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New Poll Shows Pennsylvania Senate Race a Dead Heat
Townhall.com ^ | 23 September A.D. 2022 | Rebecca Downs

Posted on 09/23/2022 1:36:08 PM PDT by lightman

Yet another poll shows that the race for the U.S. Senate seat in Pennsylvania is close, where Democratic John Fetterman and Dr. Mehmet Oz, his Republican opponent, are running to replace retiring Sen. Pat Toomey (R-PA). The race has been increasingly one worth paying attention, and likely will remain so.

This latest poll comes from Muhlenberg College/Morning Call, where Fetterman is in the lead with 48 percent to Oz's 42 percent. The poll was conducted September 13-16, with 420 likely voters. That it had a margin of error of plus or minus 6 percentage points means Fetterman's lead is within that margin.

Even more telling is that the poll found there is a larger discrepancy between Fetterman and Oz's favorable ratings. Fetterman has a better favorable rating, with 44 percent of respondents viewing him favorably, while 41 percent view him unfavorably. A majority of respondents however, at 53 percent, view Oz unfavorably, while 29 percent view him favorably. This goes to show that a candidate's favorable ratings don't always correlate with polling.

When it comes to the gubernatorial race, Democrat Josh Shapiro has a larger lead over Republican Doug Mastriano than Fetterman does over Oz, with 52 percent to Mastriano's 41 percent.

The poll also found that voters are pretty much evenly split when it comes to the congressional ballot, in that 46 percent intend to support the Republican candidate, while 45 percent support the Democratic candidate.

Respondents are evenly split when it comes to 45 percent affiliate as Republicans and 45 percent affiliate as Democrats.

Forecasters still have the race favoring Fetterman as "Lean Democratic," though Inside Elections has it as a "Toss-Up." Decision Desk HQ, which seems to go back and forth on a pretty regular basis, also has the race as "Lean Democratic," and gives Fetterman a 69.7 percent chance.

Polls nevertheless show Fetterman's lead within many margins of error, or close to it. RealClearPolitics has it at +4.2 for Fetterman. Oz's polling has also improved over time. Polling done by the Trafalgar Group, for instance, showed Oz had a polling shift of over 3 percentage points, as Fetterman has gone from leading by 4.9 percentage points in August, to leading by 1.9 percentage points in September's poll.

Perhaps that's why Fetterman is releasing desperately repetitive ads focusing on how Dr. Oz is not from Pennsylvania.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2022election; bloggers; defundthepolice; election2022; fakepolls; fetterman; hopelesspennsylvania; morningcall; mourningcaul; oz; paping
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I like the trend...
1 posted on 09/23/2022 1:36:08 PM PDT by lightman
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To: fatima; Fresh Wind; st.eqed; xsmommy; House Atreides; Nowhere Man; PaulZe; brityank; Physicist; ...

Pennsylvania Ping!

Please ping me with articles of interest.

FReepmail me to be added to the list.

2 posted on 09/23/2022 1:36:59 PM PDT by lightman (I am a binary Trinitarian. Deal with it!)
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To: lightman

A dead heat for two dead candidates. Dead in the head.


3 posted on 09/23/2022 1:37:59 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: lightman

That fetternutter has any standing shows what the union bigs want.


4 posted on 09/23/2022 1:38:12 PM PDT by rktman (Destroy America from within? Check! WTH? Enlisted USN 1967 to end up with this? 😕)
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To: lightman

Wizard of Oz vs. Frankenstein


5 posted on 09/23/2022 1:38:51 PM PDT by Obadiah (Finishing is better than starting.)
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To: lightman

If Fatterman loses he can always run for President and keep stroking out


6 posted on 09/23/2022 1:39:56 PM PDT by NWFree (Somebody has to say it 🤪)
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To: lightman

Fetterman is soft on crime, a bad candidate and is leading. I hope all the Republican voters get out and vote.

Spread as much of the bad news about Fetterman everywhere you can. These people are clueless.


7 posted on 09/23/2022 1:39:58 PM PDT by Beowulf9
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To: nickcarraway

Asking to choose between Oz Vs Fetterman is simply asking you, would you like your crap sandwich with or without corn.

This entire race and both the candidates are an absolute disgrace... insane that either of these douchebags will sit in the Senate.

This race is proof that cream is not the only bovine product that “rises to the top” cow poop floats too.

Just absolute insanity.


8 posted on 09/23/2022 1:41:23 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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In before the:


9 posted on 09/23/2022 1:41:53 PM PDT by fidelis (👈 Under no obligation to respond to rude, ignorant, abusive, bellicose, and obnoxious posts.)
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To: lightman

WTF is the major malfunction up there? Are PA voters really that blind to how nefarious Fetterman will be in a Senate seat?? Is a brain-addled, pro-murderer, racist communist thug who’s never worked a real job in his life really reflective of that state?

Anyone who votes for Fetterman is as brain-dead as he is.


10 posted on 09/23/2022 1:42:09 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Slava Ukraini!)
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To: lightman

Yeah but the nine million Fetterman votes from Philadelphia will be hard to overcome.


11 posted on 09/23/2022 1:43:07 PM PDT by blackdog ("That's an applause line you useful idiots" )
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To: lightman

Fetterman the ventriloquist’s dummy


12 posted on 09/23/2022 1:43:08 PM PDT by butlerweave
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To: lightman
Oz needs a 5+ point lead going into Election Day or he's toast. The RATs are that desperate!
13 posted on 09/23/2022 1:43:22 PM PDT by immadashell (Save Innocent Lives: Ban Gun Free Zones)
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To: lightman
Dem registration outnumber Repubs by about 650,000. The wild card will be those with no party affiliation.

It's all about getting out the vote and voting in person.

14 posted on 09/23/2022 1:43:55 PM PDT by Sacajaweau ( )
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To: Beowulf9
These people are clueless.

I wish that were true.

The fact is, they know perfectly well that Fetternutter is a mess. They don't care.

15 posted on 09/23/2022 1:45:17 PM PDT by Obadiah (Finishing is better than starting.)
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To: Beowulf9

Just watch the economy continue to tank for a month and things should short themselves out. Hopefully


16 posted on 09/23/2022 1:46:27 PM PDT by wiseprince (Me,)
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To: wiseprince

I hope you are right about their getting a clue but I know you will be right about the economy. It looks like dismal days ahead.


17 posted on 09/23/2022 1:47:37 PM PDT by Beowulf9
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To: lightman

We need the win.


18 posted on 09/23/2022 1:47:41 PM PDT by rrrod (6a)
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To: ScottinVA
Anyone who votes for Fetterman is as brain-dead as he is.

It's Pennsylvania.

19 posted on 09/23/2022 1:49:24 PM PDT by Common Sense 101
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To: lightman
Oz spent a lot of years in Pa...His wife is from there...had his kids there...went to college there.

Now lets talk about the Senator from New York...cough cough...Hillary Clinton.

20 posted on 09/23/2022 1:49:29 PM PDT by Sacajaweau ( )
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