Posted on 12/21/2021 10:33:42 AM PST by BeauBo
Sir David Spiegelhalter (Professor of Statistics at Cambridge) has suggested the increase rate of hospitalisations "may be slowing down", with it not "looking quite as bad" as once thought.
"If the case counts are accurate, then *growth* in new cases per day of Omicron in London has crashed - i.e. new cases are roughly constant.
"There are still a LOT of new cases per day but if there really is zero growth in new cases then that is highly encouraging."
He suggested the change in rate - different to the amount of cases being detected, which is still very high - could have been caused by people changing behaviour...
(Hospital) admissions in London… the speed by which they are going up may be slowing down. It's not looking quite as bad as it was in terms of the speed of increase."
Sir David Spiegelhalter said "Around half the extra admissions in London with Covid were in fact diagnosed with Covid after they had been in hospital, in other words they had Covid anyway, which vast numbers of people in London now do, and then they found out they had Covid once they'd gone to hospital."
(Excerpt) Read more at thescottishsun.co.uk ...
Hospitalizations there (Gauteng) also did not come close to stressing hospital capacity, unlike their Delta wave, which did.
New variant expected in 3 ... 2 ... 1 ...
Each successive mutation should get weaker and weaker until it’s not a thing anymore...............
The Pi variant!
They plan to stop use of the bogus PCR test end of December. Flu, heretofore disappeared, will make a comeback. They are desperate.
It’s 3.14 times more deadly than Omicron!!!
Omicron has crashed?
Biden and Fauci (and Soros) are deeply saddened.
Cancel this afternoon’s speech and let poor old Joe enjoy his nap.
>>>New variant expected in 3 ... 2 ... 1 ...
No kidding! Democrats want to keep this alive!
England has a weird graph.
Cases jumped up high and dud not peak in summer.
They’ve stayed level at a high rate for months now but deaths did not increase and deaths have stayed low and level the whole time.
Obviously there’s a form of “herd” immunity.
You could of rounded it out to Pi, 3.1416.
Good, these mutations signal the end of the pandemic and covid becomes endemic.
Sir David Spiegelhalter (Professor of Statistics at Cambridge) has suggested the increase rate of hospitalisations “may be slowing down”, with it not “looking quite as bad” as once thought.
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If only the South African doctors had told us this would be the case! /sarc
.1024% more dangerous.
Looking good, thanks for the post.
Don’t worry. If this Varient goes away a new one will appear, even if the Democrats have to invent it.
“Omicron has crashed?”
Crested, might be a better word for London right now. They are still around the peak pace for new daily cases - just not quickly surging any higher anymore.
The meteoric growth rate seems to have suddenly levelled off.
If the South African model holds in London (it did not for their Delta Wave), then case numbers should start dropping over the coming days. Gauteng Province case numbers dropped about 20% over five days.
The USA is still on the upswing for Omicron. CDC just announced that Omicron has become the dominant strain in the USA.
Like South Africa and the UK, there are large regional and local variations in the rate of new cases - but for practical purposes, it seems only to be a matter of a few weeks lag time from one area to another.
It looks like about a four week run to the top of the curve, but we have yet to see how the down side of the curve is shaped.
In South Africa, after Delta peaked, it dropped very quickly to low levels. In the UK (and USA) though, after Delta peaked it dropped quickly to about half the number of new daily cases, and then grew slowly for a couple of more months.
The Bird-Flu/Ebola/Brain-Eating-Amoeba variant is coming before the election.
That’s what I understand (very little) happens to all viruses.
No way. I’m still waiting for the winter of death! I bought interests in refrigerated trucks and funer homes because Biden said so many are going to die.
The engineered fear and manufactured hysteria is way over the top.
Fauci and Walensky need to be run out of town... after being tarred and feathered. What a disgrace.
How many seasonal flu cases have been reported?
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