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Can Donald Trump Win in 2024 America? For that Matter, With Our Changine Demographics, Can Any Conservative Republican Win?
American Thinker ^ | 02/08/2023 | Steve McCann

Posted on 02/08/2023 7:01:25 AM PST by SeekAndFind

Due to demographics, voter manipulation, and implacable ideological fault lines, the 2024 election is a potential watershed that may well be the point of no return for this nation as founded if the Democrat Party’s presidential nominee wins.

Thus, it is imperative that the Republican presidential nominee not only has a track record of defeating the radical left and facing down the media but more importantly can win the presidency in a nation far different than the America of seven-years ago.

America’s youngest generations (Millennials and Gen Z) now account for over half of the populace.   Only 27% are proud to be American and unsurprisingly, nearly 20% believe that the Communist Manifesto “better guarantees freedom and equality for all” than the Declaration of Independence and nearly half believe that the U.S. economic system works against them.

More determinative is that 68% of these two generations would vote for an avowed socialist candidate.  When combined with the unfortunate reality that 33% of the older generations would also vote for an avowed socialist, the political impact of Millennials and Gen Z cannot be underestimated.

This massive segment of the citizenry is growing in influence with each passing election.  In 2016 this group accounted for 36% of all registered voters.  In 2020 they accounted for 44% of all registered voters. In 2024 it is estimated that they will account for nearly 52% of all registered voters.  

While in the 2016 election these two generations accounted for less than 32% of the overall vote and voted 55-38% for Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump, by the 2020 election this bloc accounted for 44% of the overall vote and voted 54-43% for Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump.

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2024; conservatism; electionfraud; elections; trump
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1 posted on 02/08/2023 7:01:25 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

No.


2 posted on 02/08/2023 7:02:10 AM PST by crz
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To: SeekAndFind
Just loo at the 2022 Midterms.

Despite rampant inflation, impending recession, massive disapproval of Biden’s job performance, and 75% of the country agreeing with the statement that the nation is on the wrong track, in the 2022 mid-terms these two generations voted 57-40% for the Democrat Senate and House candidates, which is the primary reason the vaunted and expected red-wave did not materialize. 

These generations are not lost to the conservatives if the 2024 Republican nominee has the temperament and ability to unabashedly talk to these generations about the direction of the country and their vital role in its future as compared to the dystopian scenario the Marxist Democrats offer.

Bombastic rhetoric or the regurgitation of decades-old Republican talking points will only alienate these generations further as the Republican nominee in 2024 cannot win the presidency without reducing the vote deficit over the past three election cycles from an average of 15 to at least 4-5 percentage points, as it is estimated that this voting bloc will account for nearly 50% of the overall vote.

Much has been written about the minority vote migrating to the Republican Party.  While there has been movement, in reality it is far too small to offset the potential impact of new generational voting patterns. 

In 2016, 89% of the Black vote and 66% of the Hispanic vote backed Hillary Clinton.  In 2020 the respective results were 87% of Blacks and 65% of Hispanics voted for Joe Biden.  Despite being disproportionally impacted by Democrat economic policies, the 2022 mid-terms recorded a similar pattern as 86% of Blacks and 60% of Hispanics voted for Democrat Senate and House candidates.

3 posted on 02/08/2023 7:03:24 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: crz

RE: No.

So, are you still going to bother to vote?


4 posted on 02/08/2023 7:03:47 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: crz

“America’s youngest generations (Millennials and Gen Z) ... 68% of these two generations would vote for an avowed socialist candidate.”

This has always been the case. The young always love socialism, then they get their first tax bill and everything changes.


5 posted on 02/08/2023 7:04:55 AM PST by Renfrew (Muscovia delenda est)
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To: All

America is no longer white or Christian
So “no” a Republican can’t win (conservative or otherwise). The Bushites got what they wanted : Mexico 2.0


6 posted on 02/08/2023 7:06:15 AM PST by escapefromboston (Peace, commerce and honest friendship with all nations, entangling alliances with none.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Sus amigos should look around and see who is working and likely to have to pay taxes.


7 posted on 02/08/2023 7:06:16 AM PST by Brian Griffin
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To: SeekAndFind
"Due to demographics, voter manipulation, and implacable ideological fault lines.

Fraud, you forgot the cheating and fraud.. And the answer is, NO..

8 posted on 02/08/2023 7:06:23 AM PST by unread ("It's not enough that we do our best; sometimes we have to do what's required." W. Churchill.)
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To: SeekAndFind

It has nothing to do with demographics. It is now 100% voter fraud. The demons running this country aren’t even pretending any more. We have a demonic cartel running the country they know you know and they don’t care. The Red Wave was quashed through industrial scale voter fraud. They have the recipe and are now going to kill us with it.


9 posted on 02/08/2023 7:06:33 AM PST by WinstonSmith1984
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To: SeekAndFind
Conservative is a loaded term...

A conservative is someone who can win calling for a 90% reduction in the Federal Government, ends social security and medicare/aid and converts the Federal Government into a weak entity as it's intended to be.

A "conservative" hasn't run in over 120 years and thus our choices are just Socialist Light (Like Reagan, Bush, Trump, Clinton) or Hell in a Handbasket right away (like Obama, Biden or Carter).
10 posted on 02/08/2023 7:07:34 AM PST by TexasGunLover
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To: Renfrew

The age of responsibility is decreasing, with the advent of even higher taxes and nuttiness in wars and politics.

Thus, there are moves afoot to lower the voting age to 16.


11 posted on 02/08/2023 7:07:39 AM PST by C210N (Everything will be okay in the end. If it’s not okay, it’s not the end.)
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To: SeekAndFind

“More determinative is that 68% of these two generations would vote for an avowed socialist candidate. “

Since George McGovern in 1972, Democrat presidential candidates have been socialists if not communists.

We are past the tipping point. Cheating combined with demographics has determined the destiny of the free republic. We are moving fast toward a one party socialist dictatorship in which individual liberty has been replaced by subservience to the leviathan state.


12 posted on 02/08/2023 7:07:41 AM PST by Soul of the South (The past is gone and cannot be changed. Tomorrow can be a better day if we work o)
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To: SeekAndFind

I don’t think so. The Democrat Party has embraced every kind of mentally ill group, many of which conflict with each other, to dominate politics. Once they embraced trans people and placed them in high offices, that signified the depravity of the party. And it threatens women. Embracing radical muslims challenges the Jewish vote. Recognizing gay marriage put them at odds with the Black Caucus. But they all work together watching each other carefully. It was clever and dangerous for the Dems to do this, and one spark could bring it all down., But they managed to get a majority (of the worst of America) to go after the best of America.


13 posted on 02/08/2023 7:08:02 AM PST by realcleanguy (quickly things are falling apart, now that the )
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To: SeekAndFind

Trump would have won in 2020 had he shut up about the coronavirus like saying it will be over in two weeks or a hoax. And stupidly bashing McCain two years after death. Both times Arizona said don’t talk about McCain by voting against him. A lot of his loss could have been prevented by trump himself.


14 posted on 02/08/2023 7:08:03 AM PST by napscoordinator (Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016 democratic )
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To: SeekAndFind

Is demographics the new euphemism for voting irregularities?


15 posted on 02/08/2023 7:08:36 AM PST by No Party Affiliation
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To: SeekAndFind

If we have honest elections with paper ballots, valid voter registration/ID and one day of voting he will win by an unimaginably large margin.

If we allow the injection of harvested/trafficked ballots with zero chain of custody, he will lose by an unimaginably large margin.


16 posted on 02/08/2023 7:09:56 AM PST by E. Pluribus Unum (The worst thing about censorship is ████ █ ██████ ███████ ███ ██████ ██ ████████. FJB.)
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To: SeekAndFind

I see only one possible solution. And voting ain’t it.

That being said, in 2024 I will vote for Trump, even if I have to write him in. I’ll make that effort, but I have no hope that it will mean anything.


17 posted on 02/08/2023 7:10:03 AM PST by ClearCase_guy (“You want it one way, but it’s the other way”)
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To: SeekAndFind

https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4129462/posts


18 posted on 02/08/2023 7:10:13 AM PST by unread ("It's not enough that we do our best; sometimes we have to do what's required." W. Churchill.)
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To: SeekAndFind

It’s not changing demographics as much as the changing media. No major news source is curious about voter fraud, Democrat corruption, etc. To the contrary. The media is now a propaganda arm of the Democrat Party.

So now it’s 3 against 1. The Democrats + the GOPe + the media vs. true conservatives

Those are tough odds to beat.


19 posted on 02/08/2023 7:10:28 AM PST by Leaning Right (The steal is real.)
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To: SeekAndFind

The usual talking point is that the millions of illegal invaders into this country will eventually become citizens and vote for Democrats.

However, we know how corrupt the election supervisors are in each state.

So what is stopping these millions of illegal invaders from voting in 2024 when these invaders know they will not be prosecuted for illegally voting???????????????????


20 posted on 02/08/2023 7:10:36 AM PST by Presbyterian Reporter
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