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Poll: Trump Edges out Harris in Four Battleground States
Breitbart ^ | 10/01/2024 | Hannah Knudsen

Posted on 10/01/2024 8:37:22 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27

Former President Donald Trump is leading Vice President Kamala Harris in four key battleground states, an InsiderAdvantage survey shows.

The surveys, each taken September 29-30, examined the race in what it dubbed the “Sunbelt States” — Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina, and Georgia.

In Arizona, Trump sees a one-point advantage, leading Harris with 49 percent support to her 48 percent support. Another two percent are undecided, and one percent said “other.” That lead, of course, is within the survey’s +/- 3 percent margin of error.

In Nevada, Trump also sees a one-point advantage, leading Harris with 49 percent support to Harris’s 48 percent support. Once again, that lead is within the survey’s +/- 3.52 percent margin of error. Like Arizona, two percent remain undecided in Nevada, and one percent said “other.”

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Arizona; US: Georgia; US: Nevada; US: North Carolina
KEYWORDS: arizona; battleground; georgia; harris; nevada; northcarolina; poll; polls; states; trump
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November can't come fast enough
1 posted on 10/01/2024 8:37:22 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
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To: ChicagoConservative27

I often wonder how many of those polled say that they will vote for legs-up because they do not want their brethren to know that they will vote for PDJT.


2 posted on 10/01/2024 8:49:40 AM PDT by spel_grammer_an_punct_polise (Learn three chords and you, too, can be a Rock Star! ;-))
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To: ChicagoConservative27

If he plays his cards right concerning the hurricane situation, I can be cautiously optimistic for him to do even better.


3 posted on 10/01/2024 8:49:44 AM PDT by OttawaFreeper ("The Gardens was founded by men-sportsmen-who fought for their country" Conn Smythe, 1966 )
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To: spel_grammer_an_punct_polise

THIS IS THE FIRST YEAR EVER THAT I HAVE HUNG UP ON THE POLLSTERS.

Have voted since 1960


4 posted on 10/01/2024 8:51:18 AM PDT by ridesthemiles (not giving up on TRUMP---EVER)
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To: OttawaFreeper

He started a GO FUND ME that pulled in over $1 million in a matter of minutes.


5 posted on 10/01/2024 8:51:51 AM PDT by ridesthemiles (not giving up on TRUMP---EVER)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

These numbers are not good enough to beat the cheet. I believe this poll has a history of being very accurate.


6 posted on 10/01/2024 8:54:20 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Anyone who votes for Commie-La has given aid and comfort to the domestic and foreign enemies of the United States.


7 posted on 10/01/2024 8:59:21 AM PDT by Carl Vehse
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To: ChicagoConservative27

I believe the democrats will eventually enter “scorched earth” mode. It means nothing is off the table for them. Everything from offing Trump to suspending the election due to some forthcoming emergency. I’m watching for it.

I have been for some time. It’s why I was not surprised by the first attempt on his live, nor the second. Nor will the third one surprise me. And I’d bet good money it’s coming.

DEAR Secret Service, et al, no, that is not a threat. That is the LAST thing I want to happen. But I think a lot of people (too many) subscribe to the opposite sentiment.


8 posted on 10/01/2024 9:08:50 AM PDT by cuban leaf (2024 is going to be one for the history books, like 1939. And 2025 will be more so, like 1940-1945.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Edges out won’t cut it with the steal.


9 posted on 10/01/2024 9:10:21 AM PDT by Puppage (You may disagree with what I have to say, but I shall defend to your death my right to says it.)
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To: KC_Conspirator

Yes. They were one of the more accurate pollsters in 2020 for battleground states.

https://earlyvoteaction.com/
https://truethevote.org/donate
https://www.donaldjtrump.com/?utm_soure=website
https://www.gop.com/


10 posted on 10/01/2024 9:43:51 AM PDT by willk (Local news media. Just as big an enemy to this country as national media)
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To: Puppage

“Edges out won’t cut it with the steal.”

Okay, so why bother even to vote🙄. Stop demoralizing people and get to work:

https://earlyvoteaction.com/
https://truethevote.org/donate
https://www.donaldjtrump.com/?utm_soure=website
https://www.gop.com/


11 posted on 10/01/2024 9:46:22 AM PDT by willk (Local news media. Just as big an enemy to this country as national media)
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To: KC_Conspirator

You’re contradicting yourself.


12 posted on 10/01/2024 9:49:50 AM PDT by Olog-hai ("No Republican, no matter how liberal, is going to woo a Democratic vote." -- Ronald Reagan, 1960)
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Posted on October 1, 2024
The following are results from InsiderAdvantage surveys in “Sunbelt Battleground” states:

All surveys conducted by cell/text; weighted for age, race, gender, and political affiliation.

Arizona:

800 LV; MOE 3.0%; 9/29-30

Results:

Trump 49%

Harris 48%

Other 1%

Undecided 2%

Nevada:

800LV; MOE 3.52%; 9/29-30

Results:

Trump 49%

Harris 48%

Other 1%

Undecided 2%

North Carolina

800LV; MOE 3.46%; 9/29-9/30

Results:

Trump 50%

Harris 49%

Other < 1%

Undecided 1%

Georgia:

800LV; MOE 3.7%; 9/29-30

Results:

Harris 48%

Trump 48%

Other 1%

Undecided 3%

Brief Analysis by InsiderAdvantage Pollster Matt Towery:

We see signs of Donald Trump gaining momentum in each of the states we surveyed where he led and potentially even in Georgia, where the race is tied. Our surveys contain only the horserace and demographics, but we added a question following a response to the horserace which asks respondents how they believe “the majority” of their neighbors will vote. This has been a reliable component of evaluating prior Trump races, eliminating the “shy Trump” voter issue. In each state the response to “the neighbors” question expanded Trump’s lead well beyond the margin of error. But it is important to note that all of the results in the horserace surveys are well within the margins of error, which makes this an extremely close contest


13 posted on 10/01/2024 10:32:46 AM PDT by deport
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Remember polls are used to see how many ballets they need.
If a pollster calls tell them you love Harris.
14 posted on 10/01/2024 10:54:56 AM PDT by Steve Van Doorn
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To: Olog-hai

No. I think the poll is accurate, putting my guy like 1% over a clown. I dont think a spread that close is enough to beatr the cheet.


15 posted on 10/01/2024 10:58:41 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: willk

Would like to see better spreads in the next 5 weeks.


16 posted on 10/01/2024 11:00:15 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: KC_Conspirator

That’s not the point you’re contradicting yourself on.


17 posted on 10/01/2024 11:03:09 AM PDT by Olog-hai ("No Republican, no matter how liberal, is going to woo a Democratic vote." -- Ronald Reagan, 1960)
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To: OttawaFreeper
If he plays his cards right concerning the hurricane situation, I can be cautiously optimistic for him to do even better.

Biden and Harris had a chance to be assertive to help people out in Asheville. Don't forget, it's a liberal town. That's their base.

Not sure why they're so "reactive" when they should be proactive. And it's election year.

But they should do the right thing regardless.

18 posted on 10/01/2024 11:06:50 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

Events in the last month or so, both nationally and world wide seem have been bad for Biden/Harris. They seem flat footed and aloof to war and devastation.


19 posted on 10/01/2024 12:03:19 PM PDT by goodolemr
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Can’t speak to this one but the Atlas Intel released last week for PA is solid as a rock.

Nearly 1800 interviewed, party breakdown damn near perfect with state turnout and registration breakdowns.

Polling is never perfect but on paper that one is about as rock solid as you can find.


20 posted on 10/01/2024 12:09:37 PM PDT by HamiltonJay ( )
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