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The Hard Reality: Ukraine’s Last-Gasp Offensive Has Failed
1945 ^ | 8/15/2023 | Daniel Davis

Posted on 08/16/2023 7:28:56 PM PDT by Kazan

The cold, hard truth in the war between Russia and Ukraine today is that Ukraine’s last-gasp offensive has failed, and no amount of spin will change the outcome.

As Part 1 of this series examining the past performance and current capacity of the Ukrainian Armed Forces (UAF) detailed, Kyiv’s troops in 2022 achieved some exceptional and major battlefield successes. Hope was high heading into 2023 that these wins would pave the way to ultimate victory in the war. Unfortunately, the Ukrainian senior leadership suffered from a combination of bad decisions, an overestimation of their own capacity, and – sadly – an overestimation of the efficacy of Western military gear.

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Bakhmut was a medium-sized town of about 70,000. It had some tactical significance for whoever possessed it, but by itself cannot be considered critical at even an operational level. Ukraine had held the town, but by early March, Wagner reached the eastern outskirts of the city. The military necessity for Ukraine at that time was to withdraw from Bakhmut to the next defended line to the west.

From this new position, Ukraine’s ability to defend would have been stronger and Russia’s task to attack the new Ukrainian lines more difficult because the Ukraine side would have had the high ground and open fields of fire through which Russia would have to advance, making any assault extremely difficult and costly in terms of men and equipment. But by staying in Bakhmut, the task for the Russians was much easier. Now, Russia could move to within literal meters of the Ukrainian positions within Bakhmut without being seen. The Bakhmut defenders were at a disadvantage from that point forward.

However, Zelensky chose to press the fight anyway. For months, senior U.S. leaders warned the Ukrainian president the battle was unwinnable and to move to other defensive positions. Not only did he refuse to withdraw to a superior fighting position, he ordered his men not to give up so much as a single building, forcing them to fight to the death. Month after month, Zelensky sent brigade after brigade to reinforce Bakhmut in an effort to reverse the tide.

Not only was it painfully obvious that military fundamentals made clear there was little rational hope of stopping Wagner’s drive to capture Bakhmut, but many of those brigades Zelensky sent in futile aid to help Bakhmut were also urgently needed in the upcoming spring and summer offensive. Two days after Bakhmut’s fall, Zelensky was still defiant, claiming the city had not fallen. In 2022, Zelensky’s tenacity and unwillingness to compromise resulted in blunting Russia’s invasion and then inflicting two major operational defeats.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: failedagain; failedproxywar; putinbots; russia; ukraine
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And, this is a neocon website. Naturally, it is blaming the Ukrainian military for losing the war despite the fact it and Zelenksy were always following orders from the Biden regime and NATO.
1 posted on 08/16/2023 7:28:56 PM PDT by Kazan
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To: Kazan

Neocons did not learn from Vietnam fiasco.
Neocons did not learn from Iraq fiasco.
Neocons did not learn from Afghan fiasco.
Neocons will not learn from Ukraine fiasco.

I am guessing next will be Taiwan fiasco.

Add up the cost in blood and treasure of these stupid unnecessary foreign wars, which accomplished nothing, but added Trillions to the national debt.

President Eisenhower was right when he warned Americans of the military-Industrial complex.


2 posted on 08/16/2023 7:34:32 PM PDT by entropy12 (Career politicians like DeSantis build wealth. Trump sacrificed his wealth to serve people.)
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To: entropy12

no reverse gear, as the boys at The Duran always say.


3 posted on 08/16/2023 7:38:26 PM PDT by kiryandil (China Joe and Paycheck Hunter - the Chink in America's defenses)
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To: Kazan
I wonder how assiduously the reverend mother and speedy will ignore this sort of non-news, because ka-boom and click and donate comes first.
4 posted on 08/16/2023 7:41:18 PM PDT by Worldtraveler once upon a time (Degrow government)
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To: Kazan

Keep shrieking into that echo chamber, y’all.


5 posted on 08/16/2023 7:41:18 PM PDT by Chad C. Mulligan
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To: Kazan
Zeepers are distraught!

[cue sad trombone WOMP WOMP]


6 posted on 08/16/2023 7:41:22 PM PDT by Governor Dinwiddie (LORD, grant thy people grace to withstand the temptations of the world, the flesh, and the devil.)
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To: entropy12

Maybe Niger next. Even more useless than Ukraine.


7 posted on 08/16/2023 7:42:12 PM PDT by EEGator
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To: Kazan
In 2022, Zelensky’s tenacity and unwillingness to compromise resulted in blunting Russia’s invasion and then inflicting two major operational defeats.

Nonsense.

The Ukrainians never had the initiative. They could have bought a lot more time for themselves by not battling over Bakhmut, or engaging in their ridiculous and costly "spring offensive," but at no time since the start if the war did the Ukrainians have any hope of "winning."

8 posted on 08/16/2023 7:43:28 PM PDT by PGR88
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To: entropy12
President Eisenhower was right when he warned Americans of the military-Industrial complex.

He was indeed.

9 posted on 08/16/2023 7:44:27 PM PDT by Mark17 (Retired USAF air traffic controller. Father of USAF Captain & pilot. Both bitten by the aviation bug)
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To: entropy12

They got paid for all those fiascos though.

That’s the only important thing.


10 posted on 08/16/2023 7:46:29 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (The worst thing about censorship is ████ █ ██████ ███████ ███ ██████ ██ ████████. FJB.)
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To: Worldtraveler once upon a time
I wonder how assiduously the reverend mother and speedy will ignore this sort of non-news, because ka-boom and click and donate comes first.

Russia may not be losing the war but RUZZIA is suffering defeat after humiliating defeat.

11 posted on 08/16/2023 7:48:41 PM PDT by Drew68 (Ron DeSantis for President. A conservative who fights and wins.)
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To: Kazan

“The Hard Reality: Ukraine’s Last-Gasp Offensive Has Failed”

No surprise regarding this outcome, but it did manage to get a few more Russians killed, so what’s the downside?

(Neocon perspective)


12 posted on 08/16/2023 7:50:30 PM PDT by BobL (Trump has all the right Enemies; DeSantis has all the wrong Friends)
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To: Kazan

Ukrainian military were brave and did the best they could.

But they were backed by the United States, unfortunately, who doesn’t fight wars to win. Wars are a way to launder money to elites:

“The goal is to use Afghanistan to wash money out of the tax bases of the US & Europe through Afghanistan and back into the hands of a transnational security elite. The goal is an endless war, not a successful war”

—Julian Assange


13 posted on 08/16/2023 7:52:29 PM PDT by packagingguy
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To: Kazan

No worries, I’m reading there will be a Spring 2024 Counteroffensive.

I sh!t you not.


14 posted on 08/16/2023 7:53:53 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: Mark17

The rats have controlled the military for 11 of the last 15 years. So it’s exponentially worse than it was when Ike warned us.


15 posted on 08/16/2023 7:55:49 PM PDT by gibsonguy
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To: Kazan

Why the _____k hasn’t won the effing war yet! Seriously?


16 posted on 08/16/2023 7:55:52 PM PDT by Chgogal (Welcome to Fuhrer Biden's Weaponized Fascist Banana Republic! It's the road to hell.)
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To: Kazan

The Germans were on the defensive on the Eastern Front from 1943-1945. Their most effective tactic was to create strong points with multilayered defenses at critical junctions. The Russians eventually overwhelmed and took those positions but at enormous cost and casualties. Americans alive today should be eternally grateful that the Russians at such great cost to themselves mauled the best of the German army. The allied invasion and liberation of Europe would have been far more costly if the Russians, unlike most of the countries attacked by the Nazis, had not fought so tenaciously. The Russians paid a heavy price but learned and appreciated the German tactics. The Ukrainians despite the armaments and technology provided by the West found themselves attacking multilayered , well planned defenses that cost them huge losses. Sadly this useless meat grinder will churn on.


17 posted on 08/16/2023 7:57:13 PM PDT by allendale
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To: EEGator

It’s impossible to be more useless than Ukraine.


18 posted on 08/16/2023 7:57:18 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: BobL

You NeoSoviets sure like to use the term Neocon. Obama’s promise of greater flexibility to the Russians is backed up by you and your freedom-hating cohorts.

The Ukrainians are making steady progress. They are not killing just a few Russians. The have inflicted a quarter of a million casualties. They will never stop until your Mohammedan mercenaries and Russian convicts are driven out of Ukraine.


19 posted on 08/16/2023 7:58:07 PM PDT by Monterrosa-24 (Saludemos la patria orgullosos)
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To: Monterrosa-24

“They will never stop until your Mohammedan mercenaries and Russian convicts are driven out of Ukraine.”

If they don’t sue for peace first.

They are going to be cut off, and everyone knows it.


20 posted on 08/16/2023 8:01:09 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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