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Omicron variant surging rapidly in Washington state, UW testing indicates
The Seattle Times ^ | December 14, 2021 | Mike Baker

Posted on 12/15/2021 7:40:16 AM PST by House Atreides

Researchers testing coronavirus samples in Washington state have recorded a rapid rise in cases with a mutation that is characteristic of the omicron variant, mirroring trends that have emerged in countries like South Africa, Britain and Denmark.

Researchers at the University of Washington found that 13% of 217 positive coronavirus case specimens collected Wednesday had the mutation. That was up from about 7% of samples they had tested from the day before, and 3% from the day before that — in a region that had its first identified cases only two weeks ago.

“It’s clearly looking like it’s rising really quickly,” said Dr. Pavitra Roychoudhury, a researcher at the University of Washington.

Roychoudhury cautioned that the relatively small sample sizes provided only a limited window into the variant’s trajectory. But even so, she said, the results add to worries that omicron may be highly transmissible.

As omicron spreads around the globe, scientists have seen evidence that the variant can partially evade existing immune defenses. But they are still trying to determine how often the variant causes severe disease.

Dr. Trevor Bedford, who studies the spread and evolution of viruses at the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center in Seattle, said the omicron numbers are still too small to have a large impact on overall case numbers, but he said that would likely change by next week as it continues to displace the virulent delta version of the virus.

“There is an inevitable very large wave of omicron,” Bedford said. “It’s going to happen.”

(Excerpt) Read more at seattletimes.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Front Page News; News/Current Events; US: Washington
KEYWORDS: covid19; omicron
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Because of the lag time for doing more detailed testing, the referenced cases were from samples actually taken LAST WEEK and not from samples being taken in this current week.

So LAST MONDAY’S samples were 3% Omicron, LAST TUESDAY’S were 7% Omicron and LAST WEDNESDAY’S were 13%. Based upon the experience in South Africa and the UK, we will likely see this rapid expansion continue and most of the cases to be mild.

Washington State’s detailed monitoring is much better/quicker than most other states’ monitoring so I would expect these trends to be also occurring in other states and will be confirmed by later testing.

1 posted on 12/15/2021 7:40:16 AM PST by House Atreides
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To: House Atreides

There’s been ONE death from Omicron worldwide. So, “so what”?


2 posted on 12/15/2021 7:41:11 AM PST by bigbob
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To: bigbob

This is VERY likely coming out of UW’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) who was very early out the gate 2 years ago with ridiculous projections about near-term projected Covid deaths in the US.

Rumor has it, a recipient of some large sums of money from Bill Gates.... I wouldn’t trust that place or UW as far as I could throw them....


3 posted on 12/15/2021 7:45:50 AM PST by Gaffer
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To: House Atreides

I wonder how many people that have tested positive for it even know that they have it.


4 posted on 12/15/2021 7:46:15 AM PST by TexasM1A
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To: House Atreides

Huck the Fuskies. Go Cougars.


5 posted on 12/15/2021 7:46:33 AM PST by AndyTheBear
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To: Gaffer

Seattle Slimes. Must be true.


6 posted on 12/15/2021 7:46:34 AM PST by KierkegaardMAN (This is the sort of stuff up with which I shall not put!)
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To: House Atreides

Its very contagious. Those organizations with comprehensive screening programs will see a huge uptake in “positive” cases. If they follow their existing protocols there will be huge disruptions because of this variant which so far seems to cause only a very mild illness. The hyper woke NFL will soon have so many cases, that it is doubtful that they will have credible squads for the playoffs and the Super Bowl. with so much money at stake it will be amusing to watch the owners scramble and squirm.


7 posted on 12/15/2021 7:46:43 AM PST by allendale
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To: House Atreides

and if they stop testing it would be nothing ?


8 posted on 12/15/2021 7:46:46 AM PST by butlerweave
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To: bigbob

There’s been ONE death from Omicron worldwide. So, “so what”?
***************************************************************

CORRECTION: There’s been one death WITH Omicron not FROM Omicron.

So, so what? I say let ‘er rip! Final herd immunity and transition to endemic status beckons.


9 posted on 12/15/2021 7:46:52 AM PST by House Atreides
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To: Gaffer

What Gaffer said.


10 posted on 12/15/2021 7:47:04 AM PST by qaz123
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To: House Atreides

Pure fear-mongering bs.


11 posted on 12/15/2021 7:53:43 AM PST by AlmaKing
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To: bigbob

Gotta keep the fear porn flowing and keep the idiots, fools and obsessive compulsive among us occupied.

Those types are addicted to fear porn. They can never get enough of the drama and mental masturbation it provides for them.


12 posted on 12/15/2021 7:54:33 AM PST by Qui is (Biden spews https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4020201/postsHarris swallows. )
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To: House Atreides

If only they would make the mask mandate permanent......


13 posted on 12/15/2021 7:54:52 AM PST by rktman (Destroy America from within? Check! WTH? Enlisted USN 1967 to end up with this? 😕)
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To: AndyTheBear

Not the Cougars they fired the head coach.


14 posted on 12/15/2021 7:56:44 AM PST by Irish Eyes
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To: House Atreides

Lots of people are catching the sniffles this winter - and the vaccinations don’t seem to do any good - what a tragedy.


15 posted on 12/15/2021 8:01:58 AM PST by enumerated
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To: House Atreides

Apparently nobody has ever heard of margin of error. A sample size of 217 has a MOE of +/-6.65.

This means it cannot be said that the rise is a true increase and not just a sampling error.

Not surprising to see a “journalist” is unaware of anything math related, but the “scientists” know better, so they are just lying.


16 posted on 12/15/2021 8:04:53 AM PST by FirstFlaBn
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To: bigbob

DOOOOOOOOOOOOOMED


17 posted on 12/15/2021 8:05:13 AM PST by Organic Panic (Democrats. Memories as short as Joe Biden's eyes)
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To: House Atreides

Too early. Everybody’s talking and pretending but no one knows anything yet.


18 posted on 12/15/2021 8:06:59 AM PST by SaxxonWoods
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To: FirstFlaBn

“… This means it cannot be said that the rise is a true increase and not just a sampling error.…”
**************************************************
Well, time will QUICKLY tell us, won’t it.


19 posted on 12/15/2021 8:08:06 AM PST by House Atreides
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To: House Atreides

How are the samples being tested?

Genomic testing or the WAG method using PRC?


20 posted on 12/15/2021 8:09:44 AM PST by mewzilla (Those aren't masks. They're muzzles. )
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