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The Ticking Time Bomb in America’s Downtowns
Slate via MSN.com ^ | 05/26/2023 4:45 AM | Henry Grabar

Posted on 05/27/2023 4:16:21 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum

They call it the “debt wall,” and it is not the kind of wall that protects you. It’s the kind that might collapse and crush your village, or into which you might crash your car. Specifically, it is $1.5 trillion in commercial real estate debt, owed to banks, pension funds, and insurance companies before the end of 2025, and secured by a national portfolio of office, retail, industrial, and multifamily properties that may not be worth what they were five or 10 years ago when those loans got made. This wall just might blow up in everyone’s face.

The country’s downtown office buildings, as you may have heard, are in particularly dire shape. The return to office has stalled, and many once-vibrant business districts have fallen on hard times. According to data from the brokerage Colliers, almost all of biggest office buildings in Downtown Los Angeles are underwater on their loans—meaning, their owners owe more to the bank than the buildings are currently worth. LA’s office towers have, on average, more than $230 in debt per square foot, Bloomberg’s John Gittelson reports, and the only building to sell this year went for $154 per square foot. That’s a lot of water. The city’s biggest commercial landlord, the Canadian property giant Brookfield, has defaulted on more than a billion dollars of loans this year.

I asked Tomasz Piskorski, a property market expert at Columbia Business School, why we should care if some downtown mogul—or better yet, the shareholders in a publicly traded Canadian office company—takes a haircut on their trophy building. For that matter, why should we care if they have to hand over the keys to the bank? He gave me three reasons: First, because city property taxes will decline with the value of their office districts, prompting the so-called...

(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Government
KEYWORDS: commercialproperty; debt; donate; donatedonaldtrump; donatetrump; realty
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1 posted on 05/27/2023 4:16:21 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

The decay will continue until city leaders provide safety and a better quality of life.


2 posted on 05/27/2023 4:21:16 PM PDT by HonkyTonkMan ( )
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To: HonkyTonkMan

People have tasted what it means to work at home 2, 3 or 4 days a week. They don’t want to commute to the city centers 5 days a week any more. I don’t know how you put that Genie back in the bottle.

The declining city tax base assures that the city leaders will not be able to provide basic city services to assure safety and cleanliness. The “defund the police” movement started the trend and the collapse of city skyscraper values will finish it. I don’t see any way out of this.

Once the $1.5 trillion of city real estate is re-valued at $350-$400 million, there will be massive bankruptcies and bank failures. I don’t think any of us will escape this unscathed.

It’s all because Democrat lunatics scared the pants off everybody with COVID, shut down the economy, and sent people home.


3 posted on 05/27/2023 4:25:41 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom (I don’t like to think before I say something...I want to be just as surprised as everyone else.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Why do I feel it is all part of the plan to make us cower into submission to the state and its acolytes.


4 posted on 05/27/2023 4:25:52 PM PDT by lastchance (Cognovit Dominus qui sunt eius.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
0372-F396-7-ADE-408-C-B8-CD-A888-BBD68-B7-A



A Biden Mansion in Delaware



5 posted on 05/27/2023 4:26:17 PM PDT by AnthonySoprano (Statute of Limitations is going to elapse on Hunter Biden )
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
The legacy of Covid strikes again.

It is the first pandemic to destroy more businesses and government budgets than people.

6 posted on 05/27/2023 4:28:23 PM PDT by zeestephen (Trump "Lost" By 43,000 Votes - Spread Across Three States - GA, WI, AZ)
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To: ProtectOurFreedom

I sure don’t miss dodging the bums to get to my office.


7 posted on 05/27/2023 4:29:15 PM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

downtown philly converted to residential years ago except for a few. comcast, IBM, ans some others.


8 posted on 05/27/2023 4:30:48 PM PDT by kvanbrunt2
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To: dfwgator

I retired almost six years ago. I don’t miss my office one bit.


9 posted on 05/27/2023 4:33:37 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom (I don’t like to think before I say something...I want to be just as surprised as everyone else.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

.


10 posted on 05/27/2023 4:34:53 PM PDT by sauropod (“If they don’t believe our lies, well, that’s just conspiracy theorist stuff, there.”)
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To: HonkyTonkMan

Which they will start to provide once their clients own those downtowns for themselves.


11 posted on 05/27/2023 4:35:57 PM PDT by Jonty30 (If liberals were truth tellers, they'd call themselves literals. )
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

So it isn’t time to that great commercial REIT?


12 posted on 05/27/2023 4:36:55 PM PDT by Sequoyah101 (Procrastination is just a form of defiance.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
"..and many once-vibrant business districts have fallen on hard times.."


13 posted on 05/27/2023 4:48:45 PM PDT by Bonemaker (invictus maneo)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
The country’s downtown office buildings, as you may have heard, are in particularly dire shape. The return to office has stalled, and many once-vibrant business districts have fallen on hard times.

Well, you all wanted to shut everything down because "Orange Man Bad" so this is what you get.

Closing the schools was another well thought out plan. Send the kids home with Chromebooks and "virtual learning" and expose their parents to your woke classroom agenda. Not working out so great, is it?

14 posted on 05/27/2023 4:52:33 PM PDT by Drew68 (Ron DeSantis for President. A conservative who fights and wins.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

And the American voter won’t ever connect it to the Leftist policies that created the disaster.


15 posted on 05/27/2023 4:54:04 PM PDT by nicollo ("I said no!")
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

💣


16 posted on 05/27/2023 4:57:58 PM PDT by frank ballenger (You have summoned up a thundercloud. You're gonna hear from me. Anthem by Leonard Cohen)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

It was the silicon chip that made central office complexes obsolete. crime, high taxes and Democratic mismanagement of course did not help.


17 posted on 05/27/2023 4:58:22 PM PDT by allendale
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Remote work isn’t just killing the suburbs, semi-rural and rural towns in America, by letting liberals move out of the city and work from their home office.

They bring their bullsh*t everywhere they go.

And now, this. Quite possibly, liberals are the most destructive force on the planet


18 posted on 05/27/2023 5:02:53 PM PDT by qaz123
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

House of Cards


19 posted on 05/27/2023 5:04:28 PM PDT by P.O.E. (Pray for America.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum; All

Blame covid.

Blame remote work. As some on here have mentioned, not having to commute is nice.

More importantly, blame liberal policies that allow the homeless to take over downtowns, that allow urban youths to steal and break into cars, all in the name of equity and fairness.

By Woodruff Park in Atlanta, it’s a complete disaster. No matter how much the city has tried to revitalize the area, when you let the homeless walk around like zombies, harassing anyone and everyone, it’s going to have an effect.

Years ago, I spoke to a woman who was from DC and whose husband was a DC cop. She commented to me how many and how aggressive the homeless were in downtown Atlanta. That was about 20 years ago and it’s only gotten worse.


20 posted on 05/27/2023 5:08:49 PM PDT by qaz123
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