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Election Model: Trump Will Win Popular Vote by Wide Margin
Breitbart ^ | 07/01/2024 | WENDELL HUSEBØ

Posted on 07/01/2024 8:05:45 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27

Former President Trump leads President Joe Biden by six points in the probability of winning the popular vote in November, Nate Silver’s election model forecasted June 30 after the first presidential debate.

The last Republican to win the popular vote was George W. Bush in 2004 with 50.73 percent.

Silver’s election model’s forecast is the first time it predicted Trump would defeat Biden with the popular vote. Trump was previously behind by two points one day before the debate, the forecast predicted.

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: model; popularvote; trump; win
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To: Jeff Chandler

Yeah, they ALWAYS have a backup plan for keeping power, even after the other side wins. Elections now are completely meaningless. The Federal agencies are literally part of the Democrat Mafia and manage the country as they please.


41 posted on 07/01/2024 8:52:17 AM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (Freedom is the freedom to discipline yourself so others don't have to do it for you.)
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To: FiddlePig

Exactly.


42 posted on 07/01/2024 8:53:11 AM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (Freedom is the freedom to discipline yourself so others don't have to do it for you.)
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To: GeorgiaDawg32

You are correct. They cheated to that magnitude. The Federal agencies are making it happen.


43 posted on 07/01/2024 8:55:57 AM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (Freedom is the freedom to discipline yourself so others don't have to do it for you.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27
...unless there is enough election fraud to override the legal vote.

The challenge for all Americans is to assure that there is NO election fraud of any kind.

44 posted on 07/01/2024 9:02:22 AM PDT by Savage Beast (Trump defeated the entire Philistine Army using the jawbone of an ass, the ass being Joe Biden.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

It is the Electoral College vote that decides. Cali has 51, https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/2/22/2021_US_Electoral_College_objections_map.svg/1200px-2021_US_Electoral_College_objections_map.svg.png

Not popular vote.


45 posted on 07/01/2024 9:03:20 AM PDT by GailA (Land Grabs, Poisoned Food, KILL the COWS, Bidenomics=BIDEN DEPRESSION. STAGNATION)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Welcome news. I could only find the 538 poll yesterday, which indicated that the debate had no significant effect. It was hard to believe, but I didn’t see anything different until today.

Thanks!


46 posted on 07/01/2024 9:21:06 AM PDT by gloryblaze
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To: gloryblaze
100% chance Merchan throws Trump in jail.

Remember this post.

47 posted on 07/01/2024 9:22:39 AM PDT by Lazamataz (joesbucks is back. Let's remedy that! 😁)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Dream on


48 posted on 07/01/2024 9:35:46 AM PDT by rod5591
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Its the fraud thats the issue.

The 3am vote dumps and dominion voting machines doing the ol’ switch-a-roo by the thousands on live TV.


49 posted on 07/01/2024 9:37:43 AM PDT by suasponte137
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To: Jeff Chandler

Yeah...and if he says you have it...you are screwed.


50 posted on 07/01/2024 9:38:32 AM PDT by suasponte137
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To: ChicagoConservative27

If he wins the popular vote does he win those states that say the overall popular vote wins their electors like California? hehe


51 posted on 07/01/2024 9:52:37 AM PDT by xp38
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To: Antoninus

MOREOVER—there is no abnormal every state does mail-in votes this time.

In 2020 37 states automatically sent mail in ballots to every voter on the voter rolls (most due to covid).

In 2024, only 9 states do so automatically: California, Hawaii, Colorado, Washington, Vermont, Nevada, Utah Oregon and Utah.

All other states require the voter to request a mail in or absentee ballot.

https://news.ballotpedia.org/2020/11/24/37-states-modified-absentee-mail-in-voting-procedures-in-nov-3-elections/

It’s gonna be much harder to cheat by harvesting ballots in the wild—additionally, many depressed democrats will probably sit out the vote.


52 posted on 07/01/2024 9:54:28 AM PDT by Alas Babylon! (Repeal the Patriot Act; Abolish the DHS; reform FBI top to bottom!)
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To: Lazamataz
He'll try—and cause a complete Adam Schitt storm—and be quickly overruled. Worst debacle than the debate. Absolute election interference—Trump asks for SCOTUS Habeas Corpus ruling.
53 posted on 07/01/2024 9:59:11 AM PDT by Alas Babylon! (Repeal the Patriot Act; Abolish the DHS; reform FBI top to bottom!)
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To: All

Let us not forget the midterm red wave that never happened.


54 posted on 07/01/2024 10:16:14 AM PDT by Liz (This then is how we should pray: Our Father who art in heaven, Hallowed be thy name . )
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; BraveMan; cardinal4; ...

55 posted on 07/01/2024 10:20:47 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Putin should skip ahead to where he kills himself in the bunker.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Surrender Monkeys it’s time to have conference call to figure out what to do next.
You’re snide remarks won’t change things.


56 posted on 07/01/2024 10:42:39 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Freedom is never free. It must be won rewon and jealously guarded.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Remember what Stalin said? “It is not the votes it is those who count the votes.”


57 posted on 07/01/2024 11:08:43 AM PDT by Ruy Dias de Bivar ( Government is not reason, it is not eloquence-it is force!--G. Washington)
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To: Antoninus

Trump could, again, win the Battle Ground States, top Biden’s 81M total, and they’d still find a few “extra” million votes for FJB...

JUUUUUuuuust enough to tip the EC. No matter how good Trump does, the DNC fraud machine will be as insane as...

... well... a liberal grasping at political power.


58 posted on 07/01/2024 11:21:59 AM PDT by Dead Corpse (A Psalm in napalm...)
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To: fwdude

There are precincts in Philadelphia alone that could put Biden over the top in the popular vote. Wait’ll Chicago goes into mass production of “votes for Biden”.

The electoral college is our only hope.


59 posted on 07/01/2024 11:22:33 AM PDT by Lonesome in Massachussets (לעזאזל עם חמאס)
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To: fwdude

“Does that mean that the National Popular Vote Compact states will have to send their electors for Trump?”

I thought that at first and was trolling the leftists with it, then researched it some. The NPVC is not in effect because not enough states have joined yet. It requires at least 270 electoral votes between them all.


60 posted on 07/01/2024 12:56:48 PM PDT by rxh4n1 ( )
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