Posted on 09/23/2022 2:32:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse
The late-blooming 2022 Atlantic Tropical Storm season is making up for lost time. A tropical system has developed in the Central Caribbean Sea. This storm system is forecast to threaten continental U.S. interests next week. While the tropical wave passed south of a key geographic area known as Hebert's Box #1, it will very likely pass through Hebert's Box #2. These boxes are useful as predictors of hurricanes that will strike South Florida. For more information about Hebert's Boxes, see Hebert Box. See graphic below which illustrated the Hebert's Boxes.
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Hebert's Boxes
Hopefully.
The forecast for days was it would hit further north. By the time the forecast shifted the weather was already deteriorating with rain and tornado watches widespread. We decided it was the best of bad choices to have my elderly relatives stay in their place in Naples (not is a storm surge zone) rather than risk getting on the road. Turned out to be the right choice but I’m sure others were facing similar decisions
Just b4 the video cut off, I was watching the Naples pier, and the water was almost over the deck. Concrete pier decks almost always get displaced when the water/waves get high. After Opal in 1995, the Pensacola Beach pier was rebuilt using wooden planking that was designed to give way for waves, and leave the structure and pilings intact. It survived Ivan and Dennis without major damage.
A tough call, indeed.
Glad it turned out well for your elders.
This site says Lake P. causeway lost 17 spans and was open 2.5 weeks after Katrina.
https://www.worldatlas.com/places/lake-pontchartrain-causeway.html
This link says the US 90 Bay St. Louis bridge had to be replaced, which took 21 months. Pictures indicate it lost a lot more than 17 spans, and another site indicates there were structural problems with the piers.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/St._Louis_Bay_Bridge
This aerial view of Ft Meyers looks like tornado damage. So sad. I hope all of the occupants had evacuated.
Aerials of Fort Myers, Cape Coral, Bonita Springs, Sanibel after Hurricane Ian
https://rumble.com/v1m1jbs-aerials-of-fort-myers-cape-coral-bonita-springs-sanibel-after-hurricane-ian.html
That’s exactly what I was thinking, people south of Sarasota were probably thinking it was going further north. At one point it was thought to make landfall at Cedar Key or even further north than that. When Ian stalled and kept jogging East, there wasn’t enough time for those in Naples, Sanibel, Ft. Myers areas to evacuate. Maybe some did, but a lot didn’t.
My family in St. Pete was finally able to evacuate Tuesday afternoon after prepping their office first, then their home for the storm. Ex BIL in Tampa near Bayshore was in mandatory evacuation zone, and didn’t leave until Wednesday morning. (That’s a whole story on its own.)
The point is, that those who thought they were the targets Sunday night and Monday morning didn’t find out until Tuesday evening or later that the storm was maybe going further South, and those who thought they might be out of harm’s way ended up being pretty directly in the path of Ian. It would’ve been dangerous to get on the road on Wednesday for most of them.
These pictures show how the entire road broke up and washed away. Whoa! I hope no one was anywhere near it when it went.
What a surprise.
Yet the blue states are the first to come whining with hands held out for handouts from others.
Praise God! Thank you for checking in.
Did you really expect anything different?
Update: Internet working! Cell phone service is spotty, while improving! Now, the yard salad and fence repair are at the top of the list.
First time I've been able to follow the local news in 36 hours! My fav Sarasota station is having broadcast issues. Back to Tampa coverage.
Glad your family is safe. Hurricanes are full of educated guesses, and a lot of preparation.
How are you doing? Just saw damage in Wauchula. Tremendous flooding.
Ian is a hurricane again...persistent bugger.
Also a lot of corporations have their operations in the Tampa Bay area that would have been impacted.
Sarasota airport sustained some damage. Hopes to reopen either Friday or Saturday.
That's a completely new, higher bridge.
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