Posted on 05/21/2024 6:51:39 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
It’s the battleground-state polling that should be most alarming to Team Biden for the simple reason that he is consistently trailing in three Sun Belt states (Arizona, Georgia, Nevada) that were crucial to his 2020 win. If they (along with another competitive southern state, North Carolina) appear out of reach for the incumbent later in the campaign season, his path to victory may depend on a sweep in three highly competitive Rust Belt states: Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...
Maine indicated it would change to winner-take-all if Nebraska did. So, no net gain (unless we win Maine-at-large, in which case NE-2 would be irrelevant).
Hi Jim. How do you explain that Trump over-performed the polls in both 2016 and 2020, and esp. in 2020, if the Ds simply manufacture the votes they need to win?
Thank you for excerpting precisely the relevant part of the article.
I wish everyone did this, especially in an age where the lede is usually buried six paragraphs deep.
We are pretty far ahead in the polls in Nevada. Realclear has us 6 points ahead in the two-way, and 8 points ahead anb the five-way.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/nevada/trump-vs-biden
Four years ago, Trump came in exactly as predicted by the Realclear average (which, unfortunately, meant he lost).
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/Nevada.html#!
Hopefully, this year, we pick up a Senate seat as well as the EVs of Nevada, and maybe a Congressional seat or two.
We won the Congressional races of 2022. No, not by as much as we had hoped. But, winning is better than losing.
I’m hoping for a big win this year. But, I’ll take any kind of win.
no problemo
You must not be including the hairy reed deals made before his death. LOL! Reno firefighters union endorsing all the libs on the demo ballot of course. Sigh, promised made, promises denied. Still holding out hope regardless.
Ha ha. Look at how this ultra-leftist youth-vote poll is written up to bury the lede that immigration is the #1 issue—in MA!
Let them do it. Not sure why Republicans are afraid to do things because there may be a response. Let them do it. Then whe Trump wins maine and only gets the Presidency because they changed their rules we can all have a good laugh.
I see you’ve grown grown tired of winning. Even when we’re 6 points ahead, you’re negative. Do you recall when you grew tired of winning? Was it as far back as 2018, when we lost the House to Nancy Pelosi?
I take encouragement in Trump leading in the polls knowing, they are skewed to make Democraps look good to discourage conservative voters. Polls post Clinton are used to influence rather than measure the vote trends. The fact that they can’t put in enough bias to give Biden a lead must be killing the fake pollsters.
Vote by mail, unsigned, undated absentee ballots and abortion referendums in close states will carry the day for Biden. They’ve already got SD set up with the abortion thing. Others will follow.
What ‘’rustbelt’’? There is no more rustbelt.
This isn’t the 80’s anymore.
Katie Hobbs is still the governor of AZ. She cheated to get in and I’m certain she still knows all the tricks of her trade. Plus she’s got the full support of the cartel with her. No matter how many people in AZ support Trump, money still talks, and illegals and drugs bring the crooks a lot of money.
And they don’t even believe they cheat on the other side. On our side Republicans are too gentlemanly to cheat.
The early polls in ‘16 showed a slam-dunk for Hillary, so they stopped paying so much attention to the fraud machine, until it was too late. And lots of voters disliked Trump, but even more disliked Hillary.
They did not repeat that mistake in ‘20. Big Trump leads in the evening disappeared overnight.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.