thank god.
Posted on 05/25/2022 9:19:18 AM PDT by Kaslin
PARIS -- It was inevitable that sooner or later, leading European countries would start distancing themselves from the aggressive rhetoric that has been the hallmark of the European Union leadership's approach to the armed conflict in Ukraine.
Last week in Turin, Italian Prime Minister Luigi Di Maio presented a four-point peace plan to United Nations Secretary General Antonio Guterres, who made contact with Moscow and Kyiv in visits a few weeks ago. Di Maio also chaired the group of Europe's foreign ministers at a meeting in Turin, including those of other EU countries which have recently shown interest in de-escalating the months-old debacle.
Recently, French President Emmanuel Macron has been criticized by Baltic state leaders for even picking up the phone to engage with Russian President Vladimir Putin, while German Chancellor Olaf Scholz was pressured to contribute to the irresponsible flood of weapons into Ukraine and slammed for not being sufficiently enthusiastic about doing so.
So now Di Maio has laid out a concrete exit strategy that may already enjoy quiet backing from some EU member states. First, there would be a ceasefire and demilitarization of the battle zones. Then enshrinement of neutrality for Ukraine with security guarantees. Thirdly, a bilateral agreement between Russia and Ukraine regarding the status of contested territories. And finally, an end to anti-Russian sanctions and a multilateral peace agreement between the EU and Russia that would no doubt have to take into account arms control in the wake of flooding the zone with weapons, which may have already reportedly made their way onto the black market.
It's hardly surprising that some individual member states within the EU are seeking an off-ramp, even as the bloc's unelected supranational leadership in Brussels ramps up the irresponsible rhetoric.
The most aggressive behavior in the western world has been exhibited by those with the least to lose from prolonging the conflict -- politically, economically, or otherwise.
Washington's recently approved $40 billion package for Ukraine that includes military, economic, and humanitarian support that will end up who knows where amid corruption and chaos suggests a long-term investment in promoting instability. But the various rounds of U.S. sanctions against Russia is telling as to how confident Washington feels that its economy is mostly sheltered from any related fallout. Clearly, the roughly 8 percent of overall U.S. supply of petroleum and oil products previously imported from Russia can be replaced by other sources from Mexico, Canada, South America, or West Africa, even though in some cases the increased shipping distance could bump up the cost, as the Wall Street Journal explained last month.
So when President Joe Biden sanctions Russian industry -- energy or otherwise -- there's perhaps even a net future benefit for the U.S. through the urgency to establish greater North American energy independence (anti-pipeline anti-environmentalists be damned).
It's slightly more puzzling why the UK is taking a hari-kari approach to the conflict by arguably going even further than the U.S. In prohibiting even British citizens and companies from offering business consulting services - including accounting and public relations - to Russian business entities, the UK isn't really harming the Russian economy so much as its own by causing Russia to pivot to service providers from Europe, America or elsewhere.
Anti-Russian fervor in the UK is so misguided that even the Association of Tennis Professionals (ATP) and the Women's Tennis Association (WTA) decided on May 20 to strip the annual Wimbledon tennis tournament of its ranking points for participants -- effectively reducing the competition to an exhibition match -- as a result of the tournament's decision to ban Russian and Belarusian players. You'd think that they were directly lobbing missiles into Ukraine with backhand serves.
Britain's scorched earth approach to Russia suggests that it is either ideologically drunk to the point of economic recklessness, or else it figures that it can weather the storm. Britain's National Institute of Economic and Social Research suggests that "the impact on the UK could be to reduce GDP growth by around 0.8 per cent to 4.0 per cent in 2022 and to 0.5 per cent in 2023." Meanwhile, British gas comes from the North Sea and Norway, with just 3 percent imported from Russia (compared to 35 percent for the EU).
But it's the EU that risks being hit hardest and is staring down the barrel of potential recession. Which would explain why despite EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen's vow to eventually ditch Russian energy, 20 EU companies supplying member states have opened accounts in rubles in order to continue buying gas from Russia's Gazprom in light of the EU's own anti-Russian sanctions.
Some EU member states know that their citizens are fed up with the chaos and are now taking the first tentative concrete steps toward peace. What remains to be seen is how much courage they have against ideological pressure from the U.S., UK, and EU leadership.
It’s all about the ENERGY and we sure aint talking about the asinine Green ones!!!
Imagine if it was the beginning of winter
In 3 months, they’ll be needing fuel.
They can always build more windmills and install more photocells.
thank god.
If this happens, the million-man Ukrainian army would be prevented from marching on Moscow...
“ In 3 months, they’ll be needing fuel.”
Well, then Europe will have to choose between their population having heat or whether american politicians get to keep their worlds largest money laundromat and prodigal son employment agency
The forecast for the UK, from Channel 4 News, yesterday:
“Energy bills are set to go up by more than £800 this autumn - as the regulator warned that the price cap is likely to hit £2,800 in October.
Ofgem’s boss described soaring gas prices as a “once in a generation event” - made even more acute by Russia’s war in Ukraine. Campaigners say - millions more people will be thrust into what is known as “fuel stress” - forced to choose between paying for food or heating their homes.”
The EU president Von der Leyen, in a WION video from yesterday, complained of Russia not feeding the EU and other regions of the world though the EU placed sanctions on Russia.
And yet Turkey has declared that Ukrainian mines have been washing up on their shores.
There are reports starting to appear of impending general collapse of Ukrainian forces at points along the eastern front.
If they break at any particular point, the Russians will pour through and it will be over for the eastern portion of the Ukraine.
One prime indicator has been reports of the removal of the Zelensky family from Ukraine.
:)
Now why would they march?
Hell according to the “experts” on here, they can simply hop in their cars and drive right on through to Moscow.
The Rooskies can not stop them.
Old video of Germany laughing at Trump’s claim they’re being ‘totally controlled by Russia’ resurfaces
You want to have a windmill to run a little community with 200 people...2 stores, a bar and a church...fine. But to run a city of 20,000 people. How stupid are they??
This says absolutely nothing.
"Russia and Ukraine shall agree that there shall be an agreement on the territories."
Okay. But what will the terms of this agreement?
Agree...the family leaving was a clue.
Both those areas had special status since they became independent.
The world has operated on "to the victor goes the spoils" since the beginning of time.
Ukraine has nothing to gain by pursuing their offense...which is really defense.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.