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Tornado alley is expanding — and scientists don’t know why
The hill ^ | 04/16/2023 | Saul Elbein

Posted on 04/16/2023 7:42:31 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27

Tornadoes are becoming more frequent in populated parts of the United States and are often occurring as damaging clusters — a development seen in recent deadly outbreaks from Alabama to Michigan.

The number, damage and deadliness of individual tornadoes has held roughly steady over the past 50 years, federal experts with the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration told The Hill.

But broad shifts in the patterns of how tornadoes occur will pose serious challenges to policymakers and emergency managers across the South and Midwest — even as risks remain in the traditional heart of Tornado Alley.

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: alley; expanding; globalwarming; propaganda; scientists; tornado; weather
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To: Tom Tetroxide

That is an outdated graphic. Tornado alley has become much wider, having expanded to include Arkansas and Mississipi, while extended halfway through Kentucky and Tennessee. Tornado alley is no longer confined to the midwestern plains from Texas to Nebraska.


61 posted on 04/16/2023 11:26:02 AM PDT by Freedom_Is_Not_Free (America -- July 4, 1776 to November 3, 2020 -- R.I.P.)
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To: Freedom_Is_Not_Free

Because back then “Tornado Alley” was smaller than it should have been.

Especially when arguably the worst tornado outbreak happened in Ohio and Kentucky in the 1974 Outbreak.


62 posted on 04/16/2023 11:27:29 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

They are not even saying tornado activity is increasing, just the pattern is changing — expanding eastward and coming more in the winter and less in the summer than prior decades.

“The number, damage and deadliness of individual tornadoes has held roughly steady over the past 50 years, federal experts with the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration told The Hill.”

“Major tornadoes — those that merit rating on the Fujita scale — have been ‘a relatively consistent 500 per year, and we don’t see any evidence that the intensity has changed,’ Brooks said.”

“ ‘This past winter and our early spring has been as active as I can remember in years,’ said William Bunting.’The increased winter tornado activity — a recurring pattern over the last several years — is unusual.’ “

“This January had more than three times as many tornadoes as the historical average; February had half again as many, and March had twice as many.”


63 posted on 04/16/2023 11:34:45 AM PDT by Freedom_Is_Not_Free (America -- July 4, 1776 to November 3, 2020 -- R.I.P.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27
Tornado alley is expanding — and scientists don’t know why

Could it be because.. "the ONLY thing that's PERMANENT is CHANGE?"

64 posted on 04/16/2023 11:40:01 AM PDT by VideoDoctor
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To: Steely Tom

LOL! Yup!


65 posted on 04/16/2023 1:14:16 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (It's time to indict the Dung Beetle Party's token affirmative action chubby cheeked shyster lawyer.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Rye Cove was before global warming/climate change terrorism.


66 posted on 04/16/2023 1:14:57 PM PDT by vetvetdoug
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To: Tom Tetroxide

I blame the Canadians!


67 posted on 04/16/2023 1:32:39 PM PDT by minnesota_bound (Need more money to buy everything now)
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To: ComputerGuy

Check this out,,,,,,,,,,https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SNnY6Yi5iqs


68 posted on 04/16/2023 1:38:14 PM PDT by Osage Orange
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To: Osage Orange

Watching it now. Dayum!


69 posted on 04/16/2023 1:52:50 PM PDT by ComputerGuy (Heavily-medicated for your protection)
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To: dfwgator

Fair enough...


70 posted on 04/16/2023 4:21:23 PM PDT by gas_dr (Conditions of Socratic debate: Intelligence, Candor, and Good Will )
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Many of us expanded during the COVID lockdowns.


71 posted on 04/16/2023 4:43:05 PM PDT by gitmo (If your theology doesn't become your biography, what good is it?)
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To: Freedom_Is_Not_Free

Which means we’re all gonna die...AGAIN!!!


72 posted on 04/16/2023 8:21:30 PM PDT by Tom Tetroxide
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To: Tom Tetroxide
Looking at the global temperature it has been on a downward trend for the last few years. Do I expect to see 2023 become an El Ninyo year? Most likely not.


73 posted on 04/17/2023 3:24:06 AM PDT by Tom Tetroxide
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To: South Dakota

I was watching this video about some survivalist/prepper chick in Austria who mentioned in her latest video that this April is turning out to be colder than December. They’ve recently had a lot of rain and it keeps raining.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AUdf-_nL5PE&ab_channel=SurvivalLilly


74 posted on 04/17/2023 3:26:52 AM PDT by Tom Tetroxide
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To: Codeflier
Neither of those things explains the change in relative concentration of Fujita-rated tornados, region to region. In fact, improvements in detection should result in relatively higher numbers of declared* tornados and warnings in the more rural areas - which would be the old "traditional" tornado alley - than in the past.

However, the article clearly states the number Fujita-rated tornados per year has averaged around 500 for as long as reliable records have been kept. The variation is in where and when. Obviously there is more $$ value damage now, as the article explains. (More people with more goodies, and higher population densities in the "new" alley.)

*Note carefully that a declared tornado is not a confirmed Fujita-rated tornado. An official "F" rating (old scale or new scale) from NWS is ONLY determined by ground observation of actual damage. This is NOT the same as your local TV met looking at a radar signature and blurting out "this is a F-1 moving toward such-and-such town." NWS generally does not state F ratings until on the ground surveys are done. They might say "large and dangerous tornado on the ground, moving toward xxx, catastrophic damage expected" in a warning, but, that storm is still not a recorded F rated storm (though it likely will become so recorded after the ground surveys are done.)

One other thing: The article & Mr. Brooks are completely wrong when they state:

"the deadliest tornadoes in U.S. history happened more than a century ago: an 1890 tornado that hit Louisville, Ky. and an 1896 one that devastated St. Louis, Mo. in 1896, Brooks said."

By a considerable margin, the deadliest tornado in U.S. history was the Tri-State tornado of 1925.

75 posted on 04/17/2023 9:48:41 AM PDT by Paul R. (You know your pullets are dumb if they don't recognize a half Whopper as food!)
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To: Paul R.

My point is they may have loosened the criteria for designating tornadoes and their strengths as well, by using computer modeling, rather than more traditional metrics.

I don’t trust this push to blame everything on anthropogenic climate change. You obviously buy into it. Different strokes for different folks.


76 posted on 04/17/2023 9:59:15 AM PDT by Codeflier (My voting days are over. Let it burn...give the people what they want good and hard.)
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To: Paul R.

I re-read your response. Ignore my comment about climate change and you.


77 posted on 04/17/2023 10:01:33 AM PDT by Codeflier (My voting days are over. Let it burn...give the people what they want good and hard.)
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To: Paul R.

I re-read your response. Please ignore my comment about climate change and you.


78 posted on 04/17/2023 10:03:27 AM PDT by Codeflier (My voting days are over. Let it burn...give the people what they want good and hard.)
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To: Dan in Wichita

“It’s called... Mother Nature.”

Is that the new nic for the geoengineering ghouls that have been playing god with the weather since the Vietnam War (and probably before that)?


79 posted on 04/17/2023 10:59:31 AM PDT by Danie_2023 (I haven't given up....I'm just regrouping.)
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