Posted on 02/01/2024 3:04:40 PM PST by Tipllub
Dream on CNN.
“Narrowly”, lol. More fake news. Trounces. Like before only worse. But the end may still be the same.
What is the generally accepted difference between registered voters poll sampling and likely voters? Can it be adjusted accurately to mean anything useful?
This parlor game of believing we have honest elections and Biden will be the Dem. candidate is disingenuous by the news media.
Time Magazine’s last weekly issue in November, 1963 had an analysis that JFK had weaknesses in several states where Barry Goldwater might beat him.
If CNN has to admit that Trump is ahead, the real lead is anything but “narrow”.
Swing states, baby.
after the election is done they will say Trump narrowly won with barely 7 million votes...
And the Yrumpers won’t believe it. Trump has destroyed the GOP
Qpac say in their methodology paragraph that they will change to Likely Voters vs Registered later in the year.
Likely Voters are identified several ways and not all polling is the say. They may ask how likely are you to vote, they may ask in how many recent elections did you vote, and they may actually look up the records for if the respondent voted.
I do think the advantage in the past the GOP had with likely vs registered likely has faded because voting is easier now. VBM etc. This is why the GOP must embrace VBM. There are lazy voters on both sides of the fence and to just award that category to the Democrats makes no sense.
Maybe even more important is that the GOP and Democrats are fringe parties now. Independents are the overwhelming bulk. So targeting weighting by party likely is inaccurate.
Sadly , there is no enthusiasm
or new voters for our candidates.
The Gop missed a chance to crush tired old
nasty Biden with a fresh exciting
new candidate . A new beginning .
We also have a tired mean Old dyed blonde haired retread with a cargo plane load of baggage .and drives Dem voters to the polls.
Dems are hate motivated voters .
Pointless polls are pointless.
.
Who won judging from this?
.
Good! Now the GOP can be replaced with a MAGA/ America First
party.
Its simple:
If Trump runs hard on the issues and makes the Democratic party the villain, he wins.
If Trump downplays the issues and lets the Democrats make him the villain, he loses.
These polls are all over the place
Americans have a 1 month memory span
Trump can win this if he tones his anger and name calling down a couple notches
I hope there is no indictment in October surprise
Translation: Trump up by double digits.
I believe all polls now! Ever since Hillary’s poll-predicted, glorious victory in 2016, I believe ALL polls.
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