Posted on 09/05/2023 7:05:38 PM PDT by Drew68
Pollster Nate Silver warned Democrats and the "expert class" that President Biden’s distinction as the oldest-serving president in history at age 80 is a source of "valid concern" for voters.
"If the expert class doesn’t understand that Biden’s age is both a real concern for voters and a valid concern, they’d better be prepared for getting a second Trump term instead," Silver wrote in an analysis piece on Sunday.
"This election is probably going to be close, and [former President] Trump might be only one Biden-has-a-McConnell-moment away from winning," he added.
Pollster Nate Silver warned Democrats and the "expert class" that President Joe Biden’s distinction as the oldest-serving president in history at age 80 is a source of "valid concern" for voters. (AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster, File)
Recent polling from AP-NORC, Silver wrote, indicate that Americans overall are far more concerned about Biden’s age than Trump's, even when weighed against partisan political divisions. Trump turned 77 in June, while Biden will turn 81 in November.
"[T]he differences can’t entirely be chalked up to partisanship — 74 percent of independents also said that Biden was too old, while just 48 percent said that of Trump," he wrote.
Silver, who is also a trained statistician, argued that even numbers on death show that Biden is at higher risk than Trump. "By age 78 —Trump’s age in 2025 — the risk has roughly doubled to 4.9 percent," Silver wrote, referring to risk of death. "At 82 — Biden’s age if he’s reinaugurated in 2025 — it’s increased further to 7.3 percent. And the risk of dying is 11.0 percent by age 86, which would be Biden’s age at the end of his second term."
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
This is the slimmest RCP polling average trail that Trump has ever had in his 7 years in politics.
Silver has mentioned elsewhere that there is a diminishing enthusiasm amongst Biden's minority voters and while they might not flock to Trump, they might just instead simply stay home.
Anyhow, it's noteworthy that Nate Silver is sounding the alarms for the Democrats.
Nate’s a leftist pundit who pretends he a math based neutral
If RCP average is less than a point Trumps up at least 7
no need to sound the alarm. Nate Silver serves the purpose to make you think there is anything legitimate with any of these elections.
The Democrats could have Hitler and Stalin on a ticket running on a ticket against Jesus and Lincoln, and the Democrat’s cheating machine would win every time.
The Medal of Honor ceremony today drew him closer to the drain.
One of these days he’s going to drop an unmistakably foul pantload.
Didn’t seem to affect Fetterman.
“Just one”? He’s had...how many? For years on end...barely covered. McConnell’s two brief incidents received more coverage than the numerous times Biden has had these sorts of issues for years...and his issues aren’t merely becoming dazed for a few minutes - far worse than that.
They were actually reported as a positive. “Why shouldn’t a disabled man be able to serve his country just like anyone else?”
Biden has a “McConnell Moment” literally every day
The seriousness of Fetterman's condition was successfully withheld by the media until enough early voting had taken place.
It's starting to appear that way.
I will give Trump credit for not coming across nearly as old as Biden is, even though they are relatively the same age.
At least Trump stays active golfing. I'm serious. He's out in the sun getting at least a little bit of exercise. He's also clearly lost weight.
He's nowhere near he was a decade ago or even in 2016 but he's holding up a helluva lot better than Biden is.
Biden is aging very quickly. He reminds me of my grandpa during the final two years of his life. He just went downhill fast (as tends to happen at that age).
Biden needs a much larger national polling lead to win.
California and New York bank cast millions of excess useless votes for Dems.
Current polling means utter devastation for Biden in the swing states.
The concern will be the swing states, that have all seemed to move leftward in the past few years.
Bull Shit! Biden is safe as long as the Democrat hierarchy want him to be safe. They will replace him when they want to replace him.
McConnell had two moments vs dozens of Biden moments.
“This is the slimmest RCP polling average trail that Trump has ever had in his 7 years in politics.”
The MSM pounding the drumbeat that “Trump is the Devil” for seven straight years will do that. Imagine if he had been treated fairly by an impartial press dedicated to pursuing truth and exposing corruption!
Biden just walked out of a Medal of Honor presentation for no reason, does that count?
They believe he's safe because they believe, as of now, that 2024 will be a slam-dunk repeat of 2020.
They also know they can't replace him because Kamala is the next in line and she polls even worse than Biden does. Denying her the top spot will lead to an ugly, expensive primary battle.
No, they'll keep Biden and if the nightmare of 2016 starts creeping back into their consciousness, they'll work towards other methods, primarily ballot denial in key swing states.
And if Trump wins a write-in campaign, there will be endless recounts. If this fails, they'll work on faithless electors.
No matter what, they will play every card they have before Trump is allowed back into the White House.
Probably lots of disgust all around. Winner could come down to which side can bring out more of their hardcore base.
This behavior is now considered "normal" for Biden.
Wait until he takes off his pants at the podium or exhibits some other trait common with full-blown dementia.
Maybe he was the one on that flight where someone trailed liquid feces down the aisle.
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