Posted on 06/27/2022 5:52:54 AM PDT by Eleutheria5
On June 10, both live and virtual at Burr & Forman's Birmingham Office, author Peter Zeihan discussed world developments including Ukraine, supply chain issues, the impact on mid-term elections, and more. Peter's amazing global insights and analysis always leave you wanting more and this presentation was no different.
(Excerpt) Read more at youtube.com ...
I bought his books and used to follow him. Turned into a woketard unfortunately.
In my view, the man runs both hot and cold
I really could give a rats ass about any other country but ours right now. If we fix ours the world will be fine. If not ,the world is doomed. How about that for Futurist speak, Peter?
He’s really good on some points that others don’t address: demographic trends and their impact, the world energy market, the food and fertilizer supply and the effect of pricey cargo transportation. But he extrapolates too far - I don’t think, as he does, that Putin intends to invade all his neighbors, that China would be soundly defeated in a Taiwan invasion bc they don’t have long-range sea capacity, that NATO is wonderful and its not anything other a bunch of free riders on American money and blood. But, overall, he’s better than the skunks who populate Biden’s foreign and defense policies.
I thought he was CIA?
Anything in there about flying cars?
> Turned into a woketard unfortunately.
Yeah, most of what he says sounds good, but then he’ll say something like “Biden has a coherent foreign policy.”
He’s ok on somethings. Demographics analysis of different world players are accurate but he’s been clouded by wokeism lately and he’s gone downhill since. Hopefully he recovers.
This time I didn’t notice any woke-ism, but he’s a bit over-optimistic about China and Xi Jinpig being finished.
To be fair, you won’t get it from his books or presentations. But it’s all over the updates he posts to his website.
You can rely too much on demographics as too much of a major factor.
Such reliance once tried to say that both India and China were doomed to constant failure to feed their populations.
Many changes intervened - in economic, agricultural and technical matters - to alter that doomsday prediction.
Similar reliance on demographics today is trying to say Japan is doomed by its aging population and negative population growth. I have predicted that given the state of human knowledge today that Japan, using technology among other things, can prove an economy with a declining population is no longer doomed, with the right sort of adaptations, which I am betting Japan will find workable.
For social, political and other reasons Russia (which also has negative population growth), will not make a transition similar to Japan, without major social and political change. To me that will not be primarily due to the demographic factor but to the inability to chAnge and adapt.
He is not a futurist at least in this video. He is focused on the right here and now and attempting to break the complex down into simple chunks. He does a mediocre to fair job of it. People like him are always worth listening to and considering their points.
His headline about China being doomed is ridiculous. I believe China will be around for a while.
Thanks for posting.
“People like him are always worth listening to and considering their points.”
That’s why I post a lot of these people. They might be wrong. They might be lying. But there’s food for thought.
“His headline about China being doomed is ridiculous. I believe China will be around for a while.”
If the past few millenia is any indication. Xi Jinpig might be a head shorter soon enough. but the Han people are keepers.
>>But, overall, he’s better than the skunks who populate Biden’s foreign and defense policies.
That’s a really, really low bar.
But then he'll say the craziest thing such as how Biden is even more of an America-first nationalist than Trump. And then I have to question everything else he says.
One thing he got exactly right: In 2014, he predicted that Russia would invade Ukraine no later than 2022 and correctly gave the reasons why.
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