Posted on 10/20/2022 8:17:50 AM PDT by Hojczyk
Trafalgar Group chief pollster Robert Cahaly says a lot of Republicans aren't being reached by pollsters.
"I think there's a certain segment of the Republican electorate that's just not getting polled," Cahaly said on the Wednesday edition of the "Just the News, No Noise" TV show. "There's an important chunk of people that are what I call submerged voters that you cannot get on the phone and you cannot reach them any other way."
According to Cahaly, mainstream polling's numbers have started coming close to the Trafalgar Group's numbers, resulting in some elected officials denying the accuracy of the numbers.
"We watch in every single state, and we see their mainstream polls start getting closer and closer to ours," Cahaly explained. "I mean, when the mainstream polls are getting so close to ours that Nancy Pelosi is disavowing the mainstream polls, you got to start thinking they're actually getting to the truth."
Cahaly also said that he believes that Arizona Republican gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake may have a shot at being president one day because of her connection with the community.
One thing about Kari Lake is she has the ability to reach across the aisle to get supporters," Cahaly stated. "It's not because she has policies that just excite the other side. It's because people have gotten to know her when she was a local broadcaster."
Lake, an avid Trump supporter, had a career in broadcasting for two decades at KSAZ-TV, a television station in Phoenix.
"She was that local broadcaster who never left town and never moved anywhere else," Cahaly continued. "Kari stayed focused on a community, and so they like her. And a lot of people got to know her before they knew her political ideology."
Which is why polls mean nothing. I pay them no attention.
Most of us believe that who I intend to vote for is none of your “effin’” business.
Years ago virtually every household had a landline phone and pollsters were able to create a sample of so many people from one neighborhood and so many from another. Also one could express a party preference without fear of being treated badly for it. In those days polls were fairly accurate.
I only answer phone if I know the “caller ID”
My phone says “Scam Likely”
“Cahaly also said that he believes that Arizona Republican gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake may have a shot at being president one day”
But first she has to beat Katie Hobbs, the Democrat Party and the GOPe mainstream branch of the Republican Party.
I personally think that is one opponent too many for Ms Lake..
Hobbs not only has her party behind her, she also is the sitting Arizona Secretary of State. That position puts her in charge of elections in Arizona. No conflict of interest there. R I G H T!.
Then there is the GOPe. As far as I have seen, Not one of the Arizona GOPe Republicans has endorsed her candidacy. I suspect they want the Democrats to win because they pould rather that than a Trump Republican like Lake.
It’s true. I’ve been polled twice in the past three weeks. I punked both polls.
Yeah, there was a MI poll where Whitmer was 5% ahead of Tudor Dixon 53-47. Trafalgar’s breakdown of those polled was 54D 37R 8I. +17D
So Tudor Dixon’s probably more like 5% ahead and no one knows it because the polling is so off.
The Trafalgar/Daily Wire poll of Pennsylvania was wild too. Fetterman’s up like 5% over Oz but Latinos swing Oz over Fetterman 51-38? Oz gets 18-24s over Fetterman by like 52-41? And all of the sudden north-central Penn becomes very liberal?
The EVs are coming out too and showing HALF the EV votes for Ds compared to 2020 and a 10% higher R share for EVs in every state but NJ. I have a feeling Dems are going to be very surprised and when Shapiro or Abrams asks how much ballots will be needed to make up the difference, a lot of Dem operatives are simply going to shake their heads.
this.
and you can throw in a bunch of independents like me who never talk to pollsters.
They misspelled “poled”.
I had at least 15 “Spam Risk” callers yesterday alone. Didn’t answer a one.
And this is why Dems are in an utter shrieking panic behind the scenes. The early voting numbers they’re seeing aren’t matching the polling.
I get mostly text polls now - almost all hardcore left, for some unknown reason I'm on their list. I always lie to them
Same thing when I receive calls, which are definitely decreasing. Like everything, I assume actual humans are expensive and software/AI are the future. Their projections will only get worse.
It is also possible that they ARE being reached, but are LYING to the pollsters. Just from my personal experience.....
Exactamente.
Proud to be one of these voters.
By Election Day the polls will be right…
Ya think?
No way on gods green earth will I ever answer a political poll again, not after this Saft of 2020. There is one place I will speak my mind and they’re just gonna have to wait for it…
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