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Early polls say Harris won the presidential debate But it’s unclear how much, or whether, it will shift the race.
ABC/538 ^ | 09/11/2024 | Nathaniel Rakich

Posted on 09/11/2024 1:56:31 PM PDT by thegagline

*** As of 1 p.m. Eastern, 538 has collected three national polls and one swing-state poll that were conducted since the debate.* In all of them, more people who watched the debate said Harris won the debate than said Trump did. On average, 57 percent of debate watchers nationally said Harris turned in the better performance; only 34 percent said Trump did.

***

That's all obviously good news for Harris — but there are a few caveats here. First of all, it's still quite early. Only a few polls have been conducted since the debate, and we'll have more data very soon that will either confirm their findings or throw them into doubt. It's also possible that perceptions of the debate will evolve as viewers digest it (and as clips get shared with those who didn't watch). A poll conducted, say, this weekend may find a different winner than a poll conducted the night of.

The second caveat is that, even if Harris did turn in the better performance, that doesn't necessarily mean that the debate will give her a significant boost in the polls. In the CNN/SSRS poll, only 4 percent of debate watchers said the event changed their mind about whom they were voting for. An additional 14 percent said it made them reconsider but not change their mind, while a whopping 82 percent said it did not affect their choice. ***

The third caveat is that, even if Harris does rise in the polls after the debate, those gains could be fleeting. *** *Not counting a J.L. Partners/DailyMail.com poll that was conducted solely among independent voters. For the record, though, these respondents also felt that Harris performed better in the debate, 49 percent to 43 percent.

(Excerpt) Read more at abcnews.go.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: andmorepolls; nathanielrakich; nevertrumpingtroll; poll; polls; rinos4harris; thefagline; zotthistroll
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Everything counts in large amounts:


1 posted on 09/11/2024 1:56:31 PM PDT by thegagline
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To: thegagline

From ABC??? Bwahahahahahaha Their credibility is shot, if they ever had any.


2 posted on 09/11/2024 1:59:51 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: thegagline

3 posted on 09/11/2024 2:02:04 PM PDT by Jane Long (The role of the GOP: to write sharply-worded letters as America becomes a communist hell-hole.)
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To: Parley Baer

Yep, not exactly the most dependable source especially after sham last night.


4 posted on 09/11/2024 2:03:04 PM PDT by V_TWIN (America...so great even the people that hate it refuse to leave!)
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To: thegagline

5 posted on 09/11/2024 2:03:11 PM PDT by Jane Long (The role of the GOP: to write sharply-worded letters as America becomes a communist hell-hole.)
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To: thegagline

According to all those same news organizations who told you Biden won the last debate, and that he was jus a bit forgetful... Kamala has won this debate and you can trust them on that, because they always tell the truth... LOL


6 posted on 09/11/2024 2:03:24 PM PDT by jerod (Nazis were essentially Socialist in Hugo Boss uniforms... Get over it!)
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To: thegagline

The criteria for ‘winning’ is asking a bunch of dolts who they liked on TV.


7 posted on 09/11/2024 2:04:01 PM PDT by SpaceBar
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To: Parley Baer

Isn’t ABC owned by the child groomers at disney?


8 posted on 09/11/2024 2:04:06 PM PDT by armourenthusiast (I capitalize everything related to South)
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To: thegagline

Dems said she won, great job. Was the poll taken before or after the debate?


9 posted on 09/11/2024 2:05:19 PM PDT by bray (It's not racist to be racist against races the DNC hates.)
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To: thegagline

Laura Loomer
@LauraLoomer

WATCH: After the Presidential debate tonight, CNN held a focus group with undecided voters.

CNN: “What did you see that brought you to a conclusion?”

UNDECIDED VOTER: “When facts come to facts, my life was better when Trump was in office.”

The American people can see through the 3 vs 1 charade.

https://x.com/LauraLoomer/status/1833741331262276026


10 posted on 09/11/2024 2:05:27 PM PDT by Jane Long (The role of the GOP: to write sharply-worded letters as America becomes a communist hell-hole.)
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To: Parley Baer
From ABC??? Bwahahahahahaha Their credibility is shot, if they ever had any.

The 3 national polls are not from ABC. The polls in the graphic supra. include a Republican sponsored poll.

11 posted on 09/11/2024 2:05:30 PM PDT by thegagline (Sic semper tyrannis! Trump & Vance, 2024! (Formerly) Goldwater & Thomas Sowell in 2024)
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To: thegagline

The media will say that farce of a debate gave Harris a two to three point bounce. Don’t be shocked to see all the MSM sponsored polls showing Harris with a three to five percent lead in their polls. It’s all part of the plan to discourage Trump voters!


12 posted on 09/11/2024 2:07:05 PM PDT by dowcaet
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To: armourenthusiast

Yes. Has been for a long time. It’s one of the reasons why I haven’t watched anything from a single Disney IP for 15 years.


13 posted on 09/11/2024 2:08:30 PM PDT by Windcatcher
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To: thegagline
I see they put an asterisk next to the "Republican sponsored poll."

I wonder why they didn't put something next to the CNN and YouGov polls to indicated they were "Democrat sponsored polls"?
14 posted on 09/11/2024 2:08:31 PM PDT by Dan in Wichita
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To: bray

This was baked in since Monday but when you ask focus groups Trump won hmmm


15 posted on 09/11/2024 2:10:15 PM PDT by italianquaker
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To: Dan in Wichita

https://countylocalnews.com/article1/2024/09/11/trump-leading-debate-by-35-points-in-latest-cspan-poll/


16 posted on 09/11/2024 2:10:25 PM PDT by rx
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To: dowcaet

The liberal media gave her a passing grade just for knowing which side of the podium to stand on.

Anyone with a modicum of objectivity can see how dispicably one-sided that sham really was.


17 posted on 09/11/2024 2:10:42 PM PDT by V_TWIN (America...so great even the people that hate it refuse to leave!)
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To: thegagline

Sponsored by republicans like Romney and Chrissy lol


18 posted on 09/11/2024 2:11:09 PM PDT by italianquaker
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To: thegagline

Translation: “ Crap, she didn’t do what she needed to do.”


19 posted on 09/11/2024 2:11:42 PM PDT by cowboyusa (YESHUA IS KING AMERICA, AND HE WILL HAVE NO OTHENo, R GODS BEFORE HIM!)
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To: thegagline

For entertainment purposes only.


20 posted on 09/11/2024 2:12:16 PM PDT by HIDEK6 (God bless Donald Trump)
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