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Hospitals' COVID Strain Tied to Subsequent Spike in Excess Deaths
Medscape ^ | 11.22.21 | Marcia Frellick

Posted on 11/22/2021 3:21:44 PM PST by Chickensoup

Hospitals' COVID Strain Tied to Subsequent Spike in Excess Deaths

Surges in COVID-19 cases in hospitals can directly and indirectly result in an increase in deaths from all causes 2, 4, and 6 weeks later, according to a report released Thursday.

The modeling study, led by Geoffrey French, MA, with the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA), studied the effect of hospital strain — measured by intensive care unit use — on excess deaths (expected vs observed) from July 2020-July 2021. It was published in the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's (CDC) Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report.

Researchers found that the conditions of hospital strain in that period, which included the onslaught of the Delta variant, predicted that nationwide ICU bed use at 75% capacity is linked with an estimated additional 12,000 excess deaths in the ensuing 2 weeks (P < .01).

When ICU bed use exceeds 100% capacity, the authors write, 80,000 excess deaths would be expected within the ensuing 2 weeks (P < .01).

As of October 25, the report notes, according to the US Department of Health and Human Services, capacity in adult ICUs nationwide had exceeded 75% for at least 12 weeks. As of Thursday, capacity nationally was at 78%.

"This means that the United States continues to experience the high and sustained levels of hospital strain that, according to the model's results, are associated with significant subsequent increases in excess deaths," the authors write.

ICU Capacity a Marker The CISA COVID Task Force used the data to assess the potential effect of COVID-19 surges on hospital systems and other critical infrastructure sectors and national critical functions. The CDC provided data on deaths from all causes.

The authors write that the data highlight the importance of controlling case growth and hospitalizations for COVID before severe strain.

"State, local, tribal, and territorial leaders could evaluate ways to reduce strain on public health and health care infrastructures, including implementing interventions to reduce overall disease prevalence such as vaccination and other prevention strategies, as well as ways to expand or enhance capacity during times of high disease prevalence," they write.

Conditions in the pandemic may help explain contributors to the excess deaths. The authors point out that lack of hospital space, staffing, and supplies have pushed some healthcare facilities to adopt crisis standards of care, the most extreme operating condition for hospitals.

Under those standards, decision-making shifts from achieving the best outcome for each patient to addressing the immediate needs of large groups. Additionally, many preventive and elective procedures were suspended, leading to progression of serious diseases.

Emergency department visits for serious conditions also declined. From March to May 2020, ED visits declined by 23% for heart attacks, 20% for strokes, and 10% for diabetic emergencies.

Although pandemic surges in ICU bed use are not a direct cause of excess deaths, the authors write, "high ICU capacity is a marker of broader issues that can contribute to excess deaths, such as curtailed services, stressed operations, and public reluctance to seek services."


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: covid; deaths; hospital
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Hospitals' COVID Strain Tied to Subsequent Spike in Excess Deaths

Surges in COVID-19 cases in hospitals can directly and indirectly result in an increase in deaths from all causes 2, 4, and 6 weeks later, according to a report released Thursday.

The modeling study, led by Geoffrey French, MA, with the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA), studied the effect of hospital strain — measured by intensive care unit use — on excess deaths (expected vs observed) from July 2020-July 2021. It was published in the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's (CDC) Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report.

Researchers found that the conditions of hospital strain in that period, which included the onslaught of the Delta variant, predicted that nationwide ICU bed use at 75% capacity is linked with an estimated additional 12,000 excess deaths in the ensuing 2 weeks (P < .01).

When ICU bed use exceeds 100% capacity, the authors write, 80,000 excess deaths would be expected within the ensuing 2 weeks (P < .01).

As of October 25, the report notes, according to the US Department of Health and Human Services, capacity in adult ICUs nationwide had exceeded 75% for at least 12 weeks. As of Thursday, capacity nationally was at 78%.

"This means that the United States continues to experience the high and sustained levels of hospital strain that, according to the model's results, are associated with significant subsequent increases in excess deaths," the authors write.

ICU Capacity a Marker The CISA COVID Task Force used the data to assess the potential effect of COVID-19 surges on hospital systems and other critical infrastructure sectors and national critical functions. The CDC provided data on deaths from all causes.

The authors write that the data highlight the importance of controlling case growth and hospitalizations for COVID before severe strain.

"State, local, tribal, and territorial leaders could evaluate ways to reduce strain on public health and health care infrastructures, including implementing interventions to reduce overall disease prevalence such as vaccination and other prevention strategies, as well as ways to expand or enhance capacity during times of high disease prevalence," they write.

Conditions in the pandemic may help explain contributors to the excess deaths. The authors point out that lack of hospital space, staffing, and supplies have pushed some healthcare facilities to adopt crisis standards of care, the most extreme operating condition for hospitals.

Under those standards, decision-making shifts from achieving the best outcome for each patient to addressing the immediate needs of large groups. Additionally, many preventive and elective procedures were suspended, leading to progression of serious diseases.

Emergency department visits for serious conditions also declined. From March to May 2020, ED visits declined by 23% for heart attacks, 20% for strokes, and 10% for diabetic emergencies.

Although pandemic surges in ICU bed use are not a direct cause of excess deaths, the authors write, "high ICU capacity is a marker of broader issues that can contribute to excess deaths, such as curtailed services, stressed operations, and public reluctance to seek services."

1 posted on 11/22/2021 3:21:44 PM PST by Chickensoup
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To: Chickensoup

sorry forgot the link

https://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/963289


2 posted on 11/22/2021 3:23:02 PM PST by Chickensoup ( Leftists totalitarian fascists are eradicating conservatives)
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To: Chickensoup

A good chunk of those *excess deaths* could be prevented by the medical community not trying to kill people off with no treatment until so sick they need a hospital stay and then they try to kill them off with a ventilator and Remdesivir.

I just met someone the other day who was in the hospital with COVID, and only on oxygen and they gave him Remdesivir. God must have wanted him around because he survived it intact, Not only in living but not having any major organ Damage.


3 posted on 11/22/2021 3:25:52 PM PST by metmom (...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith)
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To: Chickensoup

Nothing related to nosocomial infections.

Quelle suprise.


4 posted on 11/22/2021 3:27:45 PM PST by mewzilla (Those aren't masks. They're muzzles. )
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To: Chickensoup

More vaccinations, more death. That’s what the year-to-year stats would indicate..


5 posted on 11/22/2021 3:29:09 PM PST by CivilWarBrewing (Get off my b"ack for my usage of CAPS, especially you snowflake males! MAN UP!)
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To: Chickensoup; Jane Long; bitt; radu; Robert DeLong; John S Mosby; ransomnote; null and void; ...

Crimes Against Humanity

FDA Records Subpoenaed By Attorney Shows Over 158,000 Adverse “Events” In First 2.5 Months of COVID Shot Trials
And this is just the first round of records released!

https://www.redvoicemedia.com/2021/11/fda-records-subpoenaed-by-attorney-shows-over-158000-adverse-events-in-first-2-5-months-of-covid-shot-trials/?utm_source=daily-email&utm_medium=email

How concerned are you about adverse events related to the vaccines?

Tell us what you think – your expectations and concerns.

Scroll down at the link below to read the 2,828 comments so far from medical professionals and others.

https://www.medscape.com/sites/public/covid-19/vaccine-insights/how-concerned-are-you-about-vaccine-related-adverse-events


6 posted on 11/22/2021 3:30:23 PM PST by ExTexasRedhead
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To: Chickensoup

Thought Hospitals had their own strain of covid.


7 posted on 11/22/2021 3:31:12 PM PST by DannyTN
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To: metmom

It seems to me that one way to avoid “hospital strain” is to encourage - rather than mock or prohibit - people to use cheap OTC prophylactics that many studies have shown to reduce or mitigate Covid-19. But the message is always, “The vaccines, or nothing.”


8 posted on 11/22/2021 3:32:26 PM PST by Steve_Seattle
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To: Chickensoup

The Hospitals would have less “strain” if they didn’t fire the Naturally Immune because they wouldn’t take a shot they didn’t need.


9 posted on 11/22/2021 3:33:23 PM PST by UNGN
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To: Chickensoup

Researchers found that the conditions of hospital strain in that period, which included the onslaught of the Delta variant, predicted that nationwide ICU bed use at 75% capacity is linked with an estimated additional 12,000 excess deaths in the ensuing 2 weeks>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

In otner words....

GO TO THE HOSPITAL AND DIE!

But wait , wait, there is still hope:

Ivermectin is your friend:

Order here to anywhere in the world in 3 weeks:

https://dir.indiamart.com/search.mp?ss=Ivermectin+12%20mg&prdsrc=1

Follow the Front Line Health Care Alliance Protocols for dosages etc:

https://covid19criticalcare.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/FLCCC-Alliance-I-MASKplus-Protocol-ENGLISH.pdf


10 posted on 11/22/2021 3:34:39 PM PST by Candor7 ((Obama Fascism:http://www.americanthinker.com/2009/05/barack_obama_the_quintessentia_1.html))
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To: Steve_Seattle

The best way to avoid the hospital strain of anything is to avoid the hospitals.

But that would actually include responsible, pro-active health care.


11 posted on 11/22/2021 3:35:05 PM PST by metmom (...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith)
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To: CivilWarBrewing

📌

Cover
Cover up
Satan in the night
Judas


12 posted on 11/22/2021 3:37:57 PM PST by Varsity Flight ( "War by the prophesies set before you." I Timothy 1:18)
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To: Chickensoup

You don’t say: when hospital beds are full, more deaths can be expected.


13 posted on 11/22/2021 3:39:27 PM PST by 9YearLurker
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To: metmom

I was given nothing for covid, four weeks later I developed MRSA and was hospitalized. Thank the Lord I survived, but there was no excuse for the fact I was given nothing and over age seventy! I truly believe they do want us dead...


14 posted on 11/22/2021 3:40:21 PM PST by ohiogrammy (12)
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To: metmom

I thought “hospital strain” refers not to a Covid “strain” somehow linked to hospitalization, but to strain - because of too many cases - on the hospital’s resources - their ability to properly care for everyone in optimum conditions, and not to have to turn away some patients entirely.


15 posted on 11/22/2021 3:48:12 PM PST by Steve_Seattle
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To: Chickensoup

It’s not the hospital strain. It’s the lethal Covid Protocol that is killing people.
There is no valid Covid test. The hospitals snare anyone they can with ‘positive’ Covid test and then you get negative protocols/drugs intended to add you to the “Covid” deaths list. Stay out of the hospital if at all possible. THere’s no valid test for Delta or any other strain.

People have noticed hospitals are associated with death in a statistically telling way - so the hospitals are inventing their own private strain of “Covid” to hide their actions.


16 posted on 11/22/2021 3:54:41 PM PST by ransomnote (IN GOD WE TRUST)
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To: metmom

“A good chunk of those *excess deaths* could be prevented by the medical community not trying to kill people off with no treatment until so sick they need a hospital stay and then they try to kill them off with a ventilator and Remdesivir.”

I can confirm this from actual experience. I caught Covid while unvaxed and was admitted to a hospital due to high fever. A doctor immediately said that I need to be put on a ventilator. I asked why and she said because I couldn’t breath. I said bull, I’m speaking to you obviously I can breath. She kept insisting until I demanded a new doctor. The replacement doctor told me that I will live because I rejected the ventilator. The new doctor said most of the previous patients on ventilators had died.

The hospital was steering me toward death to drive up their unvaxed death count.


17 posted on 11/22/2021 4:01:32 PM PST by trailboss800
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To: metmom

I agree wholeheartedly with you on early outpatient treatment protocol. It would have saved at least half so some reports say.
Your friend was lucky


18 posted on 11/22/2021 4:07:14 PM PST by griswold3 (When chaos serves the State, the State will encourage chaos)
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To: ohiogrammy
I truly believe they do want us dead...

I agree.

I was hospitalized with MRSA many years ago and somehow survived in spite of the hospital.

19 posted on 11/22/2021 5:22:04 PM PST by metmom (...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith)
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To: griswold3

I’m convinced God protected him.


20 posted on 11/22/2021 5:23:26 PM PST by metmom (...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith)
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