
Cautiously optimistic.
No to Thune.
Aren’t they also supposedly at risk of losing the House?
Sure way to get nothing done in the positive.
“What’s the NYTs angle?”
Same as always... to scare their left-wing readership into donating more to the Democrat party.
“Aren’t they also supposedly at risk of losing the House?”
It will certainly suck if we had Trump in the White House, a GOP Senate... and a Democrat House that is impeaching Trump every other month until the next mid-term.
If they don’t get rid of the filibuster it won’t make any difference. All issues regarding the State should be determined with a 50+1 vote, not 60.
The decade’s Red Wave, Part Deux. Sequels tend not to fair as well as the originals.
This should be a foregone conclusion. The question is by how many. If the GOP only gains 2 seats, it will be a disappointment. And they better gain in the House too.
“Tim Sheehy, a wealthy Republican businessman and a former Navy SEAL who has never held public office”
Running against the Oliver Twist Pauper Tester only worth 3.7 million with a large family farm.
What’s the NYTs angle?
When it looks like Dems are going to lose, they send out an all-points bulletin to get out the vote.
Just like like the 'Red Wave' of 2022, IIRC...
See Post 6
Michigan, Debbie Stabenow’s seat is a toss up between Elissa Slotkin (dem, former CIA), and Mike Rogers (rep, former FBI, congressman, state assembly, basically the lions share of his adult life in government). A choice between two candidates, both with a background from agencies that should be abolished. Didn’t it’s for Rogers in the primaries, but I guess it’s hold my nose in November. Slotkin will probably get the win, though.
I can’t envision having the voting win the Senate for the Rs and then that same voting lose the House.
Surprised they didn’t say “Seize Control”.
That’s the current Dem game plan. Trump wins, and it’s Up The Resistance! The media will love it.
The idiot GOP needs to act like they’re down by 50 points. There’s a very real possibility that they go 0-1 in this election.
I’d support getting rid of the filibuster only if the 17th Amendment (direct election of senators) is repealed at the same time.
The filibuster has certainly gummed up some good ideas. But as it is now, the filibuster is also a check against careless federal overreach.
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