Why Democrats’ midterm optimism could be misguided

The Hill ^ | 09/19/2022 | DOUGLAS E. SCHOEN

[ChicagoConservative27]

As Democrats voice growing confidence about their midterm election prospects, two trends suggest that the party’s newfound sense of optimism may be misguided.

Taken together, unrelenting inflation and the potential for a 2020-like polling error that overestimates Democrats’ strength could indicate that the Democratic Party is in a more fragile position than most in the media are currently acknowledging or appreciating. Earlier in the year, a red-wave midterm election — on par with 1994, when Republicans gained 54 U.S. House seats and flipped control of both houses of Congress — seemed almost inevitable.

[ChicagoConservative27]

Rats are running on abortion abortion abortion. I even saw a guy in a picture on twitter wearing a t-shirt that said, ROE ROE ROE YOU BOAT TO VOTE. Demented.

[fwdude]

There’s Democrat optimism?

[rovenstinez]

They are NOW preparing a CHORAL arrangement of a Musical Theme which will be titled..FRAUD, FRAUD, ELECTION FRAUD.

[freedumb2003]

I think murdering children is not the golden calf dems think it is.

[brownsfan]

“There’s Democrat optimism?”

It lends plausibility to the upcoming steal.

[Skwor]

All a false narrative to either justify a successfully stolen election or to cry fraud if the lose. Literally nothing more than the dems playing both sides of the field like they always do.

[ProudDeplorable]

Democrats have a built-in 40% due to fraud alone.

[FlingWingFlyer]

The “Coyotes” are selling T-shirts to their customers that say, “Row, don’t wade”

[eeriegeno]

Don’t poo poo the democrat’s optimism! These people are corrupt beyond belief. They have many fingers in the voting from printing of the ballots, registering dead people, sending the ballots out, hiring mules, collecting ballots, COUNTING BALLOTS, owning the courts who will say that everything was honest. For goodness sake they learned in 2020 how to stage a fraudulent election! What makes you think that they are defeated now?

[usconservative]

I think murdering children is not the golden calf dems think it is.

It's apparently the issue some RINO's on here believe will kill Republican chances to win the House and perhaps the Senate in November.

I don't think they're right, especially after the Fed increases the interest rate 100 basis points this week, crashes the stock market, kills jobs and sends our economy into the shitter all in the name of squashing inflation.

The Fed acted too late, too much free money was printed, we're north of $30,000,000,000,000 in debt and somehow, crashing the economy seems to be the right answer.

Now THAT's the issue to run on: it's the ECONOMY STUPID that Republicans need to focus on, and here they are, too stupid to even do that.

Deserve to lose, they do. Crash the entire country hard. Kill the Democrat party forever in 2024 and start rebuilding this country the RIGHT way with Legit President Trump.

[Vaduz]

Indeed bookie taking bets.

[atc23]

If there is a republican take over of the House and Senate, any democrat cries of impropriety will be regarded as the criminal bleating of the insurrectionist!

Arrest them, imprison them!

[Revel]

Never trust this publication. Take nothing from them at face value. Manipulation is the game.

[Alas Babylon!]

I don’t think anyone is “Poo poo’ing the democrat’s optimism”. It is democrats poo pooing ours.

And by democrats, I actually mean the DNCMedia. Anyone can excuse an actual opponent’s brags, those are natural in a campaign from both sides.

It’s the DNCMedia who are saying the dems are fine and will exceed expectations.

That a ton of poo poo.

[dsrtsage]

I used to think everything demonrats did was misguided. But, I have come be disabused of such quaint notions. I now realize that every action taken by demonrats is executed in the name if malevolence.

[bobbo666]

If any semblance of ballot harvesting or mailin voting is allowed, there can be neither a fair nor a legal election.

[jmaroneps37]

Maybe this will shed some light on why the Democrat/communists “optimism” is misguided.

As per a Rasmussen report posted on Sept 13.

Here is a list of ten issues Likely voters care about.

The rodents are either on the wrong side of each or fooling

… THEMSELVES into thinking THEY line up with Likely voters.

Notice the choice redundancies concerning crooked elections in this issue menu.

Rasmussen asked about, “election integrity” and “Election cheating.”

To test the strength of the basic issue of crooked elections Rasmussen asked

…essentially the same question and got essentially the same answers.

Both, “election integrity and election cheating” high levels of concern

…80% concerned and 59% very concerned for the former

…and 75% concerned and 60% very concerned for the latter.

It is not good news for the rodents and perhaps it was what caused Chuck

… Schumer to remark that the rodents have only a 40% chance of holding the House.

The list is as follows.

1 Energy Policy 87% Concerned, 54% very concerned.

2 Violent Crime 86% Concerned, 61% very concerned.

3 High Gas Prices 86% Concerned, 57% very concerned.

4 Inflation 85% Concerned, 57% very concerned.

5 The Economy 84% Concerned, 55% very concerned.

6 Election Integrity 80% Concerned, 59% very concerned.

7 School Issues 76% Concerned, 58% very concerned.

8 Election Cheating 75% Concerned, 60% very concerned.

9 Illegal immigration 73% Concerned, 45% very concerned.

10 Abortion Rights 70% Concerned, 50% very concerned.

Note: In a recent Ipsos survey which was very clumsily carried out and

… presented, just 6% of responses were concerned about abortion rights.

It also noted that women are not particularly enthusiastic about voting in this election.

Nevertheless, with the possible exception of abortion, the rodents

…are on the wrong of each of the first nine issues Rasmussen has presented.

What’s more is that, these are deeply important

… issues that Likely voters have strong feelings about.

Rasmussen also asked Likely Voters for their feelings

…toward the issues the media (the propaganda wing of the

…Democrat/communist party) see as the top issues of this election cycle.

1 Climate Change 62% Concerned, 41% very concerned.

2 Ukraine War 60% important, 20 % very important.

3 Capitol Riot 57% important, 41% very important.

4 COVID-19 57% Concerned, 22% very concerned.

5 LGBTA Issues 42% Support, 23% strongly support.

Note that none of these “issues” shows a voter concern above 62% and there

…are none with particularly high voter concern, even THEIR all so

…important fake insurrection barely breaks 40% as a “very important” issue.

About the “issues” of the Capitol Riot,
I find it curious

…that it and Covid-19 both hit 57% as concerns.

I will say flatly that these are made up.

Not even the breathlessly liberal local TV stations here in South Florida are

… still pumping out stories about either of these “important” issues.

If indeed respondents were asked about these “issues” it was either a

…month or more ago or WE are being given Wilder/Bradley responses.

Wilder/Bradley questions are ones that respondents simply will not answer truthfully.

This refers to surveys done when Doug Wilder and Tom Bradley who

… were both Black Democrat/communists were running

… for election in Virginia and California respectively.

Pre-election polls saw both men winning on THEIR first election
to the governor’s seat.

Nevertheless, both lost.

The widely accepted explanation for the disparity between pre-election

…results and actual election day results has always been

… that respondents were not comfortable reporting

…they would not vote for a Black man for governor.

[FLT-bird]

I’d be quite happy to bet that Democrats lose the Senate races in:

Pennsylvania
Ohio
Wisconsin
Nevada
North Carolina
Arizona
Georgia

right now. Hell, I’d take that as a parlay bet if the US allowed political betting.