Posted on 09/15/2022 1:12:09 PM PDT by cotton1706
Trump-endorsed candidate Kelly Tshibaka is tied with 21-year incumbent Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) for U.S. Senate with about 50 days until the election, national pollster Cygnal revealed Monday.
The poll takes into account Alaska’s ranked-choice voting. Tshibaka leads Murkowski on the first ballot by 7.9 points and on the second by 9.3 points. On the third ballot, the poll shows Murkowski leading Tshibaka by 0.2 percent, a statistical tie.
Democrat Pat Chesbro received 13.1 percent on the first ballot and 13.9 percent on the second ballot before becoming ineligible for the third ballot.
The poll suggests that Murkowski’s best chance of defeating Tshibaka is Democrat voters, who could vote for Murkowski as the ranked-choice system advances. The way Alaska’s ranked-choice general election and open primary system, instituted in 2020, works is as follows:
All candidates from all parties appear on the ballot together in the August primary. The top four vote-getters regardless of party then advance to the general election, and their voters are given the opportunity to pick their top choice, as well as their second and third choices. If no candidate in the first round of voters’ first choices gets 50 percent of the vote, the last place candidate’s second choices are distributed across the remaining three candidates to see if someone can get across the majority threshold. If that fails again to produce a majority vote-getter, then a third round is conducted where the third place candidate’s votes are redistributed according to second choices between the remaining two candidates.
In a positive sign for Tshibaka, Edgar Blatchford, a former U.S. Senate Democrat candidate, endorsed Tshibaka last week after bowing out of the race. The endorsement could mitigate some of the Democrat support Murkowski needs to defeat the challenger.
(Excerpt) Read more at nbcnews.com ...
But in this poll, Tshibaka is in first place with 43%, followed by Murkowski with 35%, and the Democrat with 14%.
Also, according to the below story, the fourth place person, Buzz Kelley, was included in these figures, and has since dropped out and endorsed Tshibaka.
So things are looking good for Tshibaka at this point with this crazy election system.
Sorry, incorrect link to the Breitbart story.
fingers crossed
I recent sent her money.
Go Kelly!
So is she the ‘de-facto’ democrat in the race, with this new ranked choice voting system?
God, it would be great to knock off Murkowski. She doesn’t belong anywhere near any power.
Come on AK, dump her lame gopE butt. Hell, do a Cheney on her.
Why can’t they get rid of the ranked-choice stuff going on? It seems like just about every voter would disapprove if s/he understood it.
sweet
“Why can’t they get rid of the ranked-choice stuff going on? It seems like just about every voter would disapprove if s/he understood it.”
They just made it law in 2020. These are the first elections under it.
We hope it’s true, but AK is overwhelmed with Democrats and RINOs.
Sarah and Kelly are doing everything they can to get the word out to NOT comply to just vote ONE person lime it should be!! If they can get enough people to do this Merkowski will LOSE!!!
That pic always reminds me of Col. Potter's painting of Winchester on MASH...
In AK, beauty may not be important unless it is the environment there.
She does have quite a mouth on her, and not in a good way.
“.... to just vote ONE person lime it should be!!”
Limes are good.
All joking aside, Murkowski seems hell-bent to destroy the GOP or something.
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