Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

In spite of the Chinese Communist Regime’s Bullying, The World Is Gradually Shifting Toward Taiwan
Epoch Times ^ | 11/17/2021 | Antonio Graceffo

Posted on 11/17/2021 8:44:09 PM PST by SeekAndFind

News Analysis

In the past, countries allowed Beijing to dictate their relationship with Taiwan, under threat of economic sanctions. Gradually, free democracies are increasing their engagement with the island nation, in spite of the Chinese regime’s bullying.

Over the past few years, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has become more and more belligerent, while attempting to dictate the foreign policy of other countries. An increasing number of nations, however, have been defying China’s demands, and voting their conscience, in spite of threats or reprisals from Beijing.

Former French President Nicolas Sarkozy met with the Dalai Lama in 2008, which angered the Chinese regime. Beijing hurled threats when democracy activist Liu Xiaobo was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize. And the threats are not just rhetoric. China engaged in “hostage diplomacy” when it held two Canadians in isolation for 1,000 days, until Canada released Huawei’s chief financial officer, Meng Wanzhou.

Increasing relations with Taiwan has become a symbol of a country turning away from China, sending a message to the CCP that it does not get to dictate the behavior of sovereign nations.

The United States has always been Taiwan’s supporter and has increasingly been the world’s counterbalance to the Chinese regime’s aggression. The United States began increasing its diplomatic relations with Taiwan, under the Trump administration. Now, the Biden administration has strengthened the relationship, stating publicly that the United States is committed to defending Taiwan.

Meanwhile, other democracies, such as Australia, India, the Czech Republic, and the European Union, are increasingly standing up to the CCP. Even NATO has shifted its mandate to now include countering the China threat.

The logic of the past had been that no one wanted to anger China, for fear of losing investment and trade. It seems that countries are deciding that it is more important to preserve their integrity, oppose communist China’s aggression, and prevent China’s extraterritorial expansion.

A Lowy Institute poll found that Australia’s attitude toward Taiwan was turning progressively more positive. Former Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott visited Taipei, which enraged Beijing. Prime Minister Scott Morrison stood up to China, blocking several high-level purchases. He prevented China from acquiring one of Australia’s largest beef ranches, and overruled the sale of an Australian power-grid to a Chinese state-backed firm. Most recently, Morrison irked the CCP by calling for an investigation into the origins of COVID-19.

In retaliation, the CCP banned the import of Australian beef and coal, while China faces both an energy and food shortage crises. Taiwan’s response was to ask Australia to support its bid to join the CPTPP trade agreement, which Beijing vehemently opposes. Taiwan, however, has told Australian officials that it could help Australia increase its high technology and minerals trade.

The EU had generally regarded China in economic terms, steering clear of U.S. policies of containment. This past spring, however, when Beijing rebuked the EU’s condemnation of human rights abuses in Xinjiang, several European leaders put financial deals with China on hold.

Taiwan sent a delegation of more than 60 officials and businesspeople to Lithuania, Slovakia, and the Czech Republic to sign new agreements. Taiwanese Foreign Minister Joseph Wu went to Europe for a diplomatic visit and held meetings in the Czech Republic and Slovakia. The tour was related to COVID-19 vaccine donations that came from four EU countries: the Czech Republic, Lithuania, Poland, and Slovakia. Taiwan signed seven Memorandums of Understanding with Slovakia.

Several EU parliamentarians also met with Wu in Brussels, including Sweden’s Charlie Weimers and Els Van Hoof, chair of the Foreign Affairs Committee in the Belgian Chamber of Representatives. Additionally, Wu participated in a meeting of IPAC, a coalition of European parliamentarians critical of China, which he attended virtually. The meeting was considered particularly provocative to the CCP, because it included a former Hong Kong lawmaker, a Uyghur activist, as well as the head of the Tibetan government-in-exile.

In November, EU parliamentarian Raphaël Glucksmann led an EU delegation to Taipei. Glucksmann told the press that supporting Taiwan was one action that countries should take in order to contain China’s growing hegemonic ambitions.

The Upper House speaker of the Czech Republic, Milos Vystrcil, and the mayor of Prague, Zdenek Hrib, are among the high-ranking EU officials who have visited Taipei in recent years.

When the EU legislators voted in favor of trade talks with Taiwan, Beijing reacted negatively. Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Wang Wenbin called the decision “vile.” He then threatened Europe, saying, “Do not underestimate the Chinese people’s determination, will, and capacity to defend national sovereignty and territorial integrity.”

Josep Borrell Fontelles, the EU high representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy and vice-president of the European Commission, told the EU that China’s threats toward Taiwan posed a security risk for the EU, at least in part because of the EU’s dependence on Taiwanese chips, which are essential to Europe’s digital development.

The CCP keeps telling the United States and Western nations to forget their differences and work together with Beijing. This is an overly simplistic and completely unrealistic attitude, as the grievances are not something that a handshake will solve. For example, Beijing is unlikely to change its policies in Tibet or Xinjiang, which many democratic countries have condemned.

The CCP’s agenda is to impose its will on other countries and international organizations. It also wants to to restrict freedoms in the media and academic institutions of other nations. The CCP infiltrates and influences other countries through propaganda, and takes offense when it is told to stop. In the World Trade Organization and other world bodies, Beijing demands its own set of rules, disregarding international norms, and cries foul when other members retaliate.

It seems that global opinion is finally turning against the CCP, as countries realize they may have less to lose and more to gain by standing up to the bullying. Taiwan is a key battleground for those who will not cave to Beijing. Countries are shifting their diplomatic efforts toward Taiwan, realizing that if they allow the CCP to dictate their relationship with Taiwan, then the CCP may also dictate their relationship with the United States, India, or any other sovereign nation.

Views expressed in this article are the opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of The Epoch Times.


Antonio Graceffo, Ph.D., has spent over 20 years in Asia. He is a graduate of Shanghai University of Sport and holds a China-MBA from Shanghai Jiaotong University. Antonio works as an economics professor and China economic analyst, writing for various international media. Some of his books on China include "Beyond the Belt and Road: China’s Global Economic Expansion" and "A Short Course on the Chinese Economy."


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: asia; ccp; china; diplomacy; taiwan
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-23 next last

1 posted on 11/17/2021 8:44:09 PM PST by SeekAndFind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Slo Joe will change that.


2 posted on 11/17/2021 8:55:07 PM PST by hercuroc
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

.


3 posted on 11/17/2021 8:58:10 PM PST by sauropod (Meanie Butt Daddy - No you can't)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Wonder what the majority of Freepers ( who are usually quite prescient) think about Taiwan’s willingness and tenacity to sacrifice and fight for their freedom, liberty and way of life. Will A Chinese invasion be met with ferocious or token resistance?


4 posted on 11/17/2021 9:04:31 PM PST by allendale
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Hollywood and the NBA will be the last ones to find integrity.


5 posted on 11/17/2021 9:05:02 PM PST by jimmygrace
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: KC_Lion

Ping.


6 posted on 11/17/2021 9:08:37 PM PST by Army Air Corps (Four Fried Chickens and a Coke)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: allendale

I wonder how a Chinese invasion would really work. Amphbious assault vesself full of soldiers? I’d think they’d be sunk fairly easily by subs, if they have the ability.

A mass convention bomber or missile attack wouldn’t do that much except turn the entire world against China.

The world is in a fix at this point. China conventionally invades, gets shut down by USA/NATO/Taiwan, then seriously considers launching nukes at US military/cities and would get 500 or so MIRVs back.


7 posted on 11/17/2021 9:10:02 PM PST by Houserino
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: allendale

How fat, passively entertained and comfortable are they? Are the poorest people also the most likely to be obese in Taiwan?

Freegards


8 posted on 11/17/2021 9:11:14 PM PST by Ransomed
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Ransomed

Also have doubts about the willingness of the people of Taiwan to sacrifice. The US really cannot stiffen their backbones or help them in any meaningful way if they turn out to be like the South Vietnamese. American blood and material aid in that case cannot save them.


9 posted on 11/17/2021 9:25:01 PM PST by allendale
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Houserino
Amphbious assault vesself full of soldiers? I’d think they’d be sunk fairly easily by subs, if they have the ability.

Airbone troops. Parachute soldiers and light vehicles at midnight.

10 posted on 11/17/2021 9:32:48 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican

Because radar doesn’t work at night?


11 posted on 11/17/2021 9:43:32 PM PST by SoCal Pubbie
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: SoCal Pubbie

It wouldn’t take long. Air strikes. Airborne troops. Shock and awe. The population on Taiwan is not battle hardened like the Israelis. If they feel that the conquest is inevitable, they’ll capitulate quickly.


12 posted on 11/17/2021 9:51:03 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican

Airbornes would be just as shot down I think. Tawain has decent air defense, and natural cliffs.

The Chinese would have to give up everything at this point. Nobody would trust them again economically. Its 100x worse than the US trying to invade Cuba in the 60s.

That said, they are building up to it with fancy weapons and I don’t think it’s going to pay off unless biden absolutely gives them the gohead. And even that I doubt.


13 posted on 11/17/2021 9:57:00 PM PST by Houserino
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Houserino

Here’s how it would work. From my home page

https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/4002096/posts?page=58#58

The chinese will send a sampan navy with 10million “internal migration” civilians armed with CNN uplinks, cameras, and bullhorns. When they get mowed down by our side, the resulting negative PR will be amplified by the chinese knocking out 2 of our aircraft carriers in the blockade with their hypersonic ICBM thermally guided antiship missiles.
America will luze stomach for the fight over what it already calls an internal province of China. Taiwan has never declared independence.
About a third of civilians in Taiwan are ethnic Chinese and maybe only half of them have loyalties and fifth column tendencies towards communist China. They have hundreds of thousands of cargo ships they can fill with civilians armed with cameras, CNN uplinks, and bullhorns.
The resultant slaughter will be live on CNN and the PR backlash will be enough to let China walk right back into their own internal (never did declare independence) province. If we blockade them, they’ll lob thermal-capable antiship ICBM missiles at our aircraft carriers and CNN will record them sinking to the bottom of the sea with the resultant nuclear plume.
America will luze stomach for the fight after luzing a couple $Trillion in carriers and tens of thousands of men in one afternoon, all seen on CNN, with our recourse being... to slaughter civilians. China has all the cards, they just have to lay them down on the table at this point.
And when it’s all over but the shouting, the RINOs and GOPes and democraps will be handwringing, hoping for a quick way to order chinese chips & electronics from Amazon. The chinese want the continued business of globalists so it’ll all be “can’t we just get along” and “water under the bridge” as soon as China is in charge and chips are shipping.

___________________________________________________________________

update in 2021

https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3979585/posts

There are some updated conversations regarding the sampan civilian navy internal migration approach.

https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3979585/posts


14 posted on 11/17/2021 9:58:21 PM PST by Kevmo (I’m immune from Covid since I don’t watch TV.🤗)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican

If they feel that the conquest is inevitable, they’ll capitulate quickly.

***About a third of Taiwanese are ethnic Chinese, only half of whom might be fifth columnists for China.


15 posted on 11/17/2021 10:00:45 PM PST by Kevmo (I’m immune from Covid since I don’t watch TV.🤗)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: Kevmo

Can the US help get an Iron dome to Taiwan? If not us, how about Israel?


16 posted on 11/17/2021 10:51:07 PM PST by princess leah
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: princess leah

It won’t matter. The ‘invasion’ will be a 10million person civilian sampan navy.


17 posted on 11/17/2021 10:55:47 PM PST by Kevmo (I’m immune from Covid since I don’t watch TV.🤗)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: allendale

They would have to take the fight to china..hit the mainland


18 posted on 11/18/2021 1:49:28 AM PST by aces (and )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: allendale

Having spent a lot of time in Taiwan and marrying a Taiwanese girl I think Taiwan will fight to the last man. I have spoke with Army personal there. china will have a tough fight there. Taiwan knows and plans on taking out the Three Gorges Dam.


19 posted on 11/18/2021 5:18:01 AM PST by oldasrocks
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican

The entire airborne corps of the PLA consists of 40,000 troops. The Chinese Air Force can muster 104 aircraft capable of delivering those soldiers, each carrying between 82 and 130 paratroopers depending on type. So for ease of numbers let’s go with 100 planes and 100 troops each. That’s 10,000. Wikipedia states that the PLAAF can only deliver one division of 11,000 men with light tanks and self-propelled artillery. So that’s pretty close.

Taiwan’s active duty army numbers about 200,000. With any kind of notice they can muster another 100,000 to 300,000 reservists to greet the invading communists.

There’s no way in hell the PLA would invade using airborne troops alone, and their generals are not planning on doing so. An invasion force would number at least 300,000 to 400,000. An invasion of Taiwan would be the largest and most difficult amphibious operation in history. The PLA hasn’t conducted large scale operations since 1979. Things might not so as planned and an attack might bring down the CCP instead of its intended target.


20 posted on 11/18/2021 7:00:18 AM PST by SoCal Pubbie
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-23 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson