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Poll Update Proves There's Been a Shift in Pennsylvania's Senate Race
Townhall ^ | Posted: Sep 16, 2022 3:15 PM | Rebecca Downs|

Posted on 09/16/2022 1:01:26 PM PDT by conservative98

Of all the key Senate races to watch, and there certainly are some battleground, the Pennsylvania race to replace retiring Sen. Pat Toomey (R-PA) may truly be the one to watch. For how likely it supposedly has been that Democrat John Fetterman would win, it turns out a shift in polls shows the momentum may not be on his side, but rather that of his Republican opponent, Dr. Mehmet Oz.

It's already been nearly a month since the Trafalgar Group poll was released showing Fetterman's lead against Dr. Oz at just under 5 percentage points. His lead has now shrunk to being less than 2 percentage points.

This most recent poll has Fetterman leading with 47.7 percent, compared to Dr. Oz's 45.9 percent. There's also far fewer undecided respondents this time. While 4.6 percent said they were unsure, that number is now at 2.4 percent. The amount of respondents who say they would vote for another candidate has tripled from 0.5 percent to 1.7 percent this month. As Interactive Polls pointed out in highlighting the polls, Oz has had a 3.1 percentage point shift.

The poll was conducted September 13-15, with 1,078 likely general election voters. The margin of error is plus or minus 2.9 percent, which means Fetterman's lead is tellingly within that margin of error.

(Excerpt) Read more at townhall.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2022election; defundthepolice; droz; election2022; fetterman; pennsylvania; polls; trafalgar; trump
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1 posted on 09/16/2022 1:01:26 PM PDT by conservative98
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To: conservative98

New independent @trafalgar_group
#PASen #Poll (9/13-15) shows neck&neck race w/small #Fetterman lead #papol:

47.7% @JohnFetterman
45.9% @DrOz
3.5% @Erik4Senate
0.5% Other
2.4% Und

See Report: https://t.co/7fkeZ6WDcu pic.twitter.com/OzLPjxw6w8— Robert C. Cahaly (@RobertCahaly) September 16, 2022


2 posted on 09/16/2022 1:02:01 PM PDT by conservative98
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To: conservative98

Eric Latrine is going to have a hissy fit.


3 posted on 09/16/2022 1:02:50 PM PDT by Vigilanteman (The politicized state destroys aspects of civil society, human kindness and private charity.)
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To: conservative98

In cheating PA that’s really a 6 point lead for the Rat though.


4 posted on 09/16/2022 1:04:03 PM PDT by for-q-clinton (Cancel Culture IS fascism...Let's start calling it that!)
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To: conservative98

Yeah...now just add +10% to the poll for the Dem when accounting for Philadelphia’s inevitable 250% of registered voters turnout


5 posted on 09/16/2022 1:05:23 PM PDT by suasponte137
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To: conservative98

Heading in the right direction.


6 posted on 09/16/2022 1:06:23 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA ( Scratch a leftist and you'll find a fascist )
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To: conservative98

Hate to be the party pooper, but unless Oz is ahead by, at least, 15% it doesn’t matter.

Remember, Texas, when attempting its lawsuit, showed that there was a 1 in 1,000,000,000,000,000 that Biden could win Pennsylvania.

Until all the usual methods of fraud are dealt with and some government officials start doing some time, not much is going to change. Sorry.


7 posted on 09/16/2022 1:11:07 PM PDT by qaz123
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To: conservative98

still waiting to take my first poll.


8 posted on 09/16/2022 1:11:17 PM PDT by JonPreston
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To: conservative98

How heavy did Taffy oversample Dems? To imagine a Dem like this clown is going to flip a state is doubtful.


9 posted on 09/16/2022 1:12:18 PM PDT by bray (The Vax is fake and deadly)
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To: ConservativeInPA

That lump on Festerman’s neck is growing faster than his lead is shrinking. The poor bugger doesn’t have a lot of time left. But the dims will figger if they can just get him elected they will turn the spot over to his dimbulb wife. Keep the pressure on to boost the OZ.


10 posted on 09/16/2022 1:14:32 PM PDT by OldWarBaby
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To: conservative98

Pennsylvania moving in a Republican direction

Wisconsin moving in a Republican direction

Nevada moving in a Republican direction

Alaska moving toward Tshibaka

Colorado closing

Washington closing

Arizona looking more and more likely for Masters

North Carolina moving out of reach of the Democrat

Ohio not a chance for the Democrat


11 posted on 09/16/2022 1:17:02 PM PDT by cotton1706
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To: conservative98

Oz isn’t gaining momentum as much as the folks who were butthurt about the primary (myself being one of them, Oz wasn’t in my top three primary candidates) coming to terms with what their choice actually is in November.

The momentum against Fetterman is building though as people learn about the spoiled Marxist that he is. If people actually start learning that his adopted home in Braddock was to set up a leftist base camp and turn a burnt out industrial town into a gentrified artist colony that would force out the 80% black community that lives there in favor of white hippie leftists, he would become radioactive overnight.


12 posted on 09/16/2022 1:17:02 PM PDT by jz638
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To: cotton1706

From your fingers to God’s laptop.


13 posted on 09/16/2022 1:22:40 PM PDT by stevio
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To: suasponte137

Philadelphia turnout was 66% in 2020 (and Trump did better than in 2016 there).
It was 59% in 2016.


14 posted on 09/16/2022 1:22:47 PM PDT by TexasGurl24
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To: ConservativeInPA
Heading in the right direction.

For decades, the PA republican party has failed to address voter fraud in Philly and other democrat strongholds. I believe that Fetterman and Shapiro will receive a huge number of illegal votes. Oz and Mastriano will need to have an overwhelming turnout to overcome the fraud.

Shame on the PA republican legislature who gave PA unrestricted mail-in voting by them passing PA-Act-77. They've also allowed Dominion and similar systems that are hackable and contain fraudulent vote counting algorithms.

PA republican "leadership" is an oxymoron.

15 posted on 09/16/2022 1:25:15 PM PDT by JesusIsLord
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To: cotton1706

Ohio not a chance for the Democrat

~~~

Don’t be so sure.
I think Vance will win, probably, hopefully... ehhhhhh... but I haven’t heard peep out of him since the primary.

Tim Ryan has name recognition. As democrats go, he isn’t sharrod brown, but if he evokes the same moderate, working-class vibe, then he might be on to something.

I have a bad feeling about Oz and Vance. Not necessarily that they will lose, but that they will succumb to the swamp and equivocate on issues to keep from drowning in it. It’s not that there aren’t convictions, but I’m not sensing the hard fight out of these guys. Hope I’m wrong.


16 posted on 09/16/2022 1:28:10 PM PDT by z3n (Kakistocracy)
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To: cotton1706

Don’t forget GA.


17 posted on 09/16/2022 1:29:29 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: conservative98
Losertarian Erik Gerhardt 3.5%

What is wrong with these people?

18 posted on 09/16/2022 1:32:11 PM PDT by Governor Dinwiddie (LORD, grant thy people grace to withstand the temptations of the world, the flesh, and the devil.)
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To: cotton1706
Don't you know on these types of threads you're only supposed to say the R has no chance because of vote fraud?

How dare you be optimistic and spreading good news!!
19 posted on 09/16/2022 1:34:46 PM PDT by Dan in Wichita
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To: conservative98

Pennsylvania voters who are “undecided”.
Duhhhhh. I can’t make up my mind. Totalitarian destruction of all my freedoms and rights or voting GOP. So hard to decide.

What happened to the traditional voting by looks? JFK over Nixon. Bush over Dukakis. Newsom over recall.

Oz should win this thing.


20 posted on 09/16/2022 1:38:35 PM PDT by frank ballenger (You have summoned up a thundercloud. You're gonna hear from me. Anthem by Leonard Cohen)
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