Posted on 11/04/2022 8:00:48 AM PDT by OneVike
I posted this a few weeks ago, but I decided to share it again because so many FReepers thought I was crazy 2 weeks ago. Well, now everyone is talking about a massive wave, where even Soccer Moms in suburbia are breaking heavy for Republicans. (an old saying, the most dangerous place to be is between a mother and her child) Well today I believe we will win even bigger than I did 2 weeks ago. Dare I claim we could actually win 100 House seats, and possibly win 10 Senate seats? Could happen if Chuck Schumer is really in trouble with Joe Pinion. If so, then with NY is in play we can see how some Democrats in flyover states could be knocked off. Even Newsome in California is now admitting a red wave is coming.
Well throughout American history there has been events in the country were things were so precarious that the voters decided en masse to change things. Below are a few graphs I created, to give you an idea how the American voters responded to these bellwether moments. These graphs offer a glimpse at how the political landscape can change, if we the voters truly want to stop the madness we see going on with our leaders.
To get a picture of what we are facing today, I chose to focus on the 1994 mid term election, the 2010 mid term election, and the 3 elections following the Stock Market Crash of 1929. These elections give us a glimpse of how the voters reacted to events effecting their lives, which they perceived are caused of the politicians running things. I am also including the shifts in governors races along with state legislatures of "1994" and "2010", and two maps to help you see how the states are looking in this election. All this to show how the voters turned their anger on politicians locally and nationally. Which we will see happening again this November.
I'll begin with the most recent election of 2010, when President Obama and the Democrats in Congress were destroying the economy while threatening to take over the healthcare industry. The result was the most devastating defeat for a political party in 78 years. It was in 1932 when Republicans lost 99 seats in the House and 11 seats in the Senate. Under Obama, the Democrats lost 64 seats in the house and 6 in the Senate. It must be stated that after the 2010 election, the Democrats defied the American voters demands, by passing Obamacare with a lame duck Congress. So after we defeat the Democrats in November, can we expect them to double down on stupid before their term is over?
Then we go back to the 1994 election which was 2 years after the Clintons won the Whitehouse, and the first time a big push was made by a political party to take control of American's health care system. This debate exacerbated the many problems voters had with the Clinton's and their allies in Congress. Which led the voters to show up in droves to make a change in 1994. In what was officially called the Ditto-Head caucus, the Republicans took control of both Houses of Congress. Other than 79th Congress of 1947-1949 and the 83rd Congress of 1953-1955, the Republicans were used to being in the minority for most of the second half of the 20th century. 
Now we come to a couple elections when Republicans found themselves on the wrong end of a historic defeat.
While doing my research for relevant election cycles I realized that the anger of the voters at Republicans over the financial woes of the country just kept gaining steam as the Depression set in. People began looking to the government for help, which led to many Socialists getting elected. A similar thing we see the Democrats hoping they can create again as they try their best to duplicate the misery of the Great Depression for their political gain. Sadly, it is at times when the government becomes the most intrusive upon our lives that our misery becomes more rampant. So the people do look to the very government that put them in misery to help solve their financial woes. OH what a vicious web of dependance our leaders weave for us to be trapped by, just to satisfy their lust for power.
Following the Stock Market crash of 1929, it took 3 consecutive elections from 1930 to 1934, for the Democrats to gain a super majority of the government. In 1929 the Republicans controlled 30 Governorships to 18 for the Democrats, 53 Senate seats to 39 by Democrats, and 270 House seats to 165 by the Democrats. When the dust had settled after the 1934 election, the political landscape had changed drastically with the Democrats controlling 38 Governorships, 69 US Senate seats, and 322 House seats.
Over a four year span, the voters held the Republican Party responsible for the policies which led to all the financial woes of America. We can debate who was responsible, but regardless of what the facts are, I offer a glimpse of the results of how the American people saw things and what they did to change course. One reason it took 4 years for things to settle is that news traveled slow and many citizens were not as in tune with the election process. However, as the depression lingered, the effects it had on the mindset of Americans was quite evident by the time 1934 election was complete.
Today we are 22 days out from another election that historians will be studying for years to come. When you look at the mood of the voters, it is evident that by the time the 118th Congress is sworn in Republicans will gain both chambers. It is no longer a question of "if", but rather how big the sweep will be. In the graphs I put together, you will see that I made my predictions, and highlighted them in yellow. I am convinced the Republicans will win much bigger than many believe. 
Here are just some of the ancillary evidence to take into consideration for what this election will most likely turn on.
As of today, the numbers of early voters are down historically, which means Democrats could care less. Republicans will not send in their vote by mail unless forced by law. We will crawl over broken glass to vote in person, as we did in 2022.
Independent voters are overwhelmingly telling liberal pollsters they will vote Republican.
Black men are angry at the Democrats, and even liberal polls are showing this.
Hispanic voters are the fastest growing conservative group in America. They are leaving the Democrat party in droves. Mostly because they are the biggest pro-life, pro-Christian, anti-gay, anti-Socialist demographic group in the country. They will be mostly voting Republican.
States where Democrats seldom see opposition are now confronted with many, many female voters who are telling pollsters,
"I am pro-choice, but I am voting Republican to protect my children."
Yes, those are quotes being heard time and time again across the country in strong Democrat areas.
I offer two maps to help you see how the states are looking in this election, and when you consider past elections you begin to understand the ramifications this election will have on the federal, state, and all the way down to school boards and even dog catcher if anyone is running for that job.
Is Ballot Tampering and Voter Fraud being factored in?
From your mouth to God’s ears. I really hope you are correct especially with the Senate count. That would put turkey neck on notice.
Nice analysis but it doesn’t take into account the 10,000 mules out there stuffing drop boxes with phony ballots, etc.
The supposition that elections are honest and reliable is no longer valid in the current dictatorship.
Sorry to be so negative. I hope for a landslide but am prepared for the worst. Heaven help us!
My final prediction stands. Anyone still afraid of losing?
I’m right there with you. This election will be like none other in modern history.
50 House seats, 4 Senate seats...BOOK IT!
Don’t count your chickens before they cross the road....................
Agreed. I think Michigan and Pennsylvania are gonna screw us
Only 2 weeks ago, bongino and Hannity et al were being very cagey, very circumspect about GOP prospects in general. Now, they are giddy and arrogant projecting a giant red wave. You just know that they’ve gone too far now and there are going to be some disappointments. Oz, in pennsylvania, in particular, is looking very very shaky. For what rational reason I could never explain.
The unknown factor is how much fraud there will be. Pennsylvania has already said they’re going to need extra time to manufacture votes for Democrats. The better the Republicans do, the bigger that job will be. They can count on the media to cover for them so it’s going to be huge.
Yep- I heard on the radio yesterday that Capt Dementia was meeting with a team to explore him running again in 2024.
By ‘running again’, they meant they were just checking to see if the ‘cheat machine’ was still working.
I predict Republicans pick up
Governor’s races in Oregon, Wisconsin, Nevada, New Mexico, Minnesota and New York. I think Democrats hold onto the governor’s mansion in Pennsylvania just like Republicans hold on in Arizona and Georgia. This is a net +6 for Republicans
Senate races in New Hampshire, Nevada, Georgia, Arizona. I would guess Democrats hold onto Washington. Republicans hold onto Iowa, Ohio, North Carolina and Pennyslvania. Technically Alaska is going to be held by a Republican (at least officially) either way. This is a net +4 for Republicans.
House races - I think the Republicans end up at 245 which means it will be a net +33 for Republicans.
There will have to be a massive margin of victor for the “R’s” to overcome the now-routine and perfected election fraud the Dems will commit with abandon. They know nothing will happen to them, but they’ll have the right to punish those who point out their fraud.
Do you recall the predictions for the California 2018 results?
> Sorry to be so negative. I hope for a landslide but am prepared for the worst. <
One thing that bothers me is that many Democrats are saying the vote-counting will take days. As I see it, the longer the counting takes, the greater are the chances for significant vote fraud.
I agree with will get both the House and the Senate, it’s just a matter of if we win, or win big.
I’m very hopeful for this election, but with one caveat. The Dems in areas they now control have gotten so good at cheating that with any close race we’re going to see the old familiar pattern of temporizing and the consequent discovery of new votes that put the Democrat just over the top. I think it was Mark Steyn who said that in order to win, a Republican had to get himself over the margin of fraud.
Appreciate your diligent research. I hope and pray your correct, or even that the red wave coming is even greater than your predictions.
God bless brother
I’m sorry, but this analysis doesn’t take into account anything other than wishcasting.
You completely ignore the polls, EV data, fundamentals, and most importantly, exposure.
Picking up that many seats in the House, would require cracking deep Blue urban districts that went for Biden by 30 points.
Picking up 7 Senate seats would require holding PA, and then sweeping GA, AZ, NV and NH, PLUS winning CO, WA and then winning two more out of VT, NY, CT, CA, MD, OR and HI.
Insane wishcasting is as bad as the doomer threads.
I DO believe that flipping the House is a guarantee, as well as a likely flip in the Senate.
Beyond that, 240 in the House and 53-54 in the Senate is possible, but your numbers are not.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.