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The Fed has to crush consumer demand with much higher rates if it wants to get inflation under control, Bank of America says
https://markets.businessinsider.com ^ | Phil Rosen Feb 27, 2023, 10:26 AM

Posted on 02/27/2023 4:29:58 PM PST by RomanSoldier19

Americans' spending spree is keeping inflation elevated and sticky, meaning the Federal Reserve must crush consumer demand with more interest rate hikes that will likely induce a recession, according to Bank of America.

In a Monday note, analysts explained that the Fed is unlikely to reach its 2% inflation target unless it leans into much more interest rate hikes. The odds of a downturn are high in that scenario, they maintained, because the non-consumer sectors of the economy already look weak.

"The strength in the January activity and inflation data suggests that the Fed might have to hike considerably further to find the point of pain for the consumer," BofA analysts wrote. "Right-tail risks to the terminal rate are growing.

(Excerpt) Read more at markets.businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bideneffect; inflation; nation
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1 posted on 02/27/2023 4:29:58 PM PST by RomanSoldier19
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To: RomanSoldier19

must “crush consumer demand with higher interest rates” - aka - completely crash the economy. Yeah.. sounds great. How about kicking the cause out of office...


2 posted on 02/27/2023 4:33:10 PM PST by TheBattman (Democrats-Progressives-Marxists-Socialists - redundant labels.)
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To: TheBattman

Don’t crush gubmint spending, whatever you do.


3 posted on 02/27/2023 4:35:53 PM PST by AndyJackson (.)
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To: TheBattman

KICK HIS ARSE TO THE CURB CLOSEST TO THE SOUTHERN BORDER!!


4 posted on 02/27/2023 4:38:32 PM PST by TribalPrincess2U (D.I.S.T.R.A.C.T.I.O.N.S.)
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To: RomanSoldier19

Crush your enemies, see them driven before you, and to hear the lamentation of their women!


5 posted on 02/27/2023 4:38:37 PM PST by ClearCase_guy (“You want it one way, but it's the other way”)
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To: TheBattman

6 posted on 02/27/2023 4:38:45 PM PST by RomanSoldier19 (Res ad Triarios venit;“We are your ghosts, in this game played by monkeys, organized by lunatics” )
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To: RomanSoldier19
No pain no gain

The Fed printed too much money in 2020 and 2021 when they were doing God's work and providing COVID relief. Now they have to choose between a few bad options. Turns out the classical economists were right. There's no such thing as a free lunch.

7 posted on 02/27/2023 4:38:59 PM PST by Right_Wing_Madman
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To: RomanSoldier19

Send 20 trillion dollars to Ukraine and Hunter Biden.


8 posted on 02/27/2023 4:40:14 PM PST by Mark (DONATE ONCE every 3 months-is that a big deal?)
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To: AndyJackson

“Don’t crush gubmint spending, whatever you do.”

That is exactly right. Blame the inflation on consumer demand and not government spending. Bwahahahahahaha


9 posted on 02/27/2023 4:41:40 PM PST by Parley Baer (WI)
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To: RomanSoldier19

Banks and other lenders want high interest rates so naturally they want the fed to “crush” the American people.


10 posted on 02/27/2023 4:43:32 PM PST by Avalon Memories (Liberalism is a philosophy of sniveling brats. -- P.J. O’Rourke)
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To: RomanSoldier19

“Consumer demand” has nothing to do with causing inflation. It does raise prices but that is a result of there being more money created and flooding the system. The increase in the money supply is entirely what inflation is.


11 posted on 02/27/2023 4:45:31 PM PST by arthurus (covfefe i_i)
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To: RomanSoldier19

Paging Paul Volker, Paul Volker?


12 posted on 02/27/2023 4:46:37 PM PST by STJPII ( )
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To: Right_Wing_Madman

There is at school-—But NON parents are footing the bill in property taxes.


13 posted on 02/27/2023 4:48:02 PM PST by ridesthemiles
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To: RomanSoldier19

The previous 3/4, 3/4, 3/4, 1/2 increases have had negligible impact.

Last month inflation was back to 0.04%. The rates for the previous 4 months have been revised upward.


14 posted on 02/27/2023 4:48:02 PM PST by TomGuy
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To: RomanSoldier19

Democrats don’t WANT inflation under control.

It devalues the existing debt, they collect more dollars from the higher wages that people demand because of inflation, more hit higher income tax brackets, etc. etc. etc.


15 posted on 02/27/2023 4:51:04 PM PST by jdsteel (PA voters elected a stroke victim and a dead guy. Not a joke.)
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To: RomanSoldier19
Of course consumer spending is up. It costs a ton more just to get by. What f’ing bs. But Hunter Biden wants a break on child support.
16 posted on 02/27/2023 4:51:19 PM PST by neverevergiveup
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To: RomanSoldier19

Yeah you morons! Quit enjoying life and stuff.


17 posted on 02/27/2023 4:52:00 PM PST by rktman (Destroy America from within? Check! WTH? Enlisted USN 1967 to end up with this? 😕)
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To: arthurus

18 posted on 02/27/2023 4:52:01 PM PST by RomanSoldier19 (Res ad Triarios venit;“We are your ghosts, in this game played by monkeys, organized by lunatics” )
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To: TheBattman

Intentional government policy has / is substantially driving the cost of energy up. Supply has no role in controlling its cost as a result. Therefore, as intentionally reduced supply driven inflation is ripping through food, energy, and every other sector of the economy, the only thing that can control it is to reduce demand to meet the artificially low supply. Sharply reducing energy usage by 30-50% will crush everyone and everything.

Slightly less negative real interest rates (like we have now and the markets are forecasting) cannot do this. If government policy does not change, inflation will not go back to 2% without very positive real interest rates that are high enough to crush everything and everyone.


19 posted on 02/27/2023 4:52:33 PM PST by rigelkentaurus
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To: rktman

20 posted on 02/27/2023 4:53:19 PM PST by RomanSoldier19 (Res ad Triarios venit;“We are your ghosts, in this game played by monkeys, organized by lunatics” )
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