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RUSSIA-UKRAINE WARNING UPDATE: NEW INDICATORS OF IMMINENT RUSSIAN ATTACK (Tomorrow! oh noes!)
Institute for the Study of War ^ | 2-18-22 | By Fredrick W. Kagan and Mason Clark

Posted on 02/18/2022 7:51:56 PM PST by dynachrome

Russia may launch an attack on Ukraine on Saturday, February 19, 2022. The attack would likely begin with an air and missile campaign targeting much of Ukraine to decapitate the government and degrade the Ukrainian military as well as the ability of Ukrainian citizens to prepare to resist a subsequent Russian invasion. US and allied governments have been warning of such an attack for some days, pointing to the size of the Russian forces concentrated on Ukraine’s borders.[1] Western officials have additionally said that Russian troops have moved to jumping-off positions for an invasion over the past 24 hours. The following additional conditions and indicators point to February 19 as an optimal date for a Russian attack:

1. Ukrainian President Volodymir Zelensky will be in Germany at the Munich Security Conference. He is scheduled to speak at 1530 Munich time.[2]

His absence from Ukraine will degrade his ability to coordinate a response to any Russian attack and create more propitious circumstances for a Russian-sponsored attempt at a coup d’etat. Russian forces could close Ukrainian airspace to prevent Zelensky from returning to Kyiv.

(Excerpt) Read more at understandingwar.org ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; Russia
KEYWORDS: davidpetraeus; ddt; frederickkagan; fredrickkagan; inland; invasion; joelieberman; kacklingkamala; lieberman; masonclark; robertkagan; russia; ukraine; victorianuland; williamkristol; zelensky
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To: dynachrome

Aesop’s Fable


21 posted on 02/18/2022 8:03:57 PM PST by TornadoAlley3 ( I'm Proud To Be An Okie From Muskogee)
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To: EEGator

Spottswoode : From what I.N.T.E.L.L.I.G.N.C.E has gathered, it would be 9/11 times 100.

Gary Johnston : 9/11 times a hundred? Jesus, that’s...

Spottswoode : Yes, 91,100.

Joe : Basically, all the worst parts of the bible.


22 posted on 02/18/2022 8:04:04 PM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: dynachrome

I’ve heard that Bathhouse Trudeau will be joining forces with Herr Gretchen Whitmer and attacking PA, OH, and WV on the day after tomorrow...


23 posted on 02/18/2022 8:05:16 PM PST by SuperLuminal (Where is another Sam Adams now that we desperately need him?)
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To: dfwgator

I knew you’d get the reference.


24 posted on 02/18/2022 8:05:40 PM PST by EEGator
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To: dynachrome

If this goes down and the US military gets involved, I wanna see what pig face bidet is going to say when the American boys and girls start arriving back here in caskets.


25 posted on 02/18/2022 8:15:40 PM PST by crz
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To: dynachrome

Was talking with my sister this evening. She’s a died in the wool liberal/CNN watcher, but not nuts about it so I am able to keep a good relationship with her. She said CNN is saying that Russia will invade tomorrow. I asked her (gently) “if they are wrong and it doesn’t start tomorrow will you question your news source?” She said “No!” Not sure what else to do without breaking the relationship.


26 posted on 02/18/2022 8:22:00 PM PST by happyathome
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To: crz

If the US military gets involved it won’t be a reprise of Syria where we whacked 300+ Ruskie mercs in 20 minutes. If this balloon goes up and gets out of control there could be bodies right here at home.


27 posted on 02/18/2022 8:23:18 PM PST by xkaydet65 ( )
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To: crz

He’ll be checking his watch, and talking about Beau, at Dover.


28 posted on 02/18/2022 8:24:01 PM PST by Jamestown1630 ("A Republic, if you can keep it.")
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To: dynachrome; piasa
Coauthor is brother of Robert Kagan, husband of Victoria Nuland.
29 posted on 02/18/2022 8:29:23 PM PST by Fedora
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To: xkaydet65

I would be concerned if I lived on the east coast.


30 posted on 02/18/2022 8:34:14 PM PST by crz
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To: Fedora
The other coauthor Mason Clark:


31 posted on 02/18/2022 8:35:16 PM PST by Fedora
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To: dynachrome

In about a half hour (7:02am Kyiv time or two minutes after midnight EST) it will be sunrise in Kyiv. Someone let me know when the invasion kicks off.


32 posted on 02/18/2022 8:36:25 PM PST by House Atreides
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To: dynachrome

Its amazing that Joe Churchill Biden and John Kerry, Madeleine Albright in Drag, were not able to resolve a peaceful resolution with Russia. Could it be they don’t know what the hell the’re doing?


33 posted on 02/18/2022 8:41:41 PM PST by chopperk
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To: dynachrome

Imminent is as tired a word as blockbuster.


34 posted on 02/18/2022 8:42:19 PM PST by Huskrrrr (Alinsky, you magnificent Bastard, I read your book!)
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To: House Atreides

We’ll know in the morning here in California. You know, if Biden had not wanted Ukraine to join NATO, this would not have happened. For every action, there is a reaction. We can’t keep pushing on Russia, placing missiles and arms on their border and expect them to be nice about it


35 posted on 02/18/2022 8:42:55 PM PST by realcleanguy (quickly things are falling apart, now that the )
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To: dynachrome

tomorrow as in sunday? or tomorrow as in monday...


36 posted on 02/18/2022 8:52:52 PM PST by Chode (there is no fall back position, there's no rally point, there is no LZ... we're on our own. #FJB)
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To: NWFree

Yesterday

Yesterday, the invasion was just hours away.
That’s according to the CIA.
Oh, don’t believe a thing they say.

Why they had to lie, we all know, it’s just their way.
Just make Putin mad, push him hard, then bombs away-ay-ay.

Yesterday, Biden’s stumbles were on full display.
Now Kamala’s there to save the day.
Oh, World War III is on the way.


37 posted on 02/18/2022 8:56:29 PM PST by FirstFlaBn
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To: CatHerd

Consider the source.

This is fake news, brought to you by the Liars Club Of America.


38 posted on 02/18/2022 8:58:25 PM PST by miserare ( Respect for life--life of all kinds-- is the first principle of civilization.~~A. Schweitzer.)
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To: CatHerd

(Victoria Nuland)

Oh the Jerusalem “final status” deflector


39 posted on 02/18/2022 8:58:29 PM PST by SaveFerris (The Lord, The Christ and The Messiah: Jesus Christ of Nazareth - http://www.BiblicalJesusChrist.Com/)
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To: FirstFlaBn

That’s damn good!


40 posted on 02/18/2022 8:59:46 PM PST by miserare ( Respect for life--life of all kinds-- is the first principle of civilization.~~A. Schweitzer.)
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