Skip to comments.The GOP primary isn’t over — but don’t let it ruin your life
Posted on 09/09/2023 12:14:02 PM PDT by Reno89519
Is the Republican race for presidential nominee over before any votes are cast? Some people sure would like it to be.
“It’s over!” Trump supporters declare with the assured enthusiasm of a Mets fan at spring training.
This is our year! No unforeseen injuries will cripple our chances! We’re going all the way!
A closer look at the numbers shows a ballgame very much in progress.
There’s no doubt Trump is a unique political phenomenon.
He makes people feel something. They vote with their heart for Trump. He’s magnetic.
But just as magnets attract, they repel.
Yes, Trump is polling far ahead of his competition.
But he also has been president already, has 100% name recognition and is only managing about half his party’s support.
The comparison shouldn’t be to candidates in past elections but to incumbents. And by that metric he’s getting smoked.
If Joe Biden had only 50% of the Democratic Party’s support, he’d be shoved off the stage before Democrats could even figure out how to avoid getting stuck with Kamala Harris.
And most of the polls you see in the news are national polls, and we do not have national elections.
The RealClearPolitics polling average has Trump at 43% in Iowa and 44% in New Hampshire, both states that vote in January.
If a candidate not named Donald Trump manages to win both Iowa and New Hampshire, it will be an entirely new ballgame by the time South Carolina votes the following month. Trump is at 45% there.
(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...
“...has 100% name recognition and is only managing about half his party’s support.”
Closer to 60% now, which, by the way is TWICE what he had in 2015 at this time, also with 100% name recognition...and yet he won the White House that year.
The horse race sells and gives Republican dwarf candidate supporters hope.
In reality, the 1973 Belmont is a more likely scenario.
Yes, he has the advantages of incumbency.
Yes, it is.
I expect Ron to have a better stronger showing at the next debate
He can win. I’m very confident as he is smart
If you think so, take a break and turn back in next year.
My original plan was to switch back to “non-affiliated” right after the primary, but I decided to keep my GOP affiliation until next spring just so I can vote for Trump in my state’s primary in 2024.
I don’t think the losers at the New York Post have any idea how much contempt the average Republican voter has for the clowns the Post routinely peddle as political candidates.
Pride goeth before a fall.
He’ll likely be the nominee, but it’s not as over as Trump supporters may wish it was.
Good for you. I’m actually surprised at some of the vocal Freepers who turn out to not be registered Republicans so have no vote in most caucuses and primaries. Reminds me of a dear friend who has an opinion about everything, but is not even registered to vote.
What, and miss out on all of fantasy trolling? I fine right here.
And I’ll be happy to engage you respectfully in your trolling. :)
I've noticed that if you attempt to donate to a Republican candidate, you are redirected to “winred.”
In 2016 and 2020, I donated thousands of dollars to Trump by way of winred. As a result of my donations, I have received numerous emails, text messages, and phone calls on a daily basis. Every solicitation that I receive, I block. Unfortunately, the solicitations continue unabated as they emanate from different email addresses and phone numbers.
I will never again donate to any campaign that uses winred
She buried the lede, you FRenotard.
The impression I get, is that many people on Free Republic are not registered Republicans , because the Republican party is too liberal. Also quite a few Freepers complain that they have been registered Republicans, and have been constantly nagged to give money, and they don’t want to be on anyone’s list.
And to be said, we should point out that political affiliation means less today than it ever has before in my lifetime.
I am willing to put money behind my prediction.
$100 donation to FR by loser.
I am betting RDS will not be the nominee in 2024.
You taking the bet?
Only those don't want to face reality don't realize that.
What DeSantis backers don't grasp is that any Presidential aspirations he has are over going forward.
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