Posted on 06/17/2023 12:56:29 PM PDT by Mariner
Nato needs to brace itself for the prospect of Ukraine’s counteroffensive failing to achieve major success. Indeed, so far, Kyiv has attained only limited gains. But those who expected a lightning breakthrough were always going to be disappointed. This is not German panzers against Polish horse cavalry, nor is it American shock and awe against demoralised Iraqi forces in antiquated tanks with no air cover.
Instead, we are seeing something closer to an attritional style of warfare, with attacking forces battering against heavily fortified defences. Current operations are at the stage of reconnaissance-in-force along four separate axes of advance, with Ukrainian units probing Russian positions to identify weak spots that can then be softened up with artillery and exploited by armoured reserve forces. Commandos and partisans are said to be working behind enemy lines to create confusion and disrupt command and control centres. Long range strikes are being used to hit headquarters.
Critical here is deception, attacking in as many areas as possible to keep the Russians guessing where the major thrusts will come. But in war, operations rarely go to plan and the odds are stacked against Kyiv. Russia’s General Valery Gerasimov has had a lot of time and resources to prepare effective defences in multiple lines .The Russians also have numerical superiority in pretty much everything, from men and tanks to, perhaps most critically, artillery.
(Excerpt) Read more at yahoo.com ...
Looks like classic ropa-dope to me..
We’ll see ....
This is the time when they get really dangerous, there is no telling what the Neocons will do to avoid the inevitable.
It’s basically suicide to send minimally trained Ukrainian soldiers with little to no air cover into dug in defenses who know exactly when and where the advances are coming from based on their air assets.
We have 6 months left in 2023, those 6 months will be very interesting.
use guerrilla tactics - thousands of quick raids that take out key Russian infrastructure & personnel bit by bit
it’s cheaper & a lot harder to stop
I’m really glad our Marine commandant is getting rid of artillery and tanks …. because nobody uses them in modern warfare and we need cyber recon, trannies and pronouns to join the Navy’s push to the modern battlefield.
F’ing clown show. We need LGBTQ space force to REALLY deter Russia and China.
For the most part, they are getting destroyed.
A very comprehensive article on Ukraine’s failed strategy: https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/06/on-the-failure-of-the-ukrainian-counterattack.html#more
Looks like even the hardcore Neocon supporters here are finally realizing that the Russian military is a bit stronger than Uganda’s military.
Time to escalate, which is a real danger. The fools that lead us have invested too much politically to admit defeat. It is finger pointing time.
“This is the time when they get really dangerous, there is no telling what the Neocons will do to avoid the inevitable.”
************
VERY good point!
Kramer was right.
> The neocons realize they are in a corner and are desperate to avoid humiliation.
But they MUST be humiliated in order to deter this warmongering in the future.
Most wars are won based on attrition, I.e., based on who can outlast the other. Absent NATO forces joining Ukraine, Russia has overwhelming resources, which will allow them to win.
not just Russia defending it's interests and allies in the region ?
The Charge of the Light Brigade
Alfred, Lord Tennyson
1809 -1892
Half a league, half a league,
Half a league onward,
All in the valley of Death
Rode the six hundred.
“Forward, the Light Brigade!
Charge for the guns!” he said:
Into the valley of Death
Rode the six hundred.
“Forward, the Light Brigade!”
Was there a man dismay’d?
Not tho’ the soldier knew
Some one had blunder’d:
Theirs not to make reply,
Theirs not to reason why,
Theirs but to do and die:
Into the valley of Death
Rode the six hundred.
Cannon to right of them,
Cannon to left of them,
Cannon in front of them
Volley’d and thunder’d;
Storm’d at with shot and shell,
Boldly they rode and well,
Into the jaws of Death,
Into the mouth of Hell
Rode the six hundred.
Flash’d all their sabres bare,
Flash’d as they turn’d in air
Sabring the gunners there,
Charging an army, while
All the world wonder’d:
Plunged in the battery-smoke
Right thro’ the line they broke;
Cossack and Russian
Reel’d from the sabre-stroke
Shatter’d and sunder’d.
Then they rode back, but not
Not the six hundred.
Cannon to right of them,
Cannon to left of them,
Cannon behind them
Volley’d and thunder’d;
Storm’d at with shot and shell,
While horse and hero fell,
They that had fought so well
Came thro’ the jaws of Death,
Back from the mouth of Hell,
All that was left of them,
Left of six hundred.
When can their glory fade?
O the wild charge they made!
All the world wonder’d.
Honor the charge they made!
Honor the Light Brigade,
Noble six hundred!
Reading the comments of a Canadian armchair general is like listening to transvestites bloviating about how it feels to be a real woman.
He's running the show so he's corrupt. They'll have better chance if Yevgeny Prigozhin was in charge. But the Russians are not that smart.
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