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US housing market in ‘free fall’ as builder confidence suffers ‘disastrous’ drop: economist
NY Post ^ | 10/18/2022 | Thomas Barrabi

Posted on 10/18/2022 11:15:58 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27

The US housing market remains in “free fall” after a survey showed a “disastrous” decline in homebuilder confidence, a prominent economist warned on Tuesday.

Homebuilder confidence plunged for the 10th consecutive month in October, falling to its lowest level since 2012, according to the National Association of Home Builders’ monthly survey. The latest downtick came as mortgage rates spiked to levels not seen since the Great Recession.

The survey’s results were “disastrous” and indicated there is “no bottom yet” for the housing market’s current slump, according to Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.

“The plunge in the NAHB index makes it clear that the reported jump in new home sales in September was much more noise than signal,” Shepherdson said in a note to clients. “In short, housing is in free fall. So far, most of the hit is in sales volumes, but prices are now falling too, and they have a long way to go.”

(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: disatrous; economist; home; housing; housingmarket; market; sales; stockmarket
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Pudding diaper strikes again
1 posted on 10/18/2022 11:15:58 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
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To: ChicagoConservative27

I watched The Big Short and Margin Call just yesterday...


2 posted on 10/18/2022 11:17:39 AM PDT by EEGator
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To: EEGator

Margin Call was fantastic, I could watch Jeremy Irons all day in that movie.


3 posted on 10/18/2022 11:18:36 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Thank goodness it will be a soft landing.


4 posted on 10/18/2022 11:20:24 AM PDT by frogjerk (More people have died trusting the government than not trusting the government.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Just an observation from my neighborhood:

all spring and summer, houses for sale were sold within a week or 10 days and usually over list.

There are 3 that now have been on the market for a month plus, with some already dropping their prices.


5 posted on 10/18/2022 11:21:32 AM PDT by llevrok (Pronouns: Me/myself/& I)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Well, now might be a good time to get a major kitchen reno done if you have some money put aside.


6 posted on 10/18/2022 11:21:42 AM PDT by CheshireTheCat ("Forgetting pain is convenient.Remembering it agonizing.But recovering truth is worth the suffering")
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Everything under Dementia Joe regime is in free fall, apart from inflation that is.
Chuckle.


7 posted on 10/18/2022 11:22:21 AM PDT by SmokingJoe ( )
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To: dfwgator

Yeah, he was a solid character in it.

I liked the blonde haired guy as well. I liked when he asked what time it was twice...

He was in a show, I think called The Mentalist.


8 posted on 10/18/2022 11:23:13 AM PDT by EEGator
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To: CheshireTheCat

With the cost of materials up all over the place I’m not so sure.


9 posted on 10/18/2022 11:23:34 AM PDT by frogjerk (More people have died trusting the government than not trusting the government.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27
Homebuilder confidence plunged for the 10th consecutive month in October, falling to its lowest level since 2012

No workers, costs through the inflation roof, and interest rates rising - homebuilders don't have confidence in Biden.

10 posted on 10/18/2022 11:25:03 AM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: llevrok

My daughter and son-in-law sold their beautiful home in N. Idaho in two days for $20k over the asking price. That was last year. I was devastated, but thay were extremely smart. They were 40 miles away from me then, now they are 80 miles away. Big sigh.


11 posted on 10/18/2022 11:25:22 AM PDT by Veto! (FJBsucksrocks)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Lots of illegal aliens are going to be out of jobs americans don’t want to do.


12 posted on 10/18/2022 11:25:29 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Veto Beto, FJB.)
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To: frogjerk
A “transitory soft landing “?

Financial experts can talk all they want, but it all boils down to energy prices, and Brandon has locked in high prices for the foreseeable future.

13 posted on 10/18/2022 11:25:56 AM PDT by Night Hides Not (Remember the Alamo! Remember Goliad! Remember Gonzales! Come and Take It!)
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To: EEGator

The whole cast was great. As slimy as Kevin Spacey is in real life, the guy can act.


14 posted on 10/18/2022 11:26:50 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Everybody has been saying housing prices are out of control and much too high. Everybody should be happy now that prices are dropping.

Sell your house for more, pay more for the next house.
Sell your house for less, pay less for the next house.

Hmmm....


15 posted on 10/18/2022 11:27:16 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (The only way to secure your own future is to create it yourself.)
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To: dfwgator

Definitely. His Usual Suspects performance was awesome.


16 posted on 10/18/2022 11:30:48 AM PDT by EEGator
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To: llevrok

Same observation here. All summer it was 3 days to a week at most and a house was sold. Now its 3 weeks or more.


17 posted on 10/18/2022 11:31:35 AM PDT by Pxzftrnqfrn
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To: EEGator

And Glengarry, Glen Ross.


18 posted on 10/18/2022 11:31:35 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: SaxxonWoods

Renters can finally buy after the “crash”.

It’s hard for a situation to be good for everyone involved.
I’m interested to see how this affects the banks thought bought a ton of real estate.


19 posted on 10/18/2022 11:32:40 AM PDT by EEGator
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To: frogjerk

frogjerk wrote:

“Thank goodness it will be a soft landing.”

what will make it a soft landing?


20 posted on 10/18/2022 11:33:18 AM PDT by WildHighlander57 ((the more you tighten your grip, the more star systems will slip through your fingers.) )
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