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Brace yourselves, the banking crisis is just getting started
Yahoo Finance ^ | 5/5/23 | Ben Marlow

Posted on 05/05/2023 4:39:44 AM PDT by CFW

If Jamie Dimon was pondering a career change as a fortune-teller, he’d be wise to stick to the day job. On the other hand, if someone of Dimon’s stature could be so wrong about the banking turmoil that continues to sweep across the US, a cynic might ask whether he was still the right person to be running one of the world’s largest financial institutions, particularly when that organisation is right at the centre of Government-led efforts to prop up the whole system.

Having ridden to the rescue of California lender First Republic over the weekend, JP Morgan’s superstar boss had a message for financial markets: its shotgun takeover of First Republic heralded the end of the crisis. He should know better than to be drawn into the realms of speculation about things he has no control of but then Wall Street is so deferential to figures like Dimon that they start to believe they can walk on water.

(Excerpt) Read more at finance.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Constitution/Conservatism; Crime/Corruption; Extended News
KEYWORDS: banks; crisis; ecnomy; inflation
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Regional bank stocks seem to be recovering a bit in today's pre-market trading.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/pacwest-leads-regional-bank-stock-080751366.html

We will see how long that lasts.

1 posted on 05/05/2023 4:39:44 AM PDT by CFW
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To: CFW

There is no “run” on the banking system as a whole.

Deposits are not being withdrawn. They are just being moved from one bank to another.

This will continue until there are lots fewer banks. There is no reason to have more banks than auto makers or airlines.


2 posted on 05/05/2023 4:43:10 AM PDT by FarCenter
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To: CFW

It won’t last. This is a purposeful consolidation of the regional banks....we’ll have 4-5 mega banks by 2025. Easier to control.


3 posted on 05/05/2023 4:43:56 AM PDT by bertmerc1 (Conservative Buddhist)
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To: CFW

Jamie Dimon believes in return to the office and he can show the gains made at his large bank.

His bankers will work to get the offices his bank has mortgages on filled back up.


4 posted on 05/05/2023 4:44:17 AM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: CFW

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/everyone-in-the-banking-space-is-a-little-too-happy-right-now-top-money-manager-154412929.html

“Everyone in the banking space is ‘a little too happy’ right now: Top money manager”

“As banking execs put on a happy face to try and calm a jittery financial system, there is a realist among the smiles: new TCW Group CEO Katie Koch.

“One of my main takeaways is that people look a little too happy for me here,” the former Goldman Sachs money manager said on Yahoo Finance Live [video link included] at this week’s Milken Conference.”


5 posted on 05/05/2023 4:44:27 AM PDT by CFW (old and retired)
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To: CFW
The banking crisis to this point hasn’t had serious impacts across the economy because it was an unusual one. It was caused by major outflows of depositor cash, not bad loans on the books of these banks.

Thing will get really serious when the “bad loans” part of the problem comes to the surface in the coming months.

6 posted on 05/05/2023 4:45:31 AM PDT by Alberta's Child ("I've just pissed in my pants and nobody can do anything about it." -- Major Fambrough)
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To: FarCenter

“There is no reason to have more banks than auto makers or airlines.”

why not?


7 posted on 05/05/2023 4:48:27 AM PDT by wny
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To: FarCenter

I noticed a few years ago that there are as many bank books a cure as pharmacies. I mentioned this to my husband as we were driving in a city
Negative interest rates for them but not for us.
This continued under republican leadership. Should that tell you something.


8 posted on 05/05/2023 4:48:29 AM PDT by momincombatboots (BQEphesians 6... who you are really at war with)
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To: bertmerc1

“This is a purposeful consolidation of the regional banks....we’ll have 4-5 mega banks by 2025. Easier to control.”

The underlying problem is the lack of sufficient lending capability which caused the troubled banks to buy low income investments.

Consolidation will generally make the lending capability shortfall worse.


9 posted on 05/05/2023 4:48:48 AM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: CFW

All by design. You see, they want us poor, and they want us dead.


10 posted on 05/05/2023 4:51:01 AM PDT by Shady (The Force of Liberty must prevail for the sake of our Children and Grandchildren...)
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To: momincombatboots
I noticed a few years ago that there are as many bank books a cure as pharmacies.

Interesting observation. Can you post it in English?

11 posted on 05/05/2023 4:52:48 AM PDT by Alberta's Child ("I've just pissed in my pants and nobody can do anything about it." -- Major Fambrough)
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To: Alberta's Child

The 2008 meltdown resulted in $526 billion in bank bailouts. As of yesterday, we have reached $586 billion in bailouts, the three banks ranked the second, third and fourth largest failures in US financial history….Washington Mutual in 2008 was the largest in history.

So, the three recent bank bail outs already put us in record loss territory, we are just getting started.


12 posted on 05/05/2023 4:55:00 AM PDT by delta7
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To: CFW

“Potter isn’t selling — Potter’s buying.”
— George Bailey


13 posted on 05/05/2023 4:55:28 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (“You want it one way, but it's the other way”)
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To: CFW

What Yellen might do is to buy up low interest national debt off banks having a deposit run at a discount.

That would send the federal debt downward.

For example if $1 billion of 2% debt was bought at 6% discount, the national debt would decrease by $60 million.


14 posted on 05/05/2023 4:57:49 AM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: wny

Banking is an information technology and software intensive business. The major banks can afford to develop their own software and run their own data centers. Small banks either buy services from other processors or they buy specialized banking software from a small collection of vendors at very high licensing and maintenance costs.

So economies of scale now apply strongly to banking operations.

There are also scale effects for the big banks, since a large percentage of the population has credit cards or other accounts with the big banks. Thus they don’t have to depend exclusively on the credit reporting agencies, but instead have their own information on who is creditworthy.


15 posted on 05/05/2023 4:58:16 AM PDT by FarCenter
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To: bertmerc1

Exactly. It’s about enforcing ESG on all of us. First they must eliminate all the small and medium size banks they don’t control in flyover county.


16 posted on 05/05/2023 4:58:18 AM PDT by Codeflier (My voting days are over. Let it burn...give the people what they want good and hard.)
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To: Brian Griffin
The underlying problem is that retail banking is one of the few industries in the U.S. where the regulations are written in a way that the businesses are screwed on behalf of the customers.

Perfect case in point: If you sign a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, the rate is only fixed for one party — the borrower. The borrower can refinance at any time if interest rates decline, but the lender is stuck for the entire term of the loan if rates rise.

17 posted on 05/05/2023 4:59:04 AM PDT by Alberta's Child ("I've just pissed in my pants and nobody can do anything about it." -- Major Fambrough)
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To: Alberta's Child

Might be a good tagline. I might take it.

“bank books a cure as pharmacies”


18 posted on 05/05/2023 5:01:28 AM PDT by Codeflier (My voting days are over. Let it burn...give the people what they want good and hard.)
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To: delta7

“$526 billion....$586 billion”

Adjusted for inflation, that $586 billion would buy about what $200 billion would in 2008.

Under Biden, our dollars are becoming like lira.


19 posted on 05/05/2023 5:01:46 AM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: CFW
"its shotgun takeover of First Republic heralded the end of the crisis"
Tell that to all the investors shorting bank stocks. The Biden administration is trying to intimidate short sellers by releasing plans to probe them.

US Officials Probe Possible Bank Shares 'Manipulation'
20 posted on 05/05/2023 5:02:18 AM PDT by ProudDeplorable (Concentrated power has always been the enemy of liberty. ~ Ronald Reagan)
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