Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Forecast: Donald Trump’s Chances Greater than Kamala Harris’s Nationally
Breitbart ^ | 09/04/2024 | Kristina Wong

Posted on 09/04/2024 9:50:22 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27

A 2024 presidential election forecast from statistician Nate Silver on Tuesday shows that former President Donald Trump’s chances of winning are 13 percent higher than Vice President Kamala Harris’s nationally.

According to Silver’s forecast, Trump’s chance of winning the election is 56.7 percent — the highest since July 31 — while Harris’s chance of winning is 43 percent.

Latest @NateSilver538 forecast (9/3)

Chance of winning Trump: 56.7% (highest since 7/31) Harris: 43.0% —— Swing States: chance of winning

Pennsylvania – 🔴 Trump 57-43% Georgia – 🔴 Trump 64-36% Arizona – 🔴 Trump 67-33% North Carolina – 🔴 Trump 70-30% Nevada – 🔴… https://t.co/QZjx9HVZ5n pic.twitter.com/p2hIdVZ2Gt

— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) September 3, 2024

Forbes reported Friday that betting markets have Trump on the rise despite recent polls favoring Harris.

Forbes noted that Trump’s gains came after former independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspended his campaign and endorsed Trump.

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: forecast; harris; nationally; trump
Can we get to November please
1 posted on 09/04/2024 9:50:22 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

No-too much fun on the journey. Sometime you enjoy certain people getting slapped around. Trump’s the man to do it.


2 posted on 09/04/2024 9:53:15 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

Wait for the sentencing on 18 Sep and we’ll see how that plays out. I think it will benefit Trump, the party of lawfare isn’t fooling that many people anymore.


3 posted on 09/04/2024 9:54:20 AM PDT by pfflier
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

That there is even a contest with the imbecilec duo the democommies are fomenting on their supporters says something about folks in the U.S. And it ain’t good. 😵


4 posted on 09/04/2024 9:57:10 AM PDT by rktman (Destroy America from within? ECheck! WTH? Enlisted USN 1967 to end up with this💩? 🚫💉! 🇮🇱👍!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

After that Weird Commie Song and Dance Freak Show they put on in Chicago, I don’t know how anyone in their right mind would vote for any of those idiots. The only “takeaway” from that show that was worth a crap was when they told that overrated clown and “white dude” to take a hike and take his guitar with him. He’s a jerk. The only “takeaways” those clowns who attended got was a case of the Covid Kung Flu.


5 posted on 09/04/2024 10:02:23 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Liberals are FOS. The greatest threat to "democracy" is freeloader "immigration". Stupid morons.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27
Would feel better if those weren’t percentage of chances but actual legitimate poll results.

Which is what those numbers should be in a sane country.

6 posted on 09/04/2024 10:03:45 AM PDT by sjmjax
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

And this is after a month-long media coronation of the “intelligent”, “knowledgable”, “tough”, “moderate” Harris. This is no laughing matter for the Hyena whore.


7 posted on 09/04/2024 10:03:56 AM PDT by Mr. Mojo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

You may want to watch this !

https://youtu.be/MWSRgPpYKrg


8 posted on 09/04/2024 10:13:53 AM PDT by Saintgermain ( )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

9 posted on 09/04/2024 10:14:01 AM PDT by thegagline (Sic semper tyrannis! Trump & Vance, 2024! (Formerly) Goldwater & Thomas Sowell in 2024)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

10 posted on 09/04/2024 10:18:11 AM PDT by thegagline (Sic semper tyrannis! Trump & Vance, 2024! (Formerly) Goldwater & Thomas Sowell in 2024)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

I’m with ya. Sat down to watch a little college football on Saturday and was subjected to about 20 political commercials in about a quarter of actual play. Got disgusted and turned it off. Not sure I can make to November. I’m in SE PA media area and dreading the amount of political commercials that will accompany the baseball playoffs.


11 posted on 09/04/2024 10:22:02 AM PDT by oldskoolwargamer2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: oldskoolwargamer2

Yep, not even watching college football for that reason. I’ll just watch YouTube highlights.


12 posted on 09/04/2024 10:23:31 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

It is a very sad commentary on half of the country that Kamunism could poll even close to 50%.


13 posted on 09/04/2024 10:23:56 AM PDT by MtnClimber (For photos of scenery and wildlife, click on my screen name for my FR home page. More photos added.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: thegagline

Election is NOT based on national vote count.
It is based on ELECTORAL votes.


14 posted on 09/04/2024 12:58:18 PM PDT by Bobbyvotes (I will be voting for Trump/whoever he picks VP in November. If he loses in 2024, country is toast.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Bobbyvotes

Mostly why the dims want to abolish the EC.


15 posted on 09/04/2024 1:01:01 PM PDT by Leep (Re-elect deep state. 2024!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: Bobbyvotes
Election is NOT based on national vote count. It is based on ELECTORAL votes.

Are you saying that Article II, Section 1 of the United States Constitution hasn’t been repealed? That’s a relief.

16 posted on 09/04/2024 1:37:41 PM PDT by thegagline (Sic semper tyrannis! Trump & Vance, 2024! (Formerly) Goldwater & Thomas Sowell in 2024)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

By then how much is left to vote? The numbers that vote early and by mail in ballot is quite high I understand.


17 posted on 09/04/2024 1:53:44 PM PDT by Sam Gamgee
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson