Posted on 11/04/2022 8:00:48 AM PDT by OneVike
I posted this a few weeks ago, but I decided to share it again because so many FReepers thought I was crazy 2 weeks ago. Well, now everyone is talking about a massive wave, where even Soccer Moms in suburbia are breaking heavy for Republicans. (an old saying, the most dangerous place to be is between a mother and her child) Well today I believe we will win even bigger than I did 2 weeks ago. Dare I claim we could actually win 100 House seats, and possibly win 10 Senate seats? Could happen if Chuck Schumer is really in trouble with Joe Pinion. If so, then with NY is in play we can see how some Democrats in flyover states could be knocked off. Even Newsome in California is now admitting a red wave is coming.
Well throughout American history there has been events in the country were things were so precarious that the voters decided en masse to change things. Below are a few graphs I created, to give you an idea how the American voters responded to these bellwether moments. These graphs offer a glimpse at how the political landscape can change, if we the voters truly want to stop the madness we see going on with our leaders.
To get a picture of what we are facing today, I chose to focus on the 1994 mid term election, the 2010 mid term election, and the 3 elections following the Stock Market Crash of 1929. These elections give us a glimpse of how the voters reacted to events effecting their lives, which they perceived are caused of the politicians running things. I am also including the shifts in governors races along with state legislatures of "1994" and "2010", and two maps to help you see how the states are looking in this election. All this to show how the voters turned their anger on politicians locally and nationally. Which we will see happening again this November.
I'll begin with the most recent election of 2010, when President Obama and the Democrats in Congress were destroying the economy while threatening to take over the healthcare industry. The result was the most devastating defeat for a political party in 78 years. It was in 1932 when Republicans lost 99 seats in the House and 11 seats in the Senate. Under Obama, the Democrats lost 64 seats in the house and 6 in the Senate. It must be stated that after the 2010 election, the Democrats defied the American voters demands, by passing Obamacare with a lame duck Congress. So after we defeat the Democrats in November, can we expect them to double down on stupid before their term is over?
Then we go back to the 1994 election which was 2 years after the Clintons won the Whitehouse, and the first time a big push was made by a political party to take control of American's health care system. This debate exacerbated the many problems voters had with the Clinton's and their allies in Congress. Which led the voters to show up in droves to make a change in 1994. In what was officially called the Ditto-Head caucus, the Republicans took control of both Houses of Congress. Other than 79th Congress of 1947-1949 and the 83rd Congress of 1953-1955, the Republicans were used to being in the minority for most of the second half of the 20th century.
Now we come to a couple elections when Republicans found themselves on the wrong end of a historic defeat.
While doing my research for relevant election cycles I realized that the anger of the voters at Republicans over the financial woes of the country just kept gaining steam as the Depression set in. People began looking to the government for help, which led to many Socialists getting elected. A similar thing we see the Democrats hoping they can create again as they try their best to duplicate the misery of the Great Depression for their political gain. Sadly, it is at times when the government becomes the most intrusive upon our lives that our misery becomes more rampant. So the people do look to the very government that put them in misery to help solve their financial woes. OH what a vicious web of dependance our leaders weave for us to be trapped by, just to satisfy their lust for power.
Following the Stock Market crash of 1929, it took 3 consecutive elections from 1930 to 1934, for the Democrats to gain a super majority of the government. In 1929 the Republicans controlled 30 Governorships to 18 for the Democrats, 53 Senate seats to 39 by Democrats, and 270 House seats to 165 by the Democrats. When the dust had settled after the 1934 election, the political landscape had changed drastically with the Democrats controlling 38 Governorships, 69 US Senate seats, and 322 House seats.
Over a four year span, the voters held the Republican Party responsible for the policies which led to all the financial woes of America. We can debate who was responsible, but regardless of what the facts are, I offer a glimpse of the results of how the American people saw things and what they did to change course. One reason it took 4 years for things to settle is that news traveled slow and many citizens were not as in tune with the election process. However, as the depression lingered, the effects it had on the mindset of Americans was quite evident by the time 1934 election was complete.
Today we are 22 days out from another election that historians will be studying for years to come. When you look at the mood of the voters, it is evident that by the time the 118th Congress is sworn in Republicans will gain both chambers. It is no longer a question of "if", but rather how big the sweep will be. In the graphs I put together, you will see that I made my predictions, and highlighted them in yellow. I am convinced the Republicans will win much bigger than many believe.
Here are just some of the ancillary evidence to take into consideration for what this election will most likely turn on.
As of today, the numbers of early voters are down historically, which means Democrats could care less. Republicans will not send in their vote by mail unless forced by law. We will crawl over broken glass to vote in person, as we did in 2022.
Independent voters are overwhelmingly telling liberal pollsters they will vote Republican.
Black men are angry at the Democrats, and even liberal polls are showing this.
Hispanic voters are the fastest growing conservative group in America. They are leaving the Democrat party in droves. Mostly because they are the biggest pro-life, pro-Christian, anti-gay, anti-Socialist demographic group in the country. They will be mostly voting Republican.
States where Democrats seldom see opposition are now confronted with many, many female voters who are telling pollsters,
"I am pro-choice, but I am voting Republican to protect my children."
Yes, those are quotes being heard time and time again across the country in strong Democrat areas.
I offer two maps to help you see how the states are looking in this election, and when you consider past elections you begin to understand the ramifications this election will have on the federal, state, and all the way down to school boards and even dog catcher if anyone is running for that job.
Turnout and vote-count vigilance will be key.
My prediction: narrow win for the House, and the Senate a toss-up, thanks to cheating.
Voting will be in a massive red wave, but will the counting correspond with it?
My prediction, no matter who holds power the people will not be better off. That being said I’m hoping the Repukes take the house.
Okay, the Republicans “win.” What changes? Asking for a friend.
Now the media will simply blame everything on the Republican Congress instead of on Biden.
Fetidman just got Oprah’s endorsement. That will go a long way with brain-dead soccer moms.
There has been nothing at all done to address the 2018 (Orange County, California) or the 2020 General Election Thefts. What on earth makes anybody think that this will be different?
+7 R in Senate would be 57, not 56.
That would be pretty crazy. Would mean we win all the tossups plus VT, CO, WA, or maybe substitute CT for one of those 3.
Also, IL Gov race is NOT solid D. The Repub has a real chance to win this. Gov. Pigster is under 50% and several polls had the Repub within a couple points.
I think three states are gonna take a while, California, Pennsylvania, and New York. I think will know the results of every other race election night.
Only three times in history has the President’s party gained seats in the House in the mid-terms: 1934, 1998, and 2002.
It will be the usual thing in certain states for U.S. Senate elections. Republican areas, playing the part of Charlie Brown trying to kick the football, will dutifully turn in their results as they get them, then all of a sudden, WHAM! The Democrat big city dumps it’s legion of possibly fraud-riddled ballots late in the evening, then the Democrat is really close and eventually overtakes the GOP candidate.
Great analysis, TexasGurl. We can only hope and pray that both of us are wrong and OneVike is correct.
“Nice analysis but it doesn’t take into account the 10,000 mules out there stuffing drop boxes with phony ballots, etc.”
Perhaps, but at the same time, ballot fraud prospects does not take into consideration the Hand of God, and the intercession of Christians.
Q: Why did the chicken cross the road?
A: None of your business. Am I being detained?
I heard that, and ever so briefly, wondered why. Ah well. Dems are hard wired.
Yeah, the Dems have a lot of problems with winning this election:
1. hubris - they really don’t expect it. while republicans are constantly hammered with liberal media and opinions, liberals live an insular life. they don’t understand that the majority of Americans are not into them.
2. cheating - yeah, they’re going to try the same thing they did in 2020 (filling in dead voters, stuffing vote by mails, dominion tampering) but it will be much more subdued than 2020. they created the D senate and house to protect them from investigation until 2022, but there’s no promise that they’ll have that safeguard in 2023.
3. indies and dems that vote R - indies are kinda 55-45 or 50-50 for the two parties in previous elections, but this election they should break hard for R. also, a minority of dems have been heard in polls saying ‘we’re dem, but not this dem.’
4. dem stay at homes - there’s a strong trend that Rs are getting 5-10% more and Ds are getting 5-10% less voter participation
5. ‘chaseouts’ - almost all districts are going to be manned by a full regiment of R observers and officials, all connected to GOP lawyers and so on. be ready to hear about voters ‘being chased’ out of polling locations as they attempt to vote for those on the polls during election day fraudulently. THIS WILL BE A POINT OF CONTENTION IF THE DEMS LOSE MASSIVELY. they will claim their operatives were suppressed, when in reality it was observers noticing mismatched information and signatures at the precinct level. combined with voter box surveillance, you will see Dems complain about this until 2024.
I would say you’re going to see Rs at 260+ House and maybe 53 S (they will claw back Walker or Kelly).
Get ready. It will be chaotic, but Trump losing in 2020 could result in the Dems losing the legislature completely for a decade and even splintering as the hard left looks to create its own party.
I’m looking forward to Jim Jordan leading the charg in the hearing rooms.
Absent 60 votes in the Senate, there can not be much agenda legislation passed. We’ll see what happens in money appropriations.
I think you are spot on. A 57-58 senate would leave a smoking crater in dc.
I think the GOP screwed up bad on abortion, but that Opec+ will screw the Democrats on energy, and that everyone knows what the Republican approach is “drill baby drill.”
I think the Libertarian who withdrew and endorsed his Republican opponent has been a game changer, as was Fetterman’s disastrous debate performance in Pennsylvania.
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