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South Africa Has Likely Passed the Peak of Omicron COVID Cases, Indicating a Shorter Wave for U.S.
Yahoo News ^ | December 23, 2021 | Julie Mazziotta

Posted on 12/23/2021 12:03:26 PM PST by BeauBo

South Africa (Nationwide) appears to have passed the peak of COVID-19 infections from the omicron wave, researchers said. It could be an indication that the variant moves quickly before dying down, providing a timeline for the U.S. as cases ramp up...

The country saw their highest case total of 27,000 new infections on Thursday (Dec 16), and numbers have since dropped down to 15,424 on Tuesday (Dec 21).

South Africa's experience with omicron could predict the next few weeks of spread in the U.S., where cases with the variant are now dominating. If South Africa's trend holds, the U.S. could see a peak in cases in January before dying down.

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control said Monday that between Dec. 12 and 18, omicron made up 73% of all new COVID-19 cases in the country, a major jump from the week prior when it accounted for just 12%.

(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: gauteng
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"in the Gauteng province, South Africa's largest with 16 million people and the city of Johannesburg, cases dropped even earlier, a trend that has continued in the week since."

London followed the South African Omicron curve pretty closely, and has also already crested. That is very promising for the USA, because the UK Delta curve was much more like that in the USA than South Africa's was.

It looks likely that Omicron in the USA will set new records for daily case counts, not overwhelm hospitals, and peak around the second week in January.

1 posted on 12/23/2021 12:03:26 PM PST by BeauBo
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To: BeauBo

Uh oh... get ready for Fraudci and the rest of the scum to cue up the next “variant”...


2 posted on 12/23/2021 12:05:42 PM PST by Common Sense 101
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To: Common Sense 101

As the variants get more infectious (and Delta and Omicron are doozies for infectiousness), a higher percentage of the population needs to acquire immunity, to reach the Herd Immunity Threshold.

It is looking like Omicron needs over 90%.

There gets to be less and less room left for any future variants to run.


3 posted on 12/23/2021 12:12:34 PM PST by BeauBo
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To: BeauBo

We’d better hurry up and lock down EVERYTHING before we lose our chance!


4 posted on 12/23/2021 12:16:48 PM PST by null and void (Unvaccinated=control group, vaccinated=controlLED group...)
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To: BeauBo

5 posted on 12/23/2021 12:17:17 PM PST by LouieFisk ( )
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Despite high numbers, hospitalizations are not out of the ordinary. Looking more and more like sniffles and runny nose best treated at home.


6 posted on 12/23/2021 12:17:20 PM PST by JonPreston (Q: Never have so many, been so wrong, so often)
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To: JonPreston

They keep talking about how transmissible this variant is, but never talk about serious illness or death. AND YET....in the same breath .....they tell people YOU MUST GET VACCINATED!

Honestly. They must know that most people are that dumb.


7 posted on 12/23/2021 12:21:35 PM PST by piusv (Francis didn't start the Fire)
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To: All

The happy talk begins. The media has been told by the DNC that unless they can show VICTORY over the virus the mid terms are lost. And so happy talk.

It won’t matter what the numbers are. They will just data pick good news.

And this is an example. SA’s case total had a single day spike early Dec. It has been in the 20K range since, and today higher than yesterday’s 21098 — 21,156 today (still counting). Deaths are in the 30s early Dec, and the last 3 days 105, 99 and today’s count is 75 and still counting.

The US is doing peak days within weeks of about 1800 deaths/day, up from 200ish a 2-3 months ago.

Stop presuming immunity is possible. The omicron mutations were specifically where they needed to be to defeat immunity, be it from natural recovery or from vax.


8 posted on 12/23/2021 12:26:45 PM PST by Owen
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To: BeauBo

This is terrible news for the pandemic industry! They must quickly find (or create) another variant!


9 posted on 12/23/2021 12:28:23 PM PST by Spok
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To: piusv

Looks a lot like a vaccine sales pitch to me.


10 posted on 12/23/2021 12:32:46 PM PST by Nextrush (FREEDOM IS EVERYBODYS BUSINESS, REMEMBER PASTOR NIEMOLLER)
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To: BeauBo

11 posted on 12/23/2021 12:34:25 PM PST by aMorePerfectUnion (Fraud vitiates everything ᡕᠵ᠊ᡃ࡚ࠢ࠘ ⸝່ࠡࠣ᠊߯᠆ࠣ࠘ᡁࠣ࠘᠊᠊ࠢ࠘𐡏⁻ )
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To: BeauBo

12 posted on 12/23/2021 12:36:52 PM PST by MtnClimber (For photos of Colorado scenery and wildlife, click on my screen name for my FR home page.)
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To: BeauBo

Oh my, this is bad news for the ‘hair on fire’ crowd


13 posted on 12/23/2021 12:44:48 PM PST by LibertyWoman (Guard with jealous attention the public Liberty. Patrick Henry)
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To: BeauBo

As if facts have anything to do with what Fauci/China biological warfare virus/vaccine hypochondriacs/groupies do.


14 posted on 12/23/2021 12:45:20 PM PST by E. Pluribus Unum ("Communism is not love. Communism is a hammer which we use to crush the enemy." ― Mao Zedong)
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To: BeauBo

15 posted on 12/23/2021 12:49:05 PM PST by DannyTN
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To: aMorePerfectUnion; JonPreston; LouieFisk; MtnClimber

16 posted on 12/23/2021 12:52:12 PM PST by 4Liberty (Let's go Brandon 👏 ...👏 ...👏👏👏 https://youtu.be/qr_F_XQrukM?t=1)
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To: BeauBo; gas_dr

Gas doc mentioned that the Spanish flu came to its natural end in the same way.


17 posted on 12/23/2021 12:56:13 PM PST by The Westerner (Protect the most vulnerable: get the gov out of medicine, education and forests.)
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To: Common Sense 101

They should just declare victory and move on. I’m sure there’s another experiment they need to do on some poor animal so they can continue to get their kicks.


18 posted on 12/23/2021 1:10:46 PM PST by griswold3 (When chaos serves the State, the State will encourage chaos)
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To: BeauBo

Epiforecasts.io posts Rt (R0 as a function of time) daily for the US and each state. For the four days 12.18 to 12.21, the national Rt has been between 0.99 and 1.1. If this is accurate and Omicron is 73% of the cases, then it’s not as contagious as it’s being presented.

Rt.live used to post Rt values for each state. Oddly enough, these tended to cluster around a value of 1. I would have expected herd immunity would have caused these to drift downwards.


19 posted on 12/23/2021 1:58:14 PM PST by Tymesup
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To: Tymesup

The 73% number was new cases. Cases last for weeks. Overall presence in the population is still well under 50%


20 posted on 12/23/2021 2:03:48 PM PST by Owen
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