Posted on 03/28/2022 11:33:02 AM PDT by cotton1706
Former Alaska Department of Administration commissioner Kelly Tshibaka leads in Alaska’s U.S. Senate race, with incumbent Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) trailing, a new poll conducted for Tshibaka’s campaign and provided exclusively to Breitbart News shows.
The poll, conducted the way Alaska’s new ranked-choice voting system will hold its election, finds that Tshibaka would emerge as the only candidate with a shot to get over 50 percent in a four-way field in November.
Conducted from March 14 to March 16, the survey of 500 likely voters in Alaska’s November general election found Tshibaka in the first round with a huge lead of more than double digits over Murkowski. On that first choice on the ballot, Tshibaka comes in with 45.4 percent and Murkowski at just 28.7 percent—with a generic Democrat close behind Murkowski and a libertarian candidate in fourth place. The poll’s margin of error is 4.21 percent.
The way Alaska will elect its U.S. Senator under the new ranked-choice system is that four candidates will be on the ballot in November. That will come after a jungle primary in August where every candidate, regardless of party who files, faces off and the top four vote-getters advance to the November election. In the November election, voters will list their choices and rank them. To win, a candidate needs to get over 50 percent plus one vote to seal the deal; until that happens, there will be a second and possibly a third round of vote counting. The way it works is the first round sees voters’ first choice counted, and then when that concludes, the last-place candidate is eliminated, and their votes are distributed to the other candidates in a second-round based off that candidate’s voters’ second choice—and so on until a candidate gets to 50 percent plus one vote.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Yeh....The Dems might just vote for Murkowski if they’re certain they can’t flip the seat.
Keep charging ahead AK!
Murky is like the monster in a horror movie. Never assume she’s done and gone until after the January swearing-in ceremony.
Like a great thoroughbred, Donald J Trump is heading into the Midterm stretch!
Yeah.. she lost the GOP nomination last time around but still won in the general election...
Go Kelly.
I understand your point but I have to wonder why the Dems would not try to field their own candidate to grab that seat instead of Murkowski. Surely their own party candidate would vote even more relaibly liberal than Murkowski?
Or is there no real chance of a Democrat winning a statewide senate seat there instead of her? No promising Democrat candidates to even try hard?
Murkowski will launch a Write-In campaign again like last time she lost in the primary
Good riddance to Murkyloyalties.
Ranked Choice Voting will rescue Murky.
This is a pleasant surprise. Good news is always appreciated.
Murkowski was already primaries out once.
She ran, then, as an independent, because she and the GOPe couldn’t abide by the Republican voters wishes.
She won, beat Joe Miller.
From what we know now I am sure it was vote fraud.
Rinos must go.
They are not better than Democrats. They are worse.
Kelly Tshibaka was on Steve Bannon’s War Room this morning talking about this, evidently some political consultants in Alaska got behind a ballot initiative that eventually got passed that eliminated party primaries in Alaska, now the top 4 finishers in the “primary” regardless of party move on to the general election.
Kelly Tshibaka was on Steve Bannon’s War Room this morning talking about this, evidently some political consultants in Alaska got behind a ballot initiative that eventually got passed that eliminated party primaries in Alaska, now the top 4 finishers in the “primary” regardless of party move on to the general election.
[She won, beat Joe Miller.]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joe_Miller_(Alaska_politician)#Political_positions
He’s also pretty right wing on Social Security, which even Trump has avoided mentioning.
“Or is there no real chance of a Democrat winning a statewide senate seat there instead of her? No promising Democrat candidates to even try hard?”
The last Democrat to win a senate seat in Alaska was Mark Begich in 2008, and that was because the incumbent was indicted like four days earlier. And it was a Democrat year, even in Republican Alaska (and with an Alaskan on the ticket). So all the winds were blowing the right way for the Democrat that year.
I don’t see that happening again. Their best hope, especially with the new voting system, is for Murkowski to win. She votes for Democrat nominees and agenda items and against Republcan nominees and agenda items.
Thanks.
So a favored candidate can be on the ballot even if they can only pull the fourth most votes.
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